Articles | Volume 25, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-2885-2025
© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Impact-based temporal clustering of multiple meteorological hazard types in southwestern Germany
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- Final revised paper (published on 27 Aug 2025)
- Preprint (discussion started on 18 Sep 2024)
Interactive discussion
Status: closed
Comment types: AC – author | RC – referee | CC – community | EC – editor | CEC – chief editor
| : Report abuse
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RC1: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2803', Sylvie Parey, 06 Nov 2024
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Katharina Küpfer, 20 Dec 2024
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RC2: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2803', Anonymous Referee #2, 08 Nov 2024
- AC3: 'Reply on RC2', Katharina Küpfer, 20 Dec 2024
- AC2: 'Reply on RC3', Katharina Küpfer, 20 Dec 2024
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RC3: 'Comment on egusphere-2024-2803', Dominik Paprotny, 16 Nov 2024
- AC2: 'Reply on RC3', Katharina Küpfer, 20 Dec 2024
- AC1: 'Reply on RC1', Katharina Küpfer, 20 Dec 2024
Peer review completion
AR – Author's response | RR – Referee report | ED – Editor decision | EF – Editorial file upload
ED: Publish subject to minor revisions (review by editor) (06 Jan 2025) by Aloïs Tilloy
AR by Katharina Küpfer on behalf of the Authors (07 Feb 2025)
Author's response
Author's tracked changes
Manuscript
ED: Publish as is (18 Feb 2025) by Aloïs Tilloy
ED: Publish as is (29 May 2025) by Bruce D. Malamud (Executive editor)
AR by Katharina Küpfer on behalf of the Authors (05 Jun 2025)
General comments
The paper analyzes the relevant question for risk assessment of the temporal clustering of events. The study is based on insurance loss data covering south-west Germany over the period 1986-2023. The hazard types associated to the losses are flood, storm and hail and they are associated to meteorological data. The hazards flood and storm are further separated into different phenomena since they can derive from different weather conditions: fluvial, pluvial or mixed floods on one hand and large-scale storms and convective gusts on the other hand, which makes sense. Then the methodology is described, and the results analyzed and discussed.
Specific comments
While seasonality is handled both in the loss data and in some hazards’ characterization, it is not considered when identifying the major loss events. In my opinion, because seasonality is clearly identified in the loss distribution, it should be considered in the characterization, otherwise the percentile is computed in mixing different types of losses, which can be misleading. Therefore, I would suggest that the discussion devoted to the loss distribution analysis in section 4 is moved before the major loss events identification in section 2, justifying that the identification should be made on a seasonal basis. Then the same methodologies can be applied for each main season of occurrence and further summarized at the annual scale if necessary.
The identified clustered hazards are physically relevant, which is reassuring, but one may wonder whether such an analysis was really necessary to derive the results. An interesting question regarding these events is the role of decadal variability, which is hard to infer with less than 40 years of observations. The identified clustering may be explained both by the fact that the clustered hazards derive from the same weather situation and by the fact that those weather situations occur more frequently during certain decades compared to others. This should be considered when analyzing trends too.
Technical corrections
Line 18: “Damage by those hazard” : hazards
Line 98: the closing bracket should be removed after 36 000 km2
Line 110: “onlyf” is written instead of “only”
Line 126: “Given the the different environmental conditions” 2 instances of “the”, one should be removed
line 472: “(see Fig 8” the closing bracket is missing
line 570: “It should furthermore not be neglected is that there is a stochastic element”: “is” should be removed