Articles | Volume 21, issue 12
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3789–3807, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3789-2021
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3789–3807, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3789-2021
Research article
17 Dec 2021
Research article | 17 Dec 2021

Probabilistic, high-resolution tsunami predictions in northern Cascadia by exploiting sequential design for efficient emulation

Dimitra M. Salmanidou et al.

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Latest update: 24 Jun 2022
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Short summary
The potential of large-magnitude earthquakes in Cascadia poses a significant threat over a populous region of North America. We use statistical emulation to assess the probabilistic tsunami hazard from such events in the region of the city of Victoria, British Columbia. The emulators are built following a sequential design approach for information gain over the input space. To predict the hazard at coastal locations of the region, two families of potential seabed deformation are considered.
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