Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1929-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1929-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
Brief communication
 | 
11 Jun 2024
Brief communication |  | 11 Jun 2024

Brief communication: SWM – stochastic weather model for precipitation-related hazard assessments using ERA5-Land data

Melody Gwyneth Whitehead and Mark Stephen Bebbington

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Short summary
Precipitation-driven hazards including floods, landslides, and lahars can be catastrophic and difficult to forecast due to high uncertainty around future weather patterns. This work presents a stochastic weather model that produces statistically similar (realistic) rainfall over long time periods at minimal computational cost. These data provide much-needed inputs for hazard simulations to support long-term, time and spatially varying risk assessments.
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