Articles | Volume 23, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-45-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-45-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
12 Jan 2023
Research article |
| 12 Jan 2023
| 12 Jan 2023
Assessing agriculture's vulnerability to drought in European pre-Alpine regions
Ruth Stephan
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacher Str. 4, 79085 Freiburg i. Br., Germany
Stefano Terzi
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100 Bolzano, Italy
Center for Global Mountain Safeguard Research, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100 Bolzano, Italy
Institute for Environment and Human Security (UNU-EHS), United Nations University, Platz der Vereinten Nationen 1, 53113 Bonn, Germany
Mathilde Erfurt
Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacher Str. 4, 79085 Freiburg i. Br., Germany
Silvia Cocuccioni
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100 Bolzano, Italy
Kerstin Stahl
Faculty of Environment and Natural Resources, University of Freiburg, Tennenbacher Str. 4, 79085 Freiburg i. Br., Germany
Marc Zebisch
Institute for Earth Observation, Eurac Research, Viale Druso 1, 39100 Bolzano, Italy
Related authors
Ruth Stephan, Mathilde Erfurt, Stefano Terzi, Maja Žun, Boštjan Kristan, Klaus Haslinger, and Kerstin Stahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2485–2501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2485-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2485-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The Alpine Drought Impact report Inventory (EDIIALPS) archives drought impact reports across the European Alpine region with an increasing number of impacts over time. The most affected sectors are agriculture and livestock farming and public water supply, for which management strategies are essential for future climate regimes. We show spatial heterogeneity and seasonal differences between the impacted sectors and between impacts triggered by soil moisture drought and hydrological drought.
Marc Lemus-Canovas, Alice Crespi, Elena Maines, Stefano Terzi, and Massimiliano Pittore
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1347, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2025-1347, 2025
Short summary
Short summary
We studied a severe compound drought and heatwave event in the Adige River basin in May 2022 and found that similar events are now hotter and drier due to current warming. These changes worsen water stress and river drying. We show that timing matters: events in June are now more critical than in April, as the snowmelt contribution to streamflow in June has become much lower than in the past. However, many climate models still fail to capture these changes.
Amelie Herzog, Jost Hellwig, and Kerstin Stahl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 28, 4065–4083, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4065-2024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-28-4065-2024, 2024
Short summary
Short summary
Surface water–groundwater interaction can vary along a river. This study used a groundwater model that reproduced relative observed longitudinal and vertical connectivity patterns in the river network to assess the system's response to imposed stress tests. For the case study, imposed groundwater abstraction appears to influence connectivity relatively more than altered recharge, but a quantification of absolute exchange flows will require further model improvements.
Yonca Cavus, Kerstin Stahl, and Hafzullah Aksoy
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 27, 3427–3445, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-3427-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-3427-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
With intensified extremes under climate change, water demand increases. Every drop of water is more valuable than before when drought is experienced particularly. We developed drought intensity–duration–frequency curves using physical indicators, the deficit in precipitation and streamflow, for a more straightforward interpretation. Tests with the observed major droughts in two climatologically different catchments confirmed the practical applicability of the curves under drought conditions.
