Articles | Volume 20, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-363-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-363-2020
© Author(s) 2020. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Wildfire ignition probability in Belgium
Arthur Depicker
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Data Analysis and Mathematical Modelling, Ghent
University, Ghent, Belgium
Bernard De Baets
Department of Data Analysis and Mathematical Modelling, Ghent
University, Ghent, Belgium
Jan Marcel Baetens
Department of Data Analysis and Mathematical Modelling, Ghent
University, Ghent, Belgium
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Cited
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe: A Synthesis of National Perspectives N. Fernandez-Anez et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/11786221211028185
- Implications of Russia–Ukraine war on land surface temperature and air quality: long-term and short-term analysis P. Gupta & D. Shukla https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-024-32800-5
- The impact of wildfires on the recreational value of heathland: A discrete factor approach with adjustment for on-site sampling A. Nobel et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2020.102317
- Deep learning for wildfire risk prediction: Integrating remote sensing and environmental data Z. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2025.06.002
- Wildfires of war in Ukraine: Implications for fire governance in a changing world S. Sydorenko et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02435-6
- Conceptual Clarity in Fire Science: A Systematic Review Linking Climatic Factors to Wildfire Occurrence and Spread O. Toy-Opazo et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9010023
- Influence of land surface temperatures, precipitation, total water storage anomaly and fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation anomaly, obtained from MODIS, IMERG and GRACE satellite products on wildfires in eastern Central Italy M. Gentilucci et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2025.2522941
- In temperate Europe, fire is already here: The case of The Netherlands C. Stoof et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-023-01960-y
- Non-parametric comparative analysis of the spatiotemporal pattern of human-caused and natural wildfires in Galicia M. Marey-Pérez et al. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF22030
- Assessment of wildfires forecast performance in Albania: Case study O. Jaupaj et al. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor9.2023.143
- Wildfire Risk Assessment of Transmission-Line Corridors Based on Naïve Bayes Network and Remote Sensing Data W. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/s21020634
- Daily prediction modeling of forest fire ignition using meteorological drought indices in the Mexican highlands A. Vilchis-Francés et al. https://doi.org/10.3832/ifor3623-014
- Once upon a future heatwave: A practical storyline chain from existing climate data to stakeholder engagement N. Carlier et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2026.100681
- Forest Resource Availability After Nuclear War or Other Sun‐Blocking Catastrophes D. Winstead & M. Jacobson https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002509
- Extreme Climate Drivers and Their Interactions in Lightning-Ignited Fires: Insights from Machine Learning Models Y. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/f16121861
- Russian-Ukrainian war impacts the total environment P. Pereira et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155865
16 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe: A Synthesis of National Perspectives N. Fernandez-Anez et al. https://doi.org/10.1177/11786221211028185
- Implications of Russia–Ukraine war on land surface temperature and air quality: long-term and short-term analysis P. Gupta & D. Shukla https://doi.org/10.1007/s11356-024-32800-5
- The impact of wildfires on the recreational value of heathland: A discrete factor approach with adjustment for on-site sampling A. Nobel et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jeem.2020.102317
- Deep learning for wildfire risk prediction: Integrating remote sensing and environmental data Z. Xu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.isprsjprs.2025.06.002
- Wildfires of war in Ukraine: Implications for fire governance in a changing world S. Sydorenko et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-026-02435-6
- Conceptual Clarity in Fire Science: A Systematic Review Linking Climatic Factors to Wildfire Occurrence and Spread O. Toy-Opazo et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/fire9010023
- Influence of land surface temperatures, precipitation, total water storage anomaly and fraction of absorbed photosynthetically active radiation anomaly, obtained from MODIS, IMERG and GRACE satellite products on wildfires in eastern Central Italy M. Gentilucci et al. https://doi.org/10.1080/01431161.2025.2522941
- In temperate Europe, fire is already here: The case of The Netherlands C. Stoof et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s13280-023-01960-y
- Non-parametric comparative analysis of the spatiotemporal pattern of human-caused and natural wildfires in Galicia M. Marey-Pérez et al. https://doi.org/10.1071/WF22030
- Assessment of wildfires forecast performance in Albania: Case study O. Jaupaj et al. https://doi.org/10.48077/scihor9.2023.143
- Wildfire Risk Assessment of Transmission-Line Corridors Based on Naïve Bayes Network and Remote Sensing Data W. Chen et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/s21020634
- Daily prediction modeling of forest fire ignition using meteorological drought indices in the Mexican highlands A. Vilchis-Francés et al. https://doi.org/10.3832/ifor3623-014
- Once upon a future heatwave: A practical storyline chain from existing climate data to stakeholder engagement N. Carlier et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.cliser.2026.100681
- Forest Resource Availability After Nuclear War or Other Sun‐Blocking Catastrophes D. Winstead & M. Jacobson https://doi.org/10.1029/2021EF002509
- Extreme Climate Drivers and Their Interactions in Lightning-Ignited Fires: Insights from Machine Learning Models Y. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.3390/f16121861
- Russian-Ukrainian war impacts the total environment P. Pereira et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.155865
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 08 Jul 2026
Short summary
In recent years, several valuable nature reserves in Belgium have been severely damaged by wildfires. In order to optimize risk management and prepare for a possibly increasing number of such events, the first wildfire ignition probability map is developed for Belgium, based on data that were obtained from the government and newspaper articles. We find that most ignitions occur in the provinces of Limburg and Antwerp and that most causes are of anthropogenic nature (such as military exercises).
In recent years, several valuable nature reserves in Belgium have been severely damaged by...
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