Articles | Volume 18, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2331-2018
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2331-2018
Research article
 | 
04 Sep 2018
Research article |  | 04 Sep 2018

Evaluation of predictive models for post-fire debris flow occurrence in the western United States

Efthymios I. Nikolopoulos, Elisa Destro, Md Abul Ehsan Bhuiyan, Marco Borga, and Emmanouil N. Anagnostou

Data sets

Updated logistic regression equations for the calculation of post-fire debris-flow likelihood in the western United States, U.S. Geological Survey Open-File Report 2016-1106 D. M. Staley, J. A. Negri, J. W. Kean, J. M. Laber, A. C. Tillery, and A. M. Youberg https://doi.org/10.3133/ofr20161106

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Short summary
Debris flows, following wildfires, constitute a significant threat to downstream populations and infrastructure. Therefore, developing measures to reduce the vulnerability of local communities to debris flows is of paramount importance. This work proposes a new model for predicting post-fire debris flow occurrence on a regional scale and demonstrates that the proposed model has notably higher skill than the currently used approaches.
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