Heidi Kreibich, Kai Schröter, Giuliano Di Baldassarre, Anne F. Van Loon, Maurizio Mazzoleni, Guta Wakbulcho Abeshu, Svetlana Agafonova, Amir AghaKouchak, Hafzullah Aksoy, Camila Alvarez-Garreton, Blanca Aznar, Laila Balkhi, Marlies H. Barendrecht, Sylvain Biancamaria, Liduin Bos-Burgering, Chris Bradley, Yus Budiyono, Wouter Buytaert, Lucinda Capewell, Hayley Carlson, Yonca Cavus, Anaïs Couasnon, Gemma Coxon, Ioannis Daliakopoulos, Marleen C. de Ruiter, Claire Delus, Mathilde Erfurt, Giuseppe Esposito, Didier François, Frédéric Frappart, Jim Freer, Natalia Frolova, Animesh K. Gain, Manolis Grillakis, Jordi Oriol Grima, Diego A. Guzmán, Laurie S. Huning, Monica Ionita, Maxim Kharlamov, Dao Nguyen Khoi, Natalie Kieboom, Maria Kireeva, Aristeidis Koutroulis, Waldo Lavado-Casimiro, Hong-Yi Li, Maria Carmen LLasat, David Macdonald, Johanna Mård, Hannah Mathew-Richards, Andrew McKenzie, Alfonso Mejia, Eduardo Mario Mendiondo, Marjolein Mens, Shifteh Mobini, Guilherme Samprogna Mohor, Viorica Nagavciuc, Thanh Ngo-Duc, Huynh Thi Thao Nguyen, Pham Thi Thao Nhi, Olga Petrucci, Nguyen Hong Quan, Pere Quintana-Seguí, Saman Razavi, Elena Ridolfi, Jannik Riegel, Md Shibly Sadik, Nivedita Sairam, Elisa Savelli, Alexey Sazonov, Sanjib Sharma, Johanna Sörensen, Felipe Augusto Arguello Souza, Kerstin Stahl, Max Steinhausen, Michael Stoelzle, Wiwiana Szalińska, Qiuhong Tang, Fuqiang Tian, Tamara Tokarczyk, Carolina Tovar, Thi Van Thu Tran, Marjolein H. J. van Huijgevoort, Michelle T. H. van Vliet, Sergiy Vorogushyn, Thorsten Wagener, Yueling Wang, Doris E. Wendt, Elliot Wickham, Long Yang, Mauricio Zambrano-Bigiarini, and Philip J. Ward
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 15, 2009–2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2009-2023, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-15-2009-2023, 2023
Short summary
Short summary
As the adverse impacts of hydrological extremes increase in many regions of the world, a better understanding of the drivers of changes in risk and impacts is essential for effective flood and drought risk management. We present a dataset containing data of paired events, i.e. two floods or two droughts that occurred in the same area. The dataset enables comparative analyses and allows detailed context-specific assessments. Additionally, it supports the testing of socio-hydrological models.
Erik Tijdeman, Veit Blauhut, Michael Stoelzle, Lucas Menzel, and Kerstin Stahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2099–2116, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2099-2022, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2099-2022, 2022
Short summary
Short summary
We identified different drought types with typical hazard and impact characteristics. The summer drought type with compounding heat was most impactful. Regional drought propagation of this drought type exhibited typical characteristics that can guide drought management. However, we also found a large spatial variability that caused distinct differences among propagating drought signals. Accordingly, local multivariate drought information was needed to explain the full range of drought impacts.
Stefano Terzi, Janez Sušnik, Stefan Schneiderbauer, Silvia Torresan, and Andrea Critto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3519–3537, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
This study combines outputs from multiple models with statistical assessments of past and future water availability and demand for the Santa Giustina reservoir (Autonomous Province of Trento, Italy). Considering future climate change scenarios, results show high reductions for stored volume and turbined water, with increasing frequency, duration and severity. These results call for the need to adapt to reductions in water availability and effects on the Santa Giustina reservoir management.
Ruth Stephan, Mathilde Erfurt, Stefano Terzi, Maja Žun, Boštjan Kristan, Klaus Haslinger, and Kerstin Stahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2485–2501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2485-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2485-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The Alpine Drought Impact report Inventory (EDIIALPS) archives drought impact reports across the European Alpine region with an increasing number of impacts over time. The most affected sectors are agriculture and livestock farming and public water supply, for which management strategies are essential for future climate regimes. We show spatial heterogeneity and seasonal differences between the impacted sectors and between impacts triggered by soil moisture drought and hydrological drought.
Alice Crespi, Michael Matiu, Giacomo Bertoldi, Marcello Petitta, and Marc Zebisch
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 13, 2801–2818, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2801-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-13-2801-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
A 250 m gridded dataset of 1980–2018 daily mean temperature and precipitation records for Trentino–South Tyrol (north-eastern Italian Alps) was derived from a quality-controlled and homogenized archive of station observations. The errors associated with the final interpolated fields were assessed and thoroughly discussed. The product will be regularly updated and is meant to support regional climate studies and local monitoring and applications in integration with other fine-resolution data.
