Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences
NHESS
Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-109-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-109-2024
© Author(s) 2024. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Articles | Volume 24, issue 1
Research article
 | 
17 Jan 2024
Research article |  | 17 Jan 2024

Earthquake forecasting model for Albania: the area source model and the smoothing model

Edlira Xhafaj, Chung-Han Chan, and Kuo-Fong Ma

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Latest update: 02 Nov 2025
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Short summary
Our study introduces new earthquake forecasting models for Albania, aiming to map out future seismic hazards. By analysing earthquakes from 1960 to 2006, we have developed models that predict where activity is most likely to occur, highlighting the western coast and southern regions as high-hazard zones. Our validation process confirms these models are effective tools for anticipating seismic events, offering valuable insights for earthquake preparedness and hazard assessment efforts.
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