Articles | Volume 23, issue 6
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2273-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2273-2023
© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
22 Jun 2023
Research article |
| 22 Jun 2023
| 22 Jun 2023
Assessing the coastal hazard of Medicane Ianos through ensemble modelling
Christian Ferrarin
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
CNR - National Research Council of Italy, ISMAR - Institute of Marine Sciences, Venice, Italy
Florian Pantillon
Laboratoire d'Aérologie, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, UPS, IRD, Toulouse, France
Silvio Davolio
CNR - National Research Council of Italy, ISAC - Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Bologna, Italy
Marco Bajo
CNR - National Research Council of Italy, ISMAR - Institute of Marine Sciences, Venice, Italy
Mario Marcello Miglietta
CNR - National Research Council of Italy, ISAC - Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Padua, Italy
Elenio Avolio
CNR - National Research Council of Italy, ISAC - Institute of Atmospheric Sciences and Climate, Lamezia Terme, Italy
Diego S. Carrió
Department of Physics, Universitat de les Illes Balears, Palma, Spain
Ioannis Pytharoulis
Department of Meteorology and Climatology, School of Geology, Aristotle University of Thessaloniki, Thessaloniki, Greece
Claudio Sanchez
Met Office, Exeter, UK
Platon Patlakas
Department of Physics, National and Kapodistrian University of Athens, Athens, Greece
Juan Jesús González-Alemán
Spanish State Meteorological Agency, Madrid, Spain
Emmanouil Flaounas
Institute of Oceanography, Hellenic Centre for Marine Research, Athens, Greece
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Cited
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- ARCHIMEDE—An Innovative Web-GIS Platform for the Study of Medicanes A. Kushabaha et al. 10.3390/rs16142552
- Recent innovations in satellite-based applications and their impacts on tropical cyclone analyses and forecasts C. Velden et al. 10.1016/j.jemets.2025.100011
- The impact of preceding convection on the development of Medicane Ianos and the sensitivity to sea surface temperature C. Sánchez et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-1429-2024
- Aeolus Data Validation for an Extreme Precipitation Event in Greece with the COSMO NWP Model E. Avgoustoglou et al. 10.3390/w15213820
- Assimilating Aeolus Satellite Wind Data on a Regional Level: Application in a Mediterranean Cyclone Using the WRF Model C. Stathopoulos et al. 10.3390/atmos14121811
- Coupling ocean currents and waves for seamless cross-scale modeling during Medicane Ianos S. Causio et al. 10.5194/os-21-1105-2025
- The crucial representation of deep convection for the cyclogenesis of Medicane Ianos F. Pantillon et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-1187-2024
- A Comprehensive AI Approach for Monitoring and Forecasting Medicanes Development J. Martinez-Amaya et al. 10.3390/cli12120220
- Sea level variability and coastal inundation over the northeastern Mediterranean Sea Y. Androulidakis et al. 10.1080/21664250.2023.2246286
- Ocean-wave-atmosphere coupling effect in Medicane forecasting J. Karagiorgos et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107418
- Characterization of extreme wave fields during Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones S. Davison et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1268830
11 citations as recorded by crossref.
- ARCHIMEDE—An Innovative Web-GIS Platform for the Study of Medicanes A. Kushabaha et al. 10.3390/rs16142552
- Recent innovations in satellite-based applications and their impacts on tropical cyclone analyses and forecasts C. Velden et al. 10.1016/j.jemets.2025.100011
- The impact of preceding convection on the development of Medicane Ianos and the sensitivity to sea surface temperature C. Sánchez et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-1429-2024
- Aeolus Data Validation for an Extreme Precipitation Event in Greece with the COSMO NWP Model E. Avgoustoglou et al. 10.3390/w15213820
- Assimilating Aeolus Satellite Wind Data on a Regional Level: Application in a Mediterranean Cyclone Using the WRF Model C. Stathopoulos et al. 10.3390/atmos14121811
- Coupling ocean currents and waves for seamless cross-scale modeling during Medicane Ianos S. Causio et al. 10.5194/os-21-1105-2025
- The crucial representation of deep convection for the cyclogenesis of Medicane Ianos F. Pantillon et al. 10.5194/wcd-5-1187-2024
- A Comprehensive AI Approach for Monitoring and Forecasting Medicanes Development J. Martinez-Amaya et al. 10.3390/cli12120220
- Sea level variability and coastal inundation over the northeastern Mediterranean Sea Y. Androulidakis et al. 10.1080/21664250.2023.2246286
- Ocean-wave-atmosphere coupling effect in Medicane forecasting J. Karagiorgos et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2024.107418
- Characterization of extreme wave fields during Mediterranean tropical-like cyclones S. Davison et al. 10.3389/fmars.2023.1268830
Latest update: 30 Jun 2025
Short summary
The combined use of meteorological and ocean models enabled the analysis of extreme sea conditions driven by Medicane Ianos, which hit the western coast of Greece on 18 September 2020, flooding and damaging the coast. The large spread associated with the ensemble highlighted the high model uncertainty in simulating such an extreme weather event. The different simulations have been used for outlining hazard scenarios that represent a fundamental component of the coastal risk assessment.
The combined use of meteorological and ocean models enabled the analysis of extreme sea...
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