Articles | Volume 15, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1785-2015
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-15-1785-2015
Research article
 | 
13 Aug 2015
Research article |  | 13 Aug 2015

Predicting storm-triggered debris flow events: application to the 2009 Ionian Peloritan disaster (Sicily, Italy)

M. Cama, L. Lombardo, C. Conoscenti, V. Agnesi, and E. Rotigliano

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Short summary
This work aims to test the basic assumption that new landslides will occur under the same conditions which drove the past ones, within the framework of susceptibility assessment. In order to evaluate the domain of validity of the aforementioned assumption, models have been built to predict two landslide scenarios exhibited in different time frames in the catchment of Itala (southern Italy). Chrono-validation procedures are carried out both forwards and backwards in time.
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