Articles | Volume 22, issue 3
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1109–1128, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1109-2022
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 1109–1128, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1109-2022
Research article
01 Apr 2022
Research article | 01 Apr 2022

Extreme-coastal-water-level estimation and projection: a comparison of statistical methods

Maria Francesca Caruso and Marco Marani

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Short summary
We comparatively evaluate the predictive performance of traditional and new approaches to estimate the probability distributions of extreme coastal water levels. The metastatistical approach maximizes the use of observational information and provides reliable estimates of high quantiles with respect to traditional methods. Leveraging the increased estimation accuracy afforded by this approach, we investigate future changes in the frequency of extreme total water levels.
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