Marit Van Tiel, Anne F. Van Loon, Jan Seibert, and Kerstin Stahl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 3245–3265, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3245-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-3245-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Glaciers can buffer streamflow during dry and warm periods, but under which circumstances can melt compensate precipitation deficits? Streamflow responses to warm and dry events were analyzed using
long-term observations of 50 glacierized catchments in Norway, Canada, and the European Alps. Region, timing of the event, relative glacier cover, and antecedent event conditions all affect the level of compensation during these events. This implies that glaciers do not compensate straightforwardly.
Michael Matiu, Alice Crespi, Giacomo Bertoldi, Carlo Maria Carmagnola, Christoph Marty, Samuel Morin, Wolfgang Schöner, Daniele Cat Berro, Gabriele Chiogna, Ludovica De Gregorio, Sven Kotlarski, Bruno Majone, Gernot Resch, Silvia Terzago, Mauro Valt, Walter Beozzo, Paola Cianfarra, Isabelle Gouttevin, Giorgia Marcolini, Claudia Notarnicola, Marcello Petitta, Simon C. Scherrer, Ulrich Strasser, Michael Winkler, Marc Zebisch, Andrea Cicogna, Roberto Cremonini, Andrea Debernardi, Mattia Faletto, Mauro Gaddo, Lorenzo Giovannini, Luca Mercalli, Jean-Michel Soubeyroux, Andrea Sušnik, Alberto Trenti, Stefano Urbani, and Viktor Weilguni
The Cryosphere, 15, 1343–1382, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1343-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1343-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
The first Alpine-wide assessment of station snow depth has been enabled by a collaborative effort of the research community which involves more than 30 partners, 6 countries, and more than 2000 stations. It shows how snow in the European Alps matches the climatic zones and gives a robust estimate of observed changes: stronger decreases in the snow season at low elevations and in spring at all elevations, however, with considerable regional differences.
Jost Hellwig, Michael Stoelzle, and Kerstin Stahl
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 1053–1068, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1053-2021, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-25-1053-2021, 2021
Short summary
Short summary
Potential future groundwater and baseflow drought hazards depend on systems' sensitivity to altered recharge conditions. With three generic scenarios, we found different sensitivities across Germany driven by hydrogeology. While changes in drought hazard due to seasonal recharge shifts will be rather low, a lengthening of dry spells could cause stronger responses in regions with slow groundwater response to precipitation, urging local water management to prepare for more severe droughts.
Maria Staudinger, Stefan Seeger, Barbara Herbstritt, Michael Stoelzle, Jan Seibert, Kerstin Stahl, and Markus Weiler
Earth Syst. Sci. Data, 12, 3057–3066, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3057-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/essd-12-3057-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The data set CH-IRP provides isotope composition in precipitation and streamflow from 23 Swiss catchments, being unique regarding its long-term multi-catchment coverage along an alpine–pre-alpine gradient. CH-IRP contains fortnightly time series of stable water isotopes from streamflow grab samples complemented by time series in precipitation. Sampling conditions, catchment and climate information, lab standards and errors are provided together with areal precipitation and catchment boundaries.
Alexandra Nauditt, Kerstin Stahl, Erasmo Rodríguez, Christian Birkel, Rosa Maria Formiga-Johnsson, Kallio Marko, Hamish Hann, Lars Ribbe, Oscar M. Baez-Villanueva, and Joschka Thurner
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2020-360, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2020-360, 2020
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary
Short summary
Recurrent droughts are causing severe damages to tropical countries. We used gridded drought hazard and vulnerability data sets to map drought risk in four mesoscale rural tropical study regions in Latin America and Vietnam/Cambodia. Our risk maps clearly identified drought risk hotspots and displayed spatial and sector-wise distribution of hazard and vulnerability. As results were confirmed by local stakeholders our approach provides relevant information for drought managers in the Tropics.
