Articles | Volume 19, issue 7
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1459-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1459-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Wildland fire potential outlooks for Portugal using meteorological indices of fire danger
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Carlos C. DaCamara
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Kamil F. Turkman
DEIO-CEAUL, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Teresa J. Calado
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Ricardo M. Trigo
Instituto Dom Luiz (IDL), Faculdade de Ciências, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Departamento de Meteorologia, Universidade Federal do Rio de Janeiro, 21941-916, Rio de Janeiro, Brazil
Maria A. A. Turkman
DEIO-CEAUL, Universidade de Lisboa, 1749-016 Lisbon, Portugal
Viewed
Total article views: 3,100 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 25 Mar 2019)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
2,256 | 765 | 79 | 3,100 | 81 | 76 |
- HTML: 2,256
- PDF: 765
- XML: 79
- Total: 3,100
- BibTeX: 81
- EndNote: 76
Total article views: 2,548 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 18 Jul 2019)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
1,949 | 524 | 75 | 2,548 | 77 | 72 |
- HTML: 1,949
- PDF: 524
- XML: 75
- Total: 2,548
- BibTeX: 77
- EndNote: 72
Total article views: 552 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Cumulative views and downloads
(calculated since 25 Mar 2019)
HTML | XML | Total | BibTeX | EndNote | |
---|---|---|---|---|---|
307 | 241 | 4 | 552 | 4 | 4 |
- HTML: 307
- PDF: 241
- XML: 4
- Total: 552
- BibTeX: 4
- EndNote: 4
Viewed (geographical distribution)
Total article views: 3,100 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,609 with geography defined
and 491 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 2,548 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 2,135 with geography defined
and 413 with unknown origin.
Total article views: 552 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
Thereof 474 with geography defined
and 78 with unknown origin.
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Country | # | Views | % |
---|
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Total: | 0 |
HTML: | 0 |
PDF: | 0 |
XML: | 0 |
- 1
1
Cited
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Fractal Metrics and Connectivity Analysis for Forest and Deforestation Fragmentation Dynamics I. Alage et al. 10.3390/f16020314
- A combined structural and seasonal approach to assess wildfire susceptibility and hazard in summertime R. Bergonse et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-04554-7
- Detecting Deforestation Using Logistic Analysis and Sentinel-1 Multitemporal Backscatter Data A. Dascălu et al. 10.3390/rs15020290
- The Signature of Climate in Annual Burned Area in Portugal C. DaCamara 10.3390/cli12090143
- The compound event that triggered the destructive fires of October 2017 in Portugal A. Ramos et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106141
- Consideration of compound drivers and impacts in the disaster risk reduction cycle B. van den Hurk et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106030
- Changes in the Seasonality of Fire Activity and Fire Weather in Portugal: Is the Wildfire Season Really Longer? P. Silva et al. 10.3390/meteorology2010006
- An Evaluation of the Atmospheric Instability Effect on Wildfire Danger Using ERA5 over the Iberian Peninsula L. Santos et al. 10.3390/fire6030120
- Predicting burnt areas during the summer season in Portugal by combining wildfire susceptibility and spring meteorological conditions R. Bergonse et al. 10.1080/19475705.2021.1909664
- The Influence of Wildfire Climate on Wildfire Incidence: The Case of Portugal M. Pereira et al. 10.3390/fire7070234
- Recent change of burned area associated with summer heat extremes over Iberia V. Bento et al. 10.1071/WF21155
- Impacts of fire prevention strategies in a changing climate: an assessment for Portugal C. DaCamara et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad574f
- Advanced characterization of deforestation frontiers in Nigeria utilizing deep learning and Bayesian approaches with sentinel-1 SAR imagery I. Lukman Alage et al. 10.1080/10106049.2025.2451164
- Multi-criteria analysis to compare multiple risks associated with management alternatives in planted forests M. Régolini et al. 10.5424/fs/2020292-15660
- Sustainable Harvest/Collection Optimization of Residual Agro-Forestry Biomass including Wildfire Risk R. Silva et al. 10.1016/j.procs.2025.02.028
15 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Fractal Metrics and Connectivity Analysis for Forest and Deforestation Fragmentation Dynamics I. Alage et al. 10.3390/f16020314
- A combined structural and seasonal approach to assess wildfire susceptibility and hazard in summertime R. Bergonse et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-04554-7
- Detecting Deforestation Using Logistic Analysis and Sentinel-1 Multitemporal Backscatter Data A. Dascălu et al. 10.3390/rs15020290
- The Signature of Climate in Annual Burned Area in Portugal C. DaCamara 10.3390/cli12090143
- The compound event that triggered the destructive fires of October 2017 in Portugal A. Ramos et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106141
- Consideration of compound drivers and impacts in the disaster risk reduction cycle B. van den Hurk et al. 10.1016/j.isci.2023.106030
- Changes in the Seasonality of Fire Activity and Fire Weather in Portugal: Is the Wildfire Season Really Longer? P. Silva et al. 10.3390/meteorology2010006
- An Evaluation of the Atmospheric Instability Effect on Wildfire Danger Using ERA5 over the Iberian Peninsula L. Santos et al. 10.3390/fire6030120
- Predicting burnt areas during the summer season in Portugal by combining wildfire susceptibility and spring meteorological conditions R. Bergonse et al. 10.1080/19475705.2021.1909664
- The Influence of Wildfire Climate on Wildfire Incidence: The Case of Portugal M. Pereira et al. 10.3390/fire7070234
- Recent change of burned area associated with summer heat extremes over Iberia V. Bento et al. 10.1071/WF21155
- Impacts of fire prevention strategies in a changing climate: an assessment for Portugal C. DaCamara et al. 10.1088/2752-5295/ad574f
- Advanced characterization of deforestation frontiers in Nigeria utilizing deep learning and Bayesian approaches with sentinel-1 SAR imagery I. Lukman Alage et al. 10.1080/10106049.2025.2451164
- Multi-criteria analysis to compare multiple risks associated with management alternatives in planted forests M. Régolini et al. 10.5424/fs/2020292-15660
- Sustainable Harvest/Collection Optimization of Residual Agro-Forestry Biomass including Wildfire Risk R. Silva et al. 10.1016/j.procs.2025.02.028
Latest update: 08 Mar 2025
Short summary
Portugal is recurrently affected by large wildfire events. We present a statistical model to estimate the probability that the summer burned area exceeds a given threshold. The model allows making outlooks of wildfire potential with up to 1 month in advance of the fire season. When applied to the 39-year period 1980-2018, only 1 severe (one weak) year is not anticipated as potentially severe (weak). The model will assist the fire community when planning prevention and combating fire events.
Portugal is recurrently affected by large wildfire events. We present a statistical model to...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint