Articles | Volume 24, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2403-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
16 Jul 2024
Research article |
| 16 Jul 2024
| 16 Jul 2024
Global application of a regional frequency analysis to extreme sea levels
Thomas P. Collings
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
Niall D. Quinn
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
Ivan D. Haigh
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, National Oceanography Centre, European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK
Joshua Green
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
School of Ocean and Earth Science, University of Southampton, National Oceanography Centre, European Way, Southampton SO14 3ZH, UK
Izzy Probyn
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
Hamish Wilkinson
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
Sanne Muis
Deltares, Delft, the Netherlands
Institute for Environmental Studies (IVM), Vrije Universiteit Amsterdam, Amsterdam, the Netherlands
William V. Sweet
National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, National Ocean Service, Silver Spring, MD, United States
Paul D. Bates
Fathom, Floor 2, Clifton Heights, Clifton, Bristol BS8 1EJ, UK
School of Geographical Sciences, University of Bristol, Bristol BS8 1SS, UK
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Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Uncovering unprecedented storm surges in European and Mediterranean coastlines I. Benito et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae2529
- Human-driven sea-level rise has quadrupled the frequency of coastal sea-level extremes since 1900 S. Dangendorf et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02659-0
- Extreme flood return levels in a U.S. mid-Atlantic estuary using 40-year fluvial-coastal model simulations M. Deb et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05566-9
- Regional frequency analysis of extreme waves based on regions of influence in the Mediterranean Sea F. De Leo & S. Solari https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2025.123088
- Estimating the cost of sea level rise M. Hieronymus et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44312-026-00078-5
- Regional modeling of zero-inflated precipitation in Pakistan by classical and Bayesian approaches A. Abbas et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103330
- Multi-site modelling and reconstruction of past extreme skew surges along the French Atlantic coast N. Huet et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssc/qlag024
- The non-stationary additive regional frequency analysis method G. Blain et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-026-06148-4
- A multistep statistical model to derive extreme sea levels for the global coastlines D. Alexandre & C. Chaudhuri https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2025.104909
- Automated tail-informed threshold selection for extreme coastal sea levels T. Collings et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4545-2025
- Assessing extreme total water levels across Europe for large-scale coastal flood analysis C. Cotrim et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1935-2026
- Using stochastically generated skewed distributions to represent hourly nontidal residual water levels at United States tide gauges P. Hovenga et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2025.1618367
- Establishing coastal water level magnitude-duration-frequency curves for infrastructure design M. Sohrabi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2025.105179
- An update to a regional frequency analysis to global extreme sea levels T. Collings et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2026.105007
- US-CoastEX: Observation-based probabilistic reanalysis of storm surge and sea level extremes for the United States J. Morim et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05730-1
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Uncovering unprecedented storm surges in European and Mediterranean coastlines I. Benito et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ae2529
- Human-driven sea-level rise has quadrupled the frequency of coastal sea-level extremes since 1900 S. Dangendorf et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41558-026-02659-0
- Extreme flood return levels in a U.S. mid-Atlantic estuary using 40-year fluvial-coastal model simulations M. Deb et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05566-9
- Regional frequency analysis of extreme waves based on regions of influence in the Mediterranean Sea F. De Leo & S. Solari https://doi.org/10.1016/j.oceaneng.2025.123088
- Estimating the cost of sea level rise M. Hieronymus et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s44312-026-00078-5
- Regional modeling of zero-inflated precipitation in Pakistan by classical and Bayesian approaches A. Abbas et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2026.103330
- Multi-site modelling and reconstruction of past extreme skew surges along the French Atlantic coast N. Huet et al. https://doi.org/10.1093/jrsssc/qlag024
- The non-stationary additive regional frequency analysis method G. Blain et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-026-06148-4
- A multistep statistical model to derive extreme sea levels for the global coastlines D. Alexandre & C. Chaudhuri https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2025.104909
- Automated tail-informed threshold selection for extreme coastal sea levels T. Collings et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-4545-2025
- Assessing extreme total water levels across Europe for large-scale coastal flood analysis C. Cotrim et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-1935-2026
- Using stochastically generated skewed distributions to represent hourly nontidal residual water levels at United States tide gauges P. Hovenga et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fmars.2025.1618367
- Establishing coastal water level magnitude-duration-frequency curves for infrastructure design M. Sohrabi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.advwatres.2025.105179
- An update to a regional frequency analysis to global extreme sea levels T. Collings et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.coastaleng.2026.105007
- US-CoastEX: Observation-based probabilistic reanalysis of storm surge and sea level extremes for the United States J. Morim et al. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41597-025-05730-1
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 03 Aug 2026
Short summary
Coastal areas are at risk of flooding from rising sea levels and extreme weather events. This study applies a new approach to estimating the likelihood of coastal flooding around the world. The method uses data from observations and computer models to create a detailed map of where these coastal floods might occur. The approach can predict flooding in areas for which there are few or no data available. The results can be used to help prepare for and prevent this type of flooding.
Coastal areas are at risk of flooding from rising sea levels and extreme weather events. This...
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