Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate

Severino, Luca G.; Kropf, Chahan M.; Afargan-Gerstman, Hilla; Fairless, Christopher; de Vries, Andries Jan; Domeisen, Daniela I. V.; Bresch, David N.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024

Articles | Volume 24, issue 5

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024

© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024

© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 24, issue 5

Research article

| Highlight paper

|

03 May 2024

Research article | Highlight paper |

| 03 May 2024

Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate

Luca G. Severino, Chahan M. Kropf, Hilla Afargan-Gerstman, Christopher Fairless, Andries Jan de Vries, Daniela I. V. Domeisen, and David N. Bresch

Data sets

European winter windstorm days from ERA5 and CMIP6 models (Version v1) L. G. Severino et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11058585

Model code and software

CLIMADA-project/climada_python: v3.2.0 gabrielaznar et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.6807463

CLIMADA-project/climada_python: v4.3.1 G. Aznar-Siguan et al. https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.8308160

Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate - scripts (v1.0.0) L. G. Severino https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.11048701

Executive editor

The future of loss and damage from severe European winterstorms remains an open topic for research, societies and affected communities. This manuscript fills a significant gap in our current understanding of future lossess based on the lastes CMIP6 model simulations. The findings demonstrate the importance of climate model uncertainty for the CMIP6 projections of windstorms in Europe, and emphasize the increasing need for risk mitigation due to extreme weather in the future.