Articles | Volume 23, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3685-2023
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3685-2023
Research article
 | 
30 Nov 2023
Research article |  | 30 Nov 2023

Bayesian extreme value analysis of extreme sea levels along the German Baltic coast using historical information

Leigh Richard MacPherson, Arne Arns, Svenja Fischer, Fernando Javier Méndez, and Jürgen Jensen

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1122', Anonymous Referee #1, 10 Jul 2023
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Leigh MacPherson, 05 Sep 2023
  • RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1122', Anonymous Referee #2, 11 Jul 2023
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Leigh MacPherson, 05 Sep 2023
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC2', Leigh MacPherson, 05 Sep 2023
  • RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2023-1122', Anonymous Referee #3, 17 Jul 2023
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Leigh MacPherson, 05 Sep 2023

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (17 Sep 2023) by Animesh Gain
AR by Leigh MacPherson on behalf of the Authors (18 Sep 2023)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish as is (04 Oct 2023) by Animesh Gain
AR by Leigh MacPherson on behalf of the Authors (11 Oct 2023)
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Short summary
Efficient adaptation planning for coastal flooding caused by extreme sea levels requires accurate assessments of the underlying hazard. Tide-gauge data alone are often insufficient for providing the desired accuracy but may be supplemented with historical information. We estimate extreme sea levels along the German Baltic coast and show that relying solely on tide-gauge data leads to underestimations. Incorporating historical information leads to improved estimates with reduced uncertainties.
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