Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 24, issue 3
Articles | Volume 24, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-873-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-873-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 24, issue 3
Research article
 | 
14 Mar 2024
Research article |  | 14 Mar 2024

Flash flood detection via copula-based intensity–duration–frequency curves: evidence from Jamaica

Dino Collalti, Nekeisha Spencer, and Eric Strobl

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Latest update: 21 Feb 2025
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Short summary
The risk of extreme rainfall events causing floods is likely increasing with climate change. Flash floods, which follow immediately after extreme rainfall, are particularly difficult to forecast and assess. We develop a decision rule for flash flood classification with data on all incidents between 2001 and 2018 in Jamaica with the statistical copula method. This decision rule tells us for any rainfall event of a certain duration how intense it has to be to likely trigger a flash flood.
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