Mathilde Erfurt, Georgios Skiadaresis, Erik Tijdeman, Veit Blauhut, Jürgen Bauhus, Rüdiger Glaser, Julia Schwarz, Willy Tegel, and Kerstin Stahl
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 2979–2995, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2979-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-2979-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Droughts are multifaceted hazards with widespread negative consequences for the environment and society. This study explores different perspectives on drought and determines the added value of multidisciplinary datasets for a comprehensive understanding of past drought events in southwestern Germany. A long-term evaluation of drought frequency since 1801 revealed that events occurred in all decades, but a particular clustering was found in the mid-19th century and the most recent decade.
Michael Stoelzle, Maria Staudinger, Kerstin Stahl, and Markus Weiler
Proc. IAHS, 383, 43–50, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-383-43-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-383-43-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
The role of recharge and catchment storage is crucial to understand streamflow drought sensitivity. Here we introduce a model experiment with recharge stress tests as complement to climate scenarios to quantify the streamflow drought sensitivities of catchments in Switzerland. We identified a pre-drought period of 12 months as maximum storage-memory for the study catchments. From stress testing, we found up to 200 days longer summer streamflow droughts and minimum flow reductions of 50 %–80 %.
Kerstin Stahl, Jean-Philippe Vidal, Jamie Hannaford, Erik Tijdeman, Gregor Laaha, Tobias Gauster, and Lena M. Tallaksen
Proc. IAHS, 383, 291–295, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-383-291-2020, https://doi.org/10.5194/piahs-383-291-2020, 2020
Short summary
Short summary
Numerous indices exist for the description of hydrological drought, some are based on absolute thresholds of overall streamflows or water levels and some are based on relative anomalies with respect to the season. This article discusses paradigms and experiences with such index uses in drought monitoring and drought analysis to raise awareness of the different interpretations of drought severity.
Cited articles
Ayantunde, A. A., Turner, M. D., and Kalilou, A.: Participatory analysis of
vulnerability to drought in three agro-pastoral communities in the West
African Sahel, Pastoralism, 5, 1–11, 2015. a
Becker, D., Renner, K., and Schneiderbauer, S.: Assessing and Mapping Climate Change Vulnerability with the Help of GIS: Example of Burundi: GI_Forum, Geospatial Innovation for Society, 101–104, http://austriaca.at/0xc1aa5576_0x0030d408.pdf (last access: 10 August 2022), 2014. a
Beniston, M. and Stoffel, M.: Assessing the impacts of climatic change on
mountain water resources, Sci. Total Environ., 493,
1129–1137, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2013.11.122, 2014. a
Birhanu, Z., Ambelu, A., Berhanu, N., Tesfaye, A., and Woldemichael, K.: Understanding resilience dimensions and adaptive strategies to the impact of recurrent droughts in Borana Zone, Oromia Region, Ethiopia: A grounded theory approach, Int. J. Env. Res. Pub. He., 14, 118, https://doi.org/10.3390/ijerph14020118, 2017. a
Birkmann, J., Cardona, O. D., Carreño, M. L., Barbat, A. H., Pelling, M., Schneiderbauer, S., Kienberger, S., Keiler, M., Alexander, D., and Zeil, P.:
Framing vulnerability, risk and societal responses: the MOVE framework,
Nat. Hazards, 67, 193–211, 2013. a
Blauhut, V.: The triple complexity of drought risk analysis and its visualisation via mapping: a review across scales and sectors, Earth-Sci.
