Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties

François, Bastien; Vrac, Mathieu

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023

Articles | Volume 23, issue 1

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023

© Author(s) 2023. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.

Articles | Volume 23, issue 1

Research article

|

11 Jan 2023

Research article |

| 11 Jan 2023

Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties

Bastien François and Mathieu Vrac

Supplement

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-21-2023-supplement

Model code and software

Codes for the article "Time of emergence of compound events: contribution of univariate and dependence properties" B. François and M. Vrac https://doi.org/10.5281/zenodo.7509302

Download

Article (5140 KB)
Full-text XML

Short summary

Compound events (CEs) result from a combination of several climate phenomena. In this study, we propose a new methodology to assess the time of emergence of CE probabilities and to quantify the contribution of marginal and dependence properties of climate phenomena to the overall CE probability changes. By applying our methodology to two case studies, we show the importance of considering changes in both marginal and dependence properties for future risk assessments related to CEs.