Articles | Volume 24, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2025-2024
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-2025-2024
Research article
 | 
21 Jun 2024
Research article |  | 21 Jun 2024

Estimation of future rainfall extreme values by temperature-dependent disaggregation of climate model data

Niklas Ebers, Kai Schröter, and Hannes Müller-Thomy

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Cited articles

Al-Ansari, N., Abdellatif, M., Ezeelden, M., Ali, S. S., and Knutsson, S.: Climate Change and Future Long-Term Trends of Rainfall at North-East of Iraq, Journal of Civil Engineering and Architecture, 8, 790–805, https://doi.org/10.17265/1934-7359/2014.06.014, 2014. 
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Araújo, J. R., Ramos, A. M., Soares, P. M. M., Melo, R., Oliveira, S. C., and Trigo, R. M.: Impact of extreme rainfall events on landslide activity in Portugal under climate change scenarios, Landslides, 19, 2279–2293, https://doi.org/10.1007/s10346-022-01895-7, 2022. 
Beck, H. E., Zimmermann, N. E., McVicar, T. R., Vergopolan, N., Berg, A., and Wood, E. F.: Present and future Köppen-Geiger climate classification maps at 1 km resolution, Scientific Data, 5, 180214, https://doi.org/10.1038/sdata.2018.214, 2018. 
Berne, A., Delrieu, G., Creutin, J.-D., and Obled, C.: Temporal and spatial resolution of rainfall measurements required for urban hydrology, J. Hydrol., 299, 166–179, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2004.08.002, 2004. 
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Short summary
Future changes in sub-daily rainfall extreme values are essential in various hydrological fields, but climate scenarios typically offer only daily resolution. One solution is rainfall generation. With a temperature-dependent rainfall generator climate scenario data were disaggregated to 5 min rainfall time series for 45 locations across Germany. The analysis of the future 5 min rainfall time series showed an increase in the rainfall extremes values for rainfall durations of 5 min and 1 h.
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