Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2331–2343, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2331-2018
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 18, 2331–2343, 2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2331-2018

Research article 04 Sep 2018

Research article | 04 Sep 2018

Evaluation of predictive models for post-fire debris flow occurrence in the western United States

Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos et al.

Data sets

Updated logistic regression equations for the calculation of post-fire debris-flow likelihood in the western United States, U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2016-1106 D. M. Staley, J. A. Negri, J. W. Kean, J. M. Laber, A. C. Tillery, and A. M. Youberg https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20161106

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Short summary
Debris flows, following wildfires, constitute a significant threat to downstream populations and infrastructure. Therefore, developing measures to reduce the vulnerability of local communities to debris flows is of paramount importance. This work proposes a new model for predicting post-fire debris flow occurrence on a regional scale and demonstrates that the proposed model has notably higher skill than the currently used approaches.
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