Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2973-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2973-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
05 Oct 2021
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 05 Oct 2021

An ensemble of state-of-the-art ash dispersion models: towards probabilistic forecasts to increase the resilience of air traffic against volcanic eruptions

Matthieu Plu, Barbara Scherllin-Pirscher, Delia Arnold Arias, Rocio Baro, Guillaume Bigeard, Luca Bugliaro, Ana Carvalho, Laaziz El Amraoui, Kurt Eschbacher, Marcus Hirtl, Christian Maurer, Marie D. Mulder, Dennis Piontek, Lennart Robertson, Carl-Herbert Rokitansky, Fritz Zobl, and Raimund Zopp

Viewed

Total article views: 4,661 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total Supplement BibTeX EndNote
3,333 1,229 99 4,661 359 119 130
  • HTML: 3,333
  • PDF: 1,229
  • XML: 99
  • Total: 4,661
  • Supplement: 359
  • BibTeX: 119
  • EndNote: 130
Views and downloads (calculated since 09 Apr 2021)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 09 Apr 2021)

Viewed (geographical distribution)

Total article views: 4,661 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 4,417 with geography defined and 244 with unknown origin.
Country # Views %
  • 1
1
 
 
 
 
Latest update: 02 Dec 2025
Download
Short summary
Past volcanic eruptions that spread out ash over large areas, like Eyjafjallajökull in 2010, forced the cancellation of thousands of flights and had huge economic consequences. In this article, an international team in the H2020 EU-funded EUNADICS-AV project has designed a probabilistic model approach to quantify ash concentrations. This approach is evaluated against measurements, and its potential use to mitigate the impact of future large-scale eruptions is discussed.
Read more
Share
Special issue
Analysis and prediction of natural airborne aviation hazards
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint