Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3815-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3815-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Multi-scenario urban flood risk assessment by integrating future land use change models and hydrodynamic models
Qinke Sun
School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai
200241, China
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of
Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai
200241, China
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of
Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
Institute of Remote Sensing and Earth Sciences, School of Information
Science and Technology, Hangzhou Normal University, Hangzhou 311121, China
Zhejiang Provincial Key Laboratory of Urban Wetlands and Regional
Change, Hangzhou 311121, China
Xuewei Dang
Faculty of Geomatics, Lanzhou Jiaotong University, Lanzhou 730070,
China
Kepeng Xu
School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai
200241, China
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of
Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
Yongqiang Fang
School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai
200241, China
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of
Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai
200241, China
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of
Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
Min Liu
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
School of Geographic Sciences, East China Normal University, Shanghai
200241, China
Key Laboratory of Geographic Information Science (Ministry of
Education), East China Normal University, Shanghai 200241, China
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Cited
43 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Escalating typhoon risks in Shanghai amid shifting tracks driven by urbanization and sea surface temperature warming Q. Zhuang et al.
- Study on multiscale-multivariate prediction and risk assessment of urban flood Y. Wang et al.
- Sea-level rise, ENSO, and coastal flood exposure in Hainan Island: Insights from Delft3D modeling for urban adaptation T. Hu et al.
- Urban flood modelling: Challenges and opportunities - A stakeholder-informed analysis M. Mahmood et al.
- Compound coastal flood exposure in global deltas: an integrated assessment of sea-level rise, subsidence, and socioeconomic dynamics S. Wu et al.
- Urban growth prediction along Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for future flood exposure risk assessment: a cross-continental analysis of coastal cities F. Bachofer et al.
- Assessment of future urban flood risk of Thailand's bangkok metropolis using geoprocessing and machine learning algorithm D. Garshasbi et al.
- Prototype-Scale Experimental Investigation of Manhole Cover Bounce and Critical Overpressure in Urban Drainage Shafts H. Zhao et al.
- Multiscale modeling for coastal cities: addressing climate change impacts on flood events at urban-scale M. Bendoni et al.
- Sustainable urban planning to control flood exposure in the coastal zones of China Y. Wu et al.
- Integrating climate change and land use change into storm flood impact analysis in coastal cities Q. Sun et al.
- Multi-objective land use simulation by integrating urban spatial suitability and ecological carrying capacity evaluations Z. Chen et al.
- Climate change and urban flooding: assessing remote sensing data and flood modeling techniques: a comprehensive review A. Bagheri & G. Liu
- A Location-Based Mobile Learning Approach Promoting Education for Sustainable Development on the Topic of Climate Change Adaptation H. Schmalor et al.
- Global South shows higher urban flood exposures than the Global North under current and future scenarios Q. Zhang et al.
- Land-use analysis using infrastructure representations and high-resolution flood inundation mapping techniques S. Murphy et al.
- Integrating Land-Use Modeling with Coastal Landscape Interventions: A Framework for Climate Adaptation Planning in Dalian, China B. Pang & B. Deal
- A Study on Identification of Urban Waterlogging Risk Factors Based on Satellite Image Semantic Segmentation and XGBoost J. Tong et al.
- Flood Risk Assessment at the Administrative District Level Based on SSP Scenarios B. Cho et al.
- Understanding the evolution trend of urban flood risk and resilience for better flood management W. Chen et al.
- Impact of Land Use Patterns on Flood Risk in the Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration, China T. Zhang et al.
- Combined effects of future urban development and rainfall patterns on flood characteristics in the Qinhuai River basin Y. Gao et al.
- The Impact of Climate Change and Urbanization on Compound Flood Risks in Coastal Areas: A Comprehensive Review of Methods X. Ruan et al.
- Coupled impacts of land-use change and channel roughness evolution on flood processes in an alpine source region of the Yangtze River J. Yue et al.
- Application of NEXRAD precipitation data for assessing the implications of low development practices in an ungauged basin A. Aryal & A. Kalra
- An open framework for analysing future flood risk in urban areas O. Butters et al.
- Shaping Future Urbanization: A Systematic Review of Predictive and Preventive LUC Indicators for Sustainable New City Development A. Ghozali & W. de Vries
- Comprehensive flood risk assessment in highly developed urban areas B. Dong et al.
- Optimization of Manning’s roughness coefficient using 1-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling in the perennial river system: A case of lower Narmada Basin, India A. Bhargav et al.
- A novel approach to developing local flood vulnerability scenarios based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways framework: Sectoral risks and policy implications B. Vu et al.
- Typhoon and flooding occurrences on Chongming Island, Changjiang Estuary, as revealed by a newly acquired sedimentary record P. Zhao et al.
- A new conditional generative adversarial neural network approach for statistical downscaling of the ERA5 reanalysis over the Italian Peninsula I. Manco et al.
- Integrative strategies for urban flood resilience and risk: A meta-analysis of policy, infrastructural, and ecosystem-based interventions S. Wang & X. Bi
- Urban green infrastructure for flood resilience: Runoff sink-source regime shifts and vegetation structure influences K. Zhou et al.
- Blue-Green Infrastructure for pluvial flood risk reduction in rapidly urbanizing peri-urban areas: Strategic planning for uncertain futures F. Fappiano et al.
- The human settlement of urban villages in a mountainous city of China: in-depth survey, comprehensive evaluation and policy implications W. Huo et al.
- Exploring sustainable watershed flood risks management: An innovative TFAHP-TOPSIS methodology in the Georges River Basin, Australia H. Sun et al.
- Enhancing flood risk assessment in urban areas by integrating hydrodynamic models and machine learning techniques A. Khoshkonesh et al.
- Awareness, ability, and advocacy: Challenges for the practical application of urban growth modelling to climate-resilient planning K. Booker et al.
- SEA for better climate adaptation in the face of the flood risk: Multi-scenario, strategic forecasting, nature-based solutions X. Qin et al.
- Compound flooding risks in coastal cities: a review of causes, mechanisms, and assessment methodologies E. Jahani et al.
- GIS based hybrid multi criteria decision making on the fuzzy environment to delineate flood susceptibility region in kr. keureuto catchment area, North Aceh M. Rizalihadi et al.
- Exploring the intersection between coastal flood hazards and socioeconomic exposure: Evidence from China's coastal zone H. Xu et al.
43 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Escalating typhoon risks in Shanghai amid shifting tracks driven by urbanization and sea surface temperature warming Q. Zhuang et al.
- Study on multiscale-multivariate prediction and risk assessment of urban flood Y. Wang et al.
- Sea-level rise, ENSO, and coastal flood exposure in Hainan Island: Insights from Delft3D modeling for urban adaptation T. Hu et al.
- Urban flood modelling: Challenges and opportunities - A stakeholder-informed analysis M. Mahmood et al.
- Compound coastal flood exposure in global deltas: an integrated assessment of sea-level rise, subsidence, and socioeconomic dynamics S. Wu et al.
- Urban growth prediction along Shared Socioeconomic Pathways (SSPs) for future flood exposure risk assessment: a cross-continental analysis of coastal cities F. Bachofer et al.
- Assessment of future urban flood risk of Thailand's bangkok metropolis using geoprocessing and machine learning algorithm D. Garshasbi et al.
- Prototype-Scale Experimental Investigation of Manhole Cover Bounce and Critical Overpressure in Urban Drainage Shafts H. Zhao et al.
- Multiscale modeling for coastal cities: addressing climate change impacts on flood events at urban-scale M. Bendoni et al.
- Sustainable urban planning to control flood exposure in the coastal zones of China Y. Wu et al.
- Integrating climate change and land use change into storm flood impact analysis in coastal cities Q. Sun et al.
- Multi-objective land use simulation by integrating urban spatial suitability and ecological carrying capacity evaluations Z. Chen et al.
- Climate change and urban flooding: assessing remote sensing data and flood modeling techniques: a comprehensive review A. Bagheri & G. Liu
- A Location-Based Mobile Learning Approach Promoting Education for Sustainable Development on the Topic of Climate Change Adaptation H. Schmalor et al.
- Global South shows higher urban flood exposures than the Global North under current and future scenarios Q. Zhang et al.
- Land-use analysis using infrastructure representations and high-resolution flood inundation mapping techniques S. Murphy et al.
- Integrating Land-Use Modeling with Coastal Landscape Interventions: A Framework for Climate Adaptation Planning in Dalian, China B. Pang & B. Deal
- A Study on Identification of Urban Waterlogging Risk Factors Based on Satellite Image Semantic Segmentation and XGBoost J. Tong et al.
- Flood Risk Assessment at the Administrative District Level Based on SSP Scenarios B. Cho et al.
- Understanding the evolution trend of urban flood risk and resilience for better flood management W. Chen et al.
- Impact of Land Use Patterns on Flood Risk in the Chang-Zhu-Tan Urban Agglomeration, China T. Zhang et al.
- Combined effects of future urban development and rainfall patterns on flood characteristics in the Qinhuai River basin Y. Gao et al.
- The Impact of Climate Change and Urbanization on Compound Flood Risks in Coastal Areas: A Comprehensive Review of Methods X. Ruan et al.
- Coupled impacts of land-use change and channel roughness evolution on flood processes in an alpine source region of the Yangtze River J. Yue et al.
- Application of NEXRAD precipitation data for assessing the implications of low development practices in an ungauged basin A. Aryal & A. Kalra
- An open framework for analysing future flood risk in urban areas O. Butters et al.
- Shaping Future Urbanization: A Systematic Review of Predictive and Preventive LUC Indicators for Sustainable New City Development A. Ghozali & W. de Vries
- Comprehensive flood risk assessment in highly developed urban areas B. Dong et al.
- Optimization of Manning’s roughness coefficient using 1-dimensional hydrodynamic modelling in the perennial river system: A case of lower Narmada Basin, India A. Bhargav et al.
- A novel approach to developing local flood vulnerability scenarios based on the Shared Socioeconomic Pathways framework: Sectoral risks and policy implications B. Vu et al.
- Typhoon and flooding occurrences on Chongming Island, Changjiang Estuary, as revealed by a newly acquired sedimentary record P. Zhao et al.
- A new conditional generative adversarial neural network approach for statistical downscaling of the ERA5 reanalysis over the Italian Peninsula I. Manco et al.
- Integrative strategies for urban flood resilience and risk: A meta-analysis of policy, infrastructural, and ecosystem-based interventions S. Wang & X. Bi
- Urban green infrastructure for flood resilience: Runoff sink-source regime shifts and vegetation structure influences K. Zhou et al.
- Blue-Green Infrastructure for pluvial flood risk reduction in rapidly urbanizing peri-urban areas: Strategic planning for uncertain futures F. Fappiano et al.
- The human settlement of urban villages in a mountainous city of China: in-depth survey, comprehensive evaluation and policy implications W. Huo et al.
- Exploring sustainable watershed flood risks management: An innovative TFAHP-TOPSIS methodology in the Georges River Basin, Australia H. Sun et al.
- Enhancing flood risk assessment in urban areas by integrating hydrodynamic models and machine learning techniques A. Khoshkonesh et al.
- Awareness, ability, and advocacy: Challenges for the practical application of urban growth modelling to climate-resilient planning K. Booker et al.
- SEA for better climate adaptation in the face of the flood risk: Multi-scenario, strategic forecasting, nature-based solutions X. Qin et al.
- Compound flooding risks in coastal cities: a review of causes, mechanisms, and assessment methodologies E. Jahani et al.
- GIS based hybrid multi criteria decision making on the fuzzy environment to delineate flood susceptibility region in kr. keureuto catchment area, North Aceh M. Rizalihadi et al.
- Exploring the intersection between coastal flood hazards and socioeconomic exposure: Evidence from China's coastal zone H. Xu et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 18 May 2026
Short summary
Flooding by extreme weather events and human activities can lead to catastrophic impacts in coastal areas. The research illustrates the importance of assessing the performance of different future urban development scenarios in response to climate change, and the simulation study of urban risks will prove to decision makers that incorporating disaster prevention measures into urban development plans will help reduce disaster losses and improve the ability of urban systems to respond to floods.
Flooding by extreme weather events and human activities can lead to catastrophic impacts in...
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