Rev., 210, 103345, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.earscirev.2020.103345, 2020. a
Bogner, A. and Menz, W.: The theory-generating expert interview:
epistemological interest, forms of knowledge, interaction, in: Interviewing
experts, 43–80, Springer, ISBN 978-0-230-22019-5, 2009. a
Carrão, H., Naumann, G., and Barbosa, P.: Mapping global patterns of
drought risk: An empirical framework based on sub-national estimates of
hazard, exposure and vulnerability, Global Environ. Chang., 39,
108–124, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloenvcha.2016.04.012, 2016. a
DMCSEE: Drought Mitigation Centre for Southeastern Europe, Drought monitoring bulletin: Overview from February to September 2017, http://www.dmcsee.org/uploads/file/430_dmcsee_bulletin_season2017.pdf (last access: 10 August 2022), 2017. a
DROUGHT-CH: Early recognition of critical drought and low flow conditions in
Switzerland, http://www.drought.ch, last access: 20 July 2022. a
EU-DEM: Copernicus Land Monitoring Service – EU-DEM [data set], https://land.copernicus.eu/imagery-in-situ/eu-dem/eu-dem-v1.1/view,
last access: 15 March 2022. a
European Mountain Areas: European Mountain Areas – Version 1 [data set], https://www.eea.europa.eu/data-and-maps/data/european-mountain-areas,
last access: 15 March 2022. a
Fritzsche, K., Schneiderbauer, S., Bubeck, P., Kienberger, S., Buth, M., Zebisch, M., and Kahlenborn, W.: The Vulnerability Sourcebook: Concept and guidelines for standardised vulnerability assessments, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, https://www.adaptationcommunity.net/download/va/vulnerability-guides-manuals-reports/vuln_source_2017_EN.pdf (last access: 10 January 2023), 2014. a
GIZ and EURAC: Risk supplement to the vulnerability sourcebook, Guidance on How to Apply the Vulnerability Sourcebook's Approach with the New IPCC AR5 Concept of Climate Risk, Deutsche Gesellschaft für Internationale Zusammenarbeit (GIZ) GmbH, http://www.adaptationcommunity.net/wp-content/uploads/2017/10/GIZ-2017_Risk-Supplement-to-the-Vulnerability-Sourcebook.pdf (last access: 10 January 2023), 2017. a
Glaser, B. G., Strauss, A. L., and Strutzel, E.: The discovery of grounded
theory; strategies for qualitative research, Nurs. Res., 17, p. 364, https://doi.org/10.1097/00006199-196807000-00014, 1968. a
González Tánago, I., Urquijo, J., Blauhut, V., Villarroya, F., and de Stefano, L.: Learning from experience: a systematic review of assessments
of vulnerability to drought, Nat. Hazards, 80, 951–973,
https://doi.org/10.1007/s11069-015-2006-1, 2016. a
Guest, G., Bunce, A., and Johnson, L.: How many interviews are enough? An
experiment with data saturation and variability, Field Method., 18, 59–82,
2006. a
Hagenlocher, M., Meza, I., Anderson, C. C., Min, A., Renaud, F. G., Walz, Y.,
Siebert, S., and Sebesvari, Z.: Drought vulnerability and risk assessments:
state of the art, persistent gaps, and research agenda, Environ. Res. Lett., 14, 083002, https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ab225d, 2019. a, b, c
Hanel, M., Rakovec, O., Markonis, Y., Máca, P., Samaniego, L., Kyselý, J., and Kumar, R.: Revisiting the recent European droughts from a long-term perspective, Sci. Rep., 8, 1–11, 2018. a
Hartl-Meier, C., Zang, C., Dittmar, C., Esper, J., Göttlein, A., and Rothe, A.: Vulnerability of Norway spruce to climate change in mountain forests of the European Alps, Clim. Res., 60, 119–132, 2014. a
Haslinger, K. and Blöschl, G.: Space-Time Patterns of Meteorological Drought Events in the European Greater Alpine Region Over the Past 210 Years,
Water Resour. Res., 53, 9807–9823, https://doi.org/10.1002/2017WR020797, 2017. a
Hobbs, P. R., Sayre, K., and Gupta, R.: The role of conservation agriculture in sustainable agriculture, Philos. T. Roy. Soc. Lond. B, 363, 543–555,
https://doi.org/10.1098/rstb.2007.2169, 2008. a
Immerzeel, W. W., Lutz, A. F., Andrade, M., Bahl, A., Biemans, H., Bolch, T., Hyde, S., Brumby, S., Davies, B. J., Elmore, A. C., Emmer, A., Feng, M., Fernández, A., Haritashya, U., Kargel, J. S., Koppes, M., Kraaijenbrink, P. D. A., Kulkarni, A. V., Mayewski, P. A., Nepal, S., Pacheco, P., Painter,
