Articles | Volume 26, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-26-2189-2026
© Author(s) 2026. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Considering rainfall events from a neighborhood improves local flood frequency analysis
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- Final revised paper (published on 11 May 2026)
- Supplement to the final revised paper
- Preprint (discussion started on 11 Nov 2025)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4951', Anonymous Referee #1, 28 Nov 2025
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Paul Voit, 23 Jan 2026
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4951', Anonymous Referee #2, 05 Dec 2025
- AC2: 'Reply on RC2', Paul Voit, 23 Jan 2026
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RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2025-4951', Anonymous Referee #3, 15 Dec 2025
- AC3: 'Reply on RC3', Paul Voit, 23 Jan 2026
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Reconsider after major revisions (further review by editor and referees) (25 Jan 2026) by Mihai Niculita
AR by Paul Voit on behalf of the Authors (04 Feb 2026)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Referee Nomination & Report Request started (14 Mar 2026) by Mihai Niculita
RR by Anonymous Referee #1 (15 Mar 2026)
ED: Publish as is (16 Apr 2026) by Mihai Niculita
AR by Paul Voit on behalf of the Authors (21 Apr 2026)
Author's response
Manuscript
The term “local counterfactual” should be defined more firmly in the opening section so that readers unfamiliar with the concept can immediately grasp its hydrological meaning.
The introduction would benefit from a clearer explanation of why a 30-km neighborhood and ten neighboring catchments were selected as the basis for local counterfactual generation.
The background section is strong, but it would be helpful to distinguish more explicitly between catchment similarity and storm similarity, as the manuscript presently assumes these are equivalent.
The use of an uncalibrated SCS-CN and GIUH model across more than 13,000 catchments introduces considerable uncertainty, and the authors should include either a brief validation example or a reference to previous calibration results.
The criteria used to define "catchment similarity" deserve more explanation, especially regarding how the attributes were scaled and weighted in the KDTree analysis.
The assumption that storms producing high runoff in a nearby basin are hydrologically meaningful for the catchment of interest should be justified with either empirical evidence or literature support.
The manuscript should explain how independence among counterfactual annual maxima is ensured, given that neighboring catchments may experience correlated rainfall events.
Mixing factual and counterfactual peaks in a single GEV fit may violate standard assumptions, and this issue requires at least a clear justification in the methods section.
Although the QSS results show improvements, the authors should comment on the fact that GEVNCs outperforms GEVCoI even without using any data from the catchment of interest, which may indicate over-smoothing or strong regional influences.
The improvement of GEVNCs with increasing return period is convincingly shown, yet the manuscript should discuss why the lower tail benefits less from the counterfactual approach.
The discussion should reflect that counterfactual extremes depend strongly on the selected time window and may not represent the full range of possible events.
The authors appropriately highlight the short time series, but they omit discussion of potential non-stationarity in rainfall over the 2001–2023 period, which may influence GEV tail behaviour.
The conclusion section accurately summarizes the study, but it should offer clearer guidance on when the counterfactual method might be unsuitable—particularly in regions with strong orographic gradients or highly heterogeneous rainfall patterns.