Articles | Volume 26, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5691-2026
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-5691-2026
Research article
 | 
10 Nov 2026
Research article |  | 10 Nov 2026

21st-century strong wind and heavy precipitation hazards in the Asian monsoon region related to mesoscale convective systems: climatology, variability, and trends

Jie Feng, Jian Yang, and Zhongdong Duan

Cited articles

Chen, D., Guo, J., Yao, D., Lin, Y., Zhao, C., Min, M., Xu, H., Liu, L., Huang, X., Chen, T., and Zhai, P.: Mesoscale convective systems in the Asian monsoon region from advanced Himawari imager: algorithms and preliminary results, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 124, 2210–2234, https://doi.org/10.1029/2018JD029707, 2019. 
Chen, D., Guo, J., Yao, D., Feng, Z., and Lin, Y.: Elucidating the life cycle of warm-season mesoscale convective systems in eastern China from the Himawari-8 geostationary satellite, Remote Sens., 12, 2307, https://doi.org/10.3390/rs12142307, 2020. 
Chen, X., Leung, L. R., Feng, Z., Song, F., and Yang, Q.: Mesoscale convective systems dominate the energetics of the south Asian summer monsoon onset, Geophys. Res. Lett., 48, e2021GL094873, https://doi.org/10.1029/2021GL094873, 2021. 
Cheng, T. F., Dong, Q., Dai, L., and Lu, M.: A dual regime of mesoscale convective systems in the east Asian monsoon annual cycle, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 127, e2022JD036523, https://doi.org/10.1029/2022JD036523, 2022. 
Coniglio, M. C., Hwang, J. Y., and Stensrud, D. J.: Environmental factors in the upscale growth and longevity of MCSs derived from rapid update cycle analyses, Mon. Weather Rev., 138, 3514–3539, https://doi.org/10.1175/2010MWR3233.1, 2010. 
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Short summary
This study develops a long-term database of mesoscale convective systems (MCSs) across the Asian monsoon region and evaluates their impacts on hazardous weather. The results demonstrate that MCSs dominate regional precipitation and are strongly associated with severe convective hazards. Notably, increasing trends in both MCS activity and associated hazard potential are evident in eastern China, underscoring the urgent need to strengthen disaster prevention and response measures.
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