Articles | Volume 23, issue 2
Research article
07 Feb 2023
Research article |  | 07 Feb 2023

Validating a tailored drought risk assessment methodology: drought risk assessment in local Papua New Guinea regions

Isabella Aitkenhead, Yuriy Kuleshov, Jessica Bhardwaj, Zhi-Weng Chua, Chayn Sun, and Suelynn Choy

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Cited articles

Aerts, J. C. J. H., Botzen, W. J., Clarke, K. C., Cutter, S. L., Hall, J. W., Merz, B., Michel-Kerjan, E., Mysiak, J., Surminski, S., and Kunreuther, H.: Integrating human behaviour dynamics into flood disaster risk assessment, Nat. Clim. Change, 8, 193–199,, 2018. 
Aitkenhead, I., Kuleshov, Y., Watkins, A. B., Bhardwaj, J., and Asghari, A.: Assessing agricultural drought management strategies in the Northern Murray–Darling Basin, Nat. Hazards, 109, 1425–1455,, 2021. 
Allan, R. J., Gergis, J., and D'Arrigo, R. D.: Placing the AD 2014–2016 “protracted” El Niño episode into a long-term context, Holocene, 30, 90–105,, 2019. 
Allen, B. and Bourke, R.: The 1997–98 Drought in Papua New Guinea: Failure of Policy or Triumph of the Citizenry?, in: Policy Making and Implementation Studies from Papua New Guinea, edited by: May, R., State, Society and Governance in Melanesia, ANU Press, Australia, 325–343, (last access: 5 July 2021), 2009. 
Anand, A., Agrawal, M., Bhatt, N., and Ram, M.: Software Patch Scheduling Policy Incorporating Functional Safety Standards, in: Advances in System Reliability Engineering, Academic Press, 267–279,, 2019. 
Short summary
A case study assessing drought risk in Papua New Guinea (PNG) provinces for retrospective years (2014–2020) was conducted to demonstrate the development and validate the application of a tailored and semi-dynamic drought risk assessment methodology. Hazard, vulnerability, and exposure indicators appropriate for monitoring drought in PNG provinces were selected. The risk assessment accurately indicated a strong drought event in 2015–2016 and a moderate event in 2019.
Final-revised paper