Validated probabilistic approach to estimate flood direct impacts  on the population and assets on European coastlines

Duo, Enrico; Montes, Juan; Le Gal, Marine; Fernández-Montblanc, Tomás; Ciavola, Paolo; Armaroli, Clara

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-13-2025

Articles | Volume 25, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-13-2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-13-2025

© Author(s) 2025. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 25, issue 1

Research article

|

03 Jan 2025

Research article |

| 03 Jan 2025

Validated probabilistic approach to estimate flood direct impacts on the population and assets on European coastlines

Enrico Duo, Juan Montes, Marine Le Gal, Tomás Fernández-Montblanc, Paolo Ciavola, and Clara Armaroli

Data sets

ECFAS Pan-EU Flood Catalogue, D5.4 – Pan-EU flood maps catalogue - ECFAS project (GA 101004211), https://www.ecfas.eu/ (1.3) Marine Le Gal, et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7488978

ECFAS Pan-EU Impact Catalogue, D5.4 – Pan-EU flood maps catalogue - ECFAS project (GA 101004211), www.ecfas.eu (1.2) Enrico Duo, et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6951527

Model code and software

ECFAS Impact Tool, D5.3 – Algorithms for impact assessment - ECFAS project (GA 101004211), www.ecfas.eu (Versión 2) Enrico Duo, et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7489035

Short summary

The present work, developed within the EU H2020 European Coastal Flood Awareness System (ECFAS) project, presents an approach used to estimate direct impacts of coastal flood on population, buildings, and roads along European coasts. The findings demonstrate that the ECFAS impact approach offers valuable estimates for affected populations, reliable damage assessments for buildings and roads, and improved accuracy compared to traditional grid-based approaches.