Articles | Volume 23, issue 9
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2961-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2961-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
06 Sep 2023
Research article |
| 06 Sep 2023
| 06 Sep 2023
Regional assessment of extreme sea levels and associated coastal flooding along the German Baltic Sea coast
Joshua Kiesel
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Department of Geography, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, 24118 Kiel, Germany
Marvin Lorenz
Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, 18119, Germany
Marcel König
private consultant
now at: Center for Global Discovery and Conservation Science, Arizona State University, Tempe, AZ 85281, USA
Ulf Gräwe
Leibniz Institute for Baltic Sea Research Warnemünde, Rostock, 18119, Germany
Athanasios T. Vafeidis
Department of Geography, Christian-Albrechts-Universität zu Kiel, 24118 Kiel, Germany
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Cited
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Uncertainties and discrepancies in the representation of recent storm surges in a non-tidal semi-enclosed basin: a hindcast ensemble for the Baltic Sea M. Lorenz & U. Gräwe 10.5194/os-19-1753-2023
- Event-driven erosion of a glacial till cliff J. Rossius et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2025.109626
- Raising dikes and managed realignment may be insufficient for maintaining current flood risk along the German Baltic Sea coast J. Kiesel et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01100-0
- Brief communication: From modelling to reality – flood modelling gaps highlighted by a recent severe storm surge event along the German Baltic Sea coast J. Kiesel et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3841-2024
- A new European coastal flood database for low–medium intensity events M. Le Gal et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-3585-2023
- The influence of wind and basin geometry on surge attenuation along a microtidal channel in the western Baltic Sea J. Kiesel et al. 10.1017/cft.2024.11
- Earth observation technologies, policies and legislation for the coastal flood risk assessment and management: a European perspective A. Velegrakis et al. 10.1007/s44218-024-00037-x
- Influence of model configuration for coastal flooding across Europe M. Le Gal et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104541
- Coastal flooding in Kołobrzeg (Kolberg) area, southern Baltic Sea, in the light of historical and geological data A. Piotrowski et al. 10.1177/09596836241266446
- Influence of data source and copula statistics on estimates of compound flood extremes in a river mouth environment K. Dubois et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3245-2024
- How Sea Level Rise May Hit You Through the Backdoor: Changing Extreme Water Levels in Shallow Coastal Lagoons M. Lorenz et al. 10.1029/2023GL105512
- Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study S. Kupfer et al. 10.1029/2024EF005106
- A Comprehensive Probabilistic Flood Assessment Accounting for Hydrograph Variability of ESL Events S. Kupfer et al. 10.1029/2023JC019886
12 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Uncertainties and discrepancies in the representation of recent storm surges in a non-tidal semi-enclosed basin: a hindcast ensemble for the Baltic Sea M. Lorenz & U. Gräwe 10.5194/os-19-1753-2023
- Event-driven erosion of a glacial till cliff J. Rossius et al. 10.1016/j.geomorph.2025.109626
- Raising dikes and managed realignment may be insufficient for maintaining current flood risk along the German Baltic Sea coast J. Kiesel et al. 10.1038/s43247-023-01100-0
- Brief communication: From modelling to reality – flood modelling gaps highlighted by a recent severe storm surge event along the German Baltic Sea coast J. Kiesel et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3841-2024
- A new European coastal flood database for low–medium intensity events M. Le Gal et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-3585-2023
- The influence of wind and basin geometry on surge attenuation along a microtidal channel in the western Baltic Sea J. Kiesel et al. 10.1017/cft.2024.11
- Earth observation technologies, policies and legislation for the coastal flood risk assessment and management: a European perspective A. Velegrakis et al. 10.1007/s44218-024-00037-x
- Influence of model configuration for coastal flooding across Europe M. Le Gal et al. 10.1016/j.coastaleng.2024.104541
- Coastal flooding in Kołobrzeg (Kolberg) area, southern Baltic Sea, in the light of historical and geological data A. Piotrowski et al. 10.1177/09596836241266446
- Influence of data source and copula statistics on estimates of compound flood extremes in a river mouth environment K. Dubois et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-3245-2024
- How Sea Level Rise May Hit You Through the Backdoor: Changing Extreme Water Levels in Shallow Coastal Lagoons M. Lorenz et al. 10.1029/2023GL105512
- Accounting for Compound Flooding Can Prevent Maladaptation—A Baltic Sea Case Study S. Kupfer et al. 10.1029/2024EF005106
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 21 Feb 2025
Short summary
Among the Baltic Sea littoral states, Germany is anticipated to experience considerable damage as a result of increased coastal flooding due to sea-level rise (SLR). Here we apply a new modelling framework to simulate how flooding along the German Baltic Sea coast may change until 2100 if dikes are not upgraded. We find that the study region is highly exposed to flooding, and we emphasise the importance of current plans to update coastal protection in the future.
Among the Baltic Sea littoral states, Germany is anticipated to experience considerable damage...
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