Articles | Volume 22, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1109-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1109-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
01 Apr 2022
Research article |
| 01 Apr 2022
| 01 Apr 2022
Extreme-coastal-water-level estimation and projection: a comparison of statistical methods
Maria Francesca Caruso
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, University of Padua, 35131, Padua, Italy
Marco Marani
Department of Civil, Architectural, and Environmental Engineering, University of Padua, 35131, Padua, Italy
Earth and Climate Sciences Division, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
Department of Civil and Environmental Engineering, Duke University, Durham, NC, USA
Viewed
Total article views: 4,807 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Aug 2021)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 3,270 | 1,422 | 115 | 4,807 | 433 | 136 | 146 |
- HTML: 3,270
- PDF: 1,422
- XML: 115
- Total: 4,807
- Supplement: 433
- BibTeX: 136
- EndNote: 146
Total article views: 3,616 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 01 Apr 2022)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2,743 | 782 | 91 | 3,616 | 252 | 120 | 128 |
- HTML: 2,743
- PDF: 782
- XML: 91
- Total: 3,616
- Supplement: 252
- BibTeX: 120
- EndNote: 128
Total article views: 1,191 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Aug 2021)
| HTML | XML | Total | Supplement | BibTeX | EndNote | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 527 | 640 | 24 | 1,191 | 181 | 16 | 18 |
- HTML: 527
- PDF: 640
- XML: 24
- Total: 1,191
- Supplement: 181
- BibTeX: 16
- EndNote: 18
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 4,807 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 4,632 with geography defined
and 175 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 3,616 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 3,497 with geography defined
and 119 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 1,191 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 1,135 with geography defined
and 56 with unknown origin.
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Country | # | Views | % |
|---|
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
| Total: | 0 |
| HTML: | 0 |
| PDF: | 0 |
| XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Reconstructing hourly coastal total sea levels and assessing current and future extreme sea levels threats to the Coast of China P. Liu et al.
- Nonstationary hydrological frequency analysis using the Metastatistical extreme value distribution C. Vidrio-Sahagún et al.
- An efficient metamodel to downscale total water level in open beaches M. Zornoza-Aguado et al.
- A data-driven framework for enhancing coastal flood resilience in resource-crunched developing nations A. Narendr et al.
- Warning water level determination and its spatial distribution in coastal areas of China S. Liu et al.
- Recent Advances and New Frontiers in Riverine and Coastal Flood Modeling K. Jafarzadegan et al.
- Analysis of the vulnerability of the lagoon levees of the Po Delta to coastal flooding in a changing climate C. Favaretto et al.
- Importance of non-stationary analysis for assessing extreme sea levels under sea level rise D. Baldan et al.
- Estimating Extreme Tidal Range by Frequency Analysis at Iraqi Coastal Water A. Al-Rammahi & A. Al-Shukur
- Development and validation of an Early Warning System for coastal flooding operating on a Mediterranean urban beach A. Chatzipavlis et al.
- Analysis of historical extreme coastal water level and its contributors along the South American Pacific coast F. Molteni-Pérez et al.
- Extreme Precipitation and Flood Hazard Assessment for Sustainable Climate Adaptation: A Case Study of Diyarbakır, Turkey B. Kaya & R. Çelik
- How well does a convection-permitting regional climate model represent the reverse orographic effect of extreme hourly precipitation? E. Dallan et al.
- Coevolution of Extreme Sea Levels and Sea‐Level Rise Under Global Warming G. Boumis et al.
- Spatial Analysis of Extreme Coastal Water Levels and Dominant Forcing Factors Along the Senegalese Coast C. Cissé et al.
- Hydrological frequency analysis under nonstationarity using the Metastatistical approach and its simplified version C. Vidrio-Sahagún & J. He
- Non-asymptotic distributions of water extremes: much ado about what? F. Serinaldi et al.
- The Role of Different Total Water Level Definitions in Coastal Flood Modelling on a Low-Elevation Dune System P. Cabrita et al.
- Reporting Climate Change Impacts on Coastal Ports (NW Iberian Peninsula): A Review of Flooding Extent A. Ribeiro et al.
- A metastatistical frequency analysis of extreme storm surge hazard along the US coastline G. Boumis et al.
- Episodic vs. Sea Level Rise Coastal Flooding Scenarios at the Urban Scale: Extreme Event Analysis and Adaptation Strategies S. Spadotto et al.
- Climate change effects on river droughts in Bavaria using a hydrological large ensemble B. Poschlod et al.
22 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Reconstructing hourly coastal total sea levels and assessing current and future extreme sea levels threats to the Coast of China P. Liu et al.
- Nonstationary hydrological frequency analysis using the Metastatistical extreme value distribution C. Vidrio-Sahagún et al.
- An efficient metamodel to downscale total water level in open beaches M. Zornoza-Aguado et al.
- A data-driven framework for enhancing coastal flood resilience in resource-crunched developing nations A. Narendr et al.
- Warning water level determination and its spatial distribution in coastal areas of China S. Liu et al.
- Recent Advances and New Frontiers in Riverine and Coastal Flood Modeling K. Jafarzadegan et al.
- Analysis of the vulnerability of the lagoon levees of the Po Delta to coastal flooding in a changing climate C. Favaretto et al.
- Importance of non-stationary analysis for assessing extreme sea levels under sea level rise D. Baldan et al.
- Estimating Extreme Tidal Range by Frequency Analysis at Iraqi Coastal Water A. Al-Rammahi & A. Al-Shukur
- Development and validation of an Early Warning System for coastal flooding operating on a Mediterranean urban beach A. Chatzipavlis et al.
- Analysis of historical extreme coastal water level and its contributors along the South American Pacific coast F. Molteni-Pérez et al.
- Extreme Precipitation and Flood Hazard Assessment for Sustainable Climate Adaptation: A Case Study of Diyarbakır, Turkey B. Kaya & R. Çelik
- How well does a convection-permitting regional climate model represent the reverse orographic effect of extreme hourly precipitation? E. Dallan et al.
- Coevolution of Extreme Sea Levels and Sea‐Level Rise Under Global Warming G. Boumis et al.
- Spatial Analysis of Extreme Coastal Water Levels and Dominant Forcing Factors Along the Senegalese Coast C. Cissé et al.
- Hydrological frequency analysis under nonstationarity using the Metastatistical approach and its simplified version C. Vidrio-Sahagún & J. He
- Non-asymptotic distributions of water extremes: much ado about what? F. Serinaldi et al.
- The Role of Different Total Water Level Definitions in Coastal Flood Modelling on a Low-Elevation Dune System P. Cabrita et al.
- Reporting Climate Change Impacts on Coastal Ports (NW Iberian Peninsula): A Review of Flooding Extent A. Ribeiro et al.
- A metastatistical frequency analysis of extreme storm surge hazard along the US coastline G. Boumis et al.
- Episodic vs. Sea Level Rise Coastal Flooding Scenarios at the Urban Scale: Extreme Event Analysis and Adaptation Strategies S. Spadotto et al.
- Climate change effects on river droughts in Bavaria using a hydrological large ensemble B. Poschlod et al.
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 30 Apr 2026
Short summary
We comparatively evaluate the predictive performance of traditional and new approaches to estimate the probability distributions of extreme coastal water levels. The metastatistical approach maximizes the use of observational information and provides reliable estimates of high quantiles with respect to traditional methods. Leveraging the increased estimation accuracy afforded by this approach, we investigate future changes in the frequency of extreme total water levels.
We comparatively evaluate the predictive performance of traditional and new approaches to...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint