Landslide Prediction & Forecasting
Landslide Prediction & Forecasting
Editor(s): F. Catani and F. Guzzetti
Landslides are ubiquitous geomorphological phenomena with potentially catastrophic consequences. In several countries landslide mortality can be higher than that of any other natural hazard. Predicting landslides is a difficult task that is of both scientific interest and societal relevance that may help save lives and protect individual properties and collective resources. This special issue focuses on innovative methods and techniques to predict landslide occurrence, including the location, time, size, destructiveness of individual and multiple slope failures. All landslide types are considered, from fast rockfalls to rapid debris flows, from slow slides to very rapid rock avalanches. All geographical scales are considered, from the local to the global scale. Of interest are contributions investigating theoretical aspects of natural hazard prediction, with emphasis on landslide forecasting, including conceptual, mathematical, physical, statistical, numerical and computational problems, and applied contributions demonstrating, with examples, the possibility or the lack of a possibility to predict individual or multiple landslides, or specific landslide characteristics. Of particular interest are contributions aimed at: the evaluation of the quality of landslide forecasts; the comparison of the performance of different forecasting models; the use of landslide forecasts in operational systems; and investigations of the potential for the exploitation of new or emerging technologies e.g., monitoring, computational, Earth observation technologies, in order to improve our ability to predict landslides.

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21 Dec 2015
Application of a fast and efficient algorithm to assess landslide-prone areas in sensitive clays in Sweden
C. Melchiorre and A. Tryggvason
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2703–2713,,, 2015
21 Dec 2015
Determination of rainfall thresholds for shallow landslides by a probabilistic and empirical method
J. Huang, N. P. Ju, Y. J. Liao, and D. D. Liu
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2715–2723,,, 2015
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06 Nov 2015
Detailed and large-scale cost/benefit analyses of landslide prevention vs. post-event actions
G. Salbego, M. Floris, E. Busnardo, M. Toaldo, and R. Genevois
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2461–2472,,, 2015
23 Oct 2015
Quantitative comparison between two different methodologies to define rainfall thresholds for landslide forecasting
D. Lagomarsino, S. Segoni, A. Rosi, G. Rossi, A. Battistini, F. Catani, and N. Casagli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2413–2423,,, 2015
09 Oct 2015
A dynamic landslide hazard assessment system for Central America and Hispaniola
D. B. Kirschbaum, T. Stanley, and J. Simmons
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 2257–2272,,, 2015
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18 Aug 2015
A method for predicting the factor of safety of an infinite slope based on the depth ratio of the wetting front induced by rainfall infiltration
B.-G. Chae, J.-H. Lee, H.-J. Park, and J. Choi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1835–1849,,, 2015
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13 Aug 2015
Predicting storm-triggered debris flow events: application to the 2009 Ionian Peloritan disaster (Sicily, Italy)
M. Cama, L. Lombardo, C. Conoscenti, V. Agnesi, and E. Rotigliano
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1785–1806,,, 2015
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29 Jul 2015
Landslide early warning based on failure forecast models: the example of the Mt. de La Saxe rockslide, northern Italy
A. Manconi and D. Giordan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1639–1644,,, 2015
13 Jul 2015
Brief Communication: A new testing field for debris flow warning systems
M. Arattano, V. Coviello, M. Cavalli, F. Comiti, P. Macconi, J. Theule, and S. Crema
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1545–1549,,, 2015
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02 Jul 2015
Modeling debris-flow runout patterns on two alpine fans with different dynamic simulation models
K. Schraml, B. Thomschitz, B. W. McArdell, C. Graf, and R. Kaitna
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1483–1492,,, 2015
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19 Jun 2015
Rainfall and land use empirically coupled to forecast landslides in the Esino river basin, central Italy
E. Gioia, T. Carone, and F. Marincioni
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1289–1295,,, 2015
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21 May 2015
Site-specific to local-scale shallow landslides triggering zones assessment using TRIGRS
M. Bordoni, C. Meisina, R. Valentino, M. Bittelli, and S. Chersich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 1025–1050,,, 2015
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20 May 2015
A study on the use of planarity for quick identification of potential landslide hazard
M. H. Baek and T. H. Kim
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 997–1009,,, 2015
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24 Apr 2015
Monitoring and prediction in early warning systems for rapid mass movements
M. Stähli, M. Sättele, C. Huggel, B. W. McArdell, P. Lehmann, A. Van Herwijnen, A. Berne, M. Schleiss, A. Ferrari, A. Kos, D. Or, and S. M. Springman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 905–917,,, 2015
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16 Apr 2015
Technical Note: An operational landslide early warning system at regional scale based on space–time-variable rainfall thresholds
S. Segoni, A. Battistini, G. Rossi, A. Rosi, D. Lagomarsino, F. Catani, S. Moretti, and N. Casagli
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 853–861,,, 2015
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27 Mar 2015
Debris flows in the eastern Italian Alps: seasonality and atmospheric circulation patterns
E. I. Nikolopoulos, M. Borga, F. Marra, S. Crema, and L. Marchi
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 647–656,,, 2015
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20 Feb 2015
A model of mudflow propagation downstream from the Grohovo landslide near the city of Rijeka (Croatia)
E. Žic, Ž. Arbanas, N. Bićanić, and N. Ožanić
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 15, 293–313,,, 2015
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