T. H., Pellicciotti, F., Rajaram, H., Rupper, S., Sinisalo, A., Shrestha,
A. B., Viviroli, D., Wada, Y., Xiao, C., Yao, T., and Baillie, J. E. M.:
Importance and vulnerability of the world's water towers, Nature, 577,
364–369, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41586-019-1822-y, 2020. a
IPCC: Managing the Risks of Extreme Events and Disasters to Advance Climate Change Adaptation: A Special Report of Working Groups I and II of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, Special Report of the IPCC, edited by: Field, C. B., Barros, V., Stocker, T. F., Qin, D., Dokken, D. J., Ebi, K. L., Mastrandrea, M. D., Mach, K. J., Plattner, G.-K., Allen, S. K., Tignor, M., and Midgley, P. M., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK,
and New York, NY, USA, 582 pp., ISBN 978-1-107-02506-6, 2012. a
IPCC: Climate Change 2022: Impacts, Adaptation and Vulnerability. Contribution of Working Group II to the Sixth Assessment Report of the Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change, edited by: Pörtner, H.-O., Roberts, D. C., Tignor, M., Poloczanska, E. S., Mintenbeck, K., Alegría, A., Craig, M., Langsdorf, S., Löschke, S., Möller, V., Okem, A., and Rama, B., Cambridge University Press, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, UK and New York, NY, USA, 3056 pp., https://www.ipcc.ch/report/ar6/wg2/ (last access: 10 January 2023), 2022. a
Kienberger, S., Borderon, M., Bollin, C., and Jell, B.: Climate change vulnerability assessment in Mauritania: Reflections on data quality, spatial
scales, aggregation and visualizations, GI_Forum Journal, 1, 167–175,
2016. a
Komac, B., Ferk, M., Pipan, P., Tičar, J., and Zorn, M.: Nat. Hazards in Slovenia, The Geography of Slovenia. World Regional Geography Book Series, Springer, Cham, 259–277, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-030-14066-3_17, 2019. a
Laaha, G., Gauster, T., Tallaksen, L. M., Vidal, J.-P., Stahl, K., Prudhomme, C., Heudorfer, B., Vlnas, R., Ionita, M., Van Lanen, H. A. J., Adler, M.-J., Caillouet, L., Delus, C., Fendekova, M., Gailliez, S., Hannaford, J., Kingston, D., Van Loon, A. F., Mediero, L., Osuch, M., Romanowicz, R., Sauquet, E., Stagge, J. H., and Wong, W. K.: The European 2015 drought from a hydrological perspective, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3001–3024, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-21-3001-2017, 2017. a
LID: Landwirtschaftlicher Informationsdienst: Thurgauer Landwirtschaft Zum Anfassen, https://www.lid.ch/fileadmin/lid/Produkte/Kantonsbroschueren/55263_Broschuere_Thurgauer-Landwirtschaft.pdf (last access: 10 August 2022), 2007. a
Martin, R., Linstädter, A., Frank, K., and Müller, B.: Livelihood
security in face of drought–assessing the vulnerability of pastoral
households, Environ. Model. Softw., 75, 414–423, 2016. a
Mather, J. W. and Preston, H. J.: Cooperative benefits and limitations, Cooperative information report; no. 1, Sect. 3, https://www.rd.usda.gov/files/cir1sec3.pdf (last access: 10 August 2022), 1980. a
Melkonyan, A.: Environmental and socio-economic vulnerability of agricultural
sector in Armenia, Sci. Total Environ., 488, 333–342, 2014. a
Menk, L., Terzi, S., Zebisch, M., Rome, E., Lückerath, D., Milde, K., and Kienberger, S.: Climate Change Impact Chains: A Review of Applications, Challenges, and Opportunities for Climate Risk and Vulnerability Assessments,
Weather Clim. Soc., 14, 619–636, https://doi.org/10.1175/WCAS-D-21-0014.1, 2022. a
Meza, I., Siebert, S., Döll, P., Kusche, J., Herbert, C., Eyshi Rezaei, E., Nouri, H., Gerdener, H., Popat, E., Frischen, J., Naumann, G., Vogt, J. V., Walz, Y., Sebesvari, Z., and Hagenlocher, M.: Global-scale drought risk assessment for agricultural systems, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 695–712, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-695-2020, 2020. a, b
OECD and JRC: Handbook on constructing composite indicators: methodology and user guide: Methodology and user guide, ISBN 978-92-64-04345-9, https://knowledge4policy.ec.europa.eu/sites/default/files/jrc47008_handbook_final.pdf (last access: 10 January 2022), 2008.
