Articles | Volume 21, issue 10
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2973–2992, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2973-2021

Special issue: Analysis and prediction of natural airborne aviation hazards

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2973–2992, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2973-2021

Research article 05 Oct 2021

Research article | 05 Oct 2021

An ensemble of state-of-the-art ash dispersion models: towards probabilistic forecasts to increase the resilience of air traffic against volcanic eruptions

Matthieu Plu et al.

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Interactive discussion

Status: closed

Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor | : Report abuse
  • RC1: 'Comment on nhess-2021-96', Tatjana Bolic, 04 May 2021
    • AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Matthieu Plu, 05 Aug 2021
  • RC2: 'Comment on nhess-2021-96', Dr. Andreas Becker, 16 May 2021
    • AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Matthieu Plu, 05 Aug 2021
  • RC3: 'Comment on nhess-2021-96', Claire Witham, 17 May 2021
    • AC4: 'Reply on RC3', Matthieu Plu, 05 Aug 2021
  • RC4: 'Comment on nhess-2021-96', Ole Ross, 18 May 2021
    • AC3: 'Reply on RC4', Matthieu Plu, 05 Aug 2021

Peer review completion

AR: Author's response | RR: Referee report | ED: Editor decision
ED: Publish as is (24 Aug 2021) by Gerhard Wotawa
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Short summary
Past volcanic eruptions that spread out ash over large areas, like Eyjafjallajökull in 2010, forced the cancellation of thousands of flights and had huge economic consequences. In this article, an international team in the H2020 EU-funded EUNADICS-AV project has designed a probabilistic model approach to quantify ash concentrations. This approach is evaluated against measurements, and its potential use to mitigate the impact of future large-scale eruptions is discussed.
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