Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2553-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2553-2022
Research article
 | 
11 Aug 2022
Research article |  | 11 Aug 2022

Identifying plausible historical scenarios for coupled lake level and seismicity rate changes: the case for the Dead Sea during the last 2 millennia

Mariana Belferman, Amotz Agnon, Regina Katsman, and Zvi Ben-Avraham

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-62', Anonymous Referee #1, 30 Mar 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Mariana Belferman, 20 Apr 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2021-62', Anonymous Referee #2, 13 Jul 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Mariana Belferman, 18 Aug 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision | EF: Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (30 Aug 2021) by Oded Katz
AR by Mariana Belferman on behalf of the Authors (15 Nov 2021)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (30 Nov 2021) by Oded Katz
RR by Anonymous Referee #3 (16 Dec 2021)
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (05 Jun 2022) by Oded Katz
AR by Mariana Belferman on behalf of the Authors (22 Jun 2022)  Author's response   Author's tracked changes   Manuscript 
ED: Publish subject to technical corrections (30 Jun 2022) by Oded Katz
AR by Mariana Belferman on behalf of the Authors (07 Jul 2022)  Manuscript 
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Short summary
Internal fluid pressure in pores leads to breaking. With this mechanical principle and a correlation between historical water level changes and seismicity, we explore possible variants for water level reconstruction in the Dead Sea basin. Using the best-correlated variant, an additional indication is established regarding the location of historical earthquakes. This leads us to propose a certain forecast for the next earthquake in view of the fast and persistent dropping level of the Dead Sea.
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