Articles | Volume 24, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-973-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-973-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Thresholds for estuarine compound flooding using a combined hydrodynamic–statistical modelling approach
Charlotte Lyddon
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography and Planning, University of Liverpool, Liverpool, UK
Nguyen Chien
School of Engineering, University of Edinburgh, Edinburgh, UK
Grigorios Vasilopoulos
School of Environmental Sciences, University of Hull, Hull, UK
Michael Ridgill
School of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University, Bangor, UK
Sogol Moradian
Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland
Agnieszka Olbert
Civil Engineering, University of Galway, Galway, Ireland
Thomas Coulthard
School of Environmental Sciences, University of Hull, Hull, UK
Andrew Barkwith
British Geological Survey, Keyworth, Nottingham, UK
Peter Robins
School of Ocean Sciences, Bangor University, Bangor, UK
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Cited
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing hydrodynamic impacts of tidal range energy impoundments in UK coastal waters E. Roome et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121601
- Trends and Applications of Hydro-Morphological Modeling in Estuarine Systems: A Systematic Review of the Past 15 Years N. Mora-Uribe et al. 10.3390/jmse13061056
- Future climate projections in the global coastal ocean J. Holt et al. 10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103497
- Forecasting of compound ocean-fluvial floods using machine learning S. Moradian et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121295
- Assessing Compound Coastal–Fluvial Flood Impacts and Resilience Under Extreme Scenarios in Demak, Indonesia A. Chrysanti et al. 10.3390/su162310315
- Predicting norovirus contamination and antimicrobial resistance in coastal waters from community and hospital-derived sources T. Clough et al. 10.1016/j.watres.2025.124555
- A copula post-processing method for wind power projections under climate change S. Moradian et al. 10.1016/j.ecmx.2024.100660
- Integrated multi-index drought monitoring and projection under climate change S. Moradian et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107946
- Environmental Variability and its Impact on Phytoplankton Communities in Taiwan's Aogu Wetland H. Lai & Y. Kuo 10.1007/s11270-025-07831-4
- Inundación compuesta en el estuario de Santoña: umbrales bivariados y su aplicación en alertas tempranas D. Gómez-Rave et al. 10.4995/ia.2025.23025
10 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Assessing hydrodynamic impacts of tidal range energy impoundments in UK coastal waters E. Roome et al. 10.1016/j.renene.2024.121601
- Trends and Applications of Hydro-Morphological Modeling in Estuarine Systems: A Systematic Review of the Past 15 Years N. Mora-Uribe et al. 10.3390/jmse13061056
- Future climate projections in the global coastal ocean J. Holt et al. 10.1016/j.pocean.2025.103497
- Forecasting of compound ocean-fluvial floods using machine learning S. Moradian et al. 10.1016/j.jenvman.2024.121295
- Assessing Compound Coastal–Fluvial Flood Impacts and Resilience Under Extreme Scenarios in Demak, Indonesia A. Chrysanti et al. 10.3390/su162310315
- Predicting norovirus contamination and antimicrobial resistance in coastal waters from community and hospital-derived sources T. Clough et al. 10.1016/j.watres.2025.124555
- A copula post-processing method for wind power projections under climate change S. Moradian et al. 10.1016/j.ecmx.2024.100660
- Integrated multi-index drought monitoring and projection under climate change S. Moradian et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2025.107946
- Environmental Variability and its Impact on Phytoplankton Communities in Taiwan's Aogu Wetland H. Lai & Y. Kuo 10.1007/s11270-025-07831-4
- Inundación compuesta en el estuario de Santoña: umbrales bivariados y su aplicación en alertas tempranas D. Gómez-Rave et al. 10.4995/ia.2025.23025
Latest update: 18 Sep 2025
Short summary
Recent storms in the UK, like Storm Ciara in 2020, show how vulnerable estuaries are to the combined effect of sea level and river discharge. We show the combinations of sea levels and river discharges that cause flooding in the Conwy estuary, N Wales. The results showed flooding was amplified under moderate conditions in the middle estuary and elsewhere sea state or river flow dominated the hazard. Combined sea and river thresholds can improve prediction and early warning of compound flooding.
Recent storms in the UK, like Storm Ciara in 2020, show how vulnerable estuaries are to the...
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