a
Schneiderbauer, S., Baunach, D., Pedoth, L., Renner, K., Fritzsche, K., Bollin, C., Pregnolato, M., Zebisch, M., Liersch, S., Del Rivas López, M. R., and Ruzima, S.: Spatial-Explicit Climate Change Vulnerability Assessments Based on Impact Chains. Findings from a Case Study in Burundi,
Sustainability, 12, 6354, https://doi.org/10.3390/su12166354, 2020. a, b
Stephan, R., Erfurt, M., Terzi, S., Žun, M., Kristan, B., Haslinger, K., and Stahl, K.: An inventory of Alpine drought impact reports to explore past droughts in a mountain region, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 2485–2501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2485-2021, 2021. a, b
Terzi, S., Sušnik, J., Schneiderbauer, S., Torresan, S., and Critto, A.: Stochastic system dynamics modelling for climate change water scarcity assessment of a reservoir in the Italian Alps, Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 3519–3537, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-3519-2021, 2021. a
van Duinen, R., Filatova, T., Geurts, P., and van der Veen, A.: Empirical
analysis of farmers' drought risk perception: Objective factors, personal
circumstances, and social influence, Risk Anal., 35, 741–755, 2015. a
Van Loon, A. F., Stahl, K., Di Baldassarre, G., Clark, J., Rangecroft, S., Wanders, N., Gleeson, T., Van Dijk, A. I. J. M., Tallaksen, L. M., Hannaford, J., Uijlenhoet, R., Teuling, A. J., Hannah, D. M., Sheffield, J., Svoboda, M., Verbeiren, B., Wagener, T., and Van Lanen, H. A. J.: Drought in a human-modified world: reframing drought definitions, understanding, and analysis approaches, Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci., 20, 3631–3650, https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-20-3631-2016, 2016. a
Wezel, A., Casagrande, M., Celette, F., Vian, J.-F., Ferrer, A., and
Peigné, J.: Agroecological practices for sustainable agriculture. A
review, Agron. Sustain. Dev., 34, 1–20, 2014. a
Zebisch, M., Schneiderbauer, S., Fritzsche, K., Bubeck, P., Kienberger, S., Kahlenborn, W., Schwan, S., and Below, T.: The vulnerability sourcebook and climate impact chains – a standardised framework for a climate vulnerability and risk assessment, Int. J. Clim. Chang., 13, 35–59, https://doi.org/10.1108/IJCCSM-07-2019-0042, 2021. a, b, c, d
Zorn, M. and Hrvatin, M.: Damage caused by Natural Disasters in Slovenia
between 1991 and 2008, Acta Geobalcanica, 1, 33–43,
https://doi.org/10.18509/AGB.2015.04, 2015. a
Short summary
This study maps agriculture's vulnerability to drought in the European pre-Alpine regions of Thurgau (CH) and Podravska (SI). We combine region-specific knowledge with quantitative data mapping; experts of the study regions, far apart, identified a few common but more region-specific factors that we integrated in two vulnerability scenarios. We highlight the benefits of the participatory approach in improving the quantitative results and closing the gap between science and practitioners.
This study maps agriculture's vulnerability to drought in the European pre-Alpine regions of...
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint