Adaptation and application of the large LAERTES-EU regional climate model ensemble for modeling hydrological extremes: a pilot study for the Rhine basin

Ehmele, Florian; Kautz, Lisa-Ann; Feldmann, Hendrik; He, Yi; Kadlec, Martin; Kelemen, Fanni D.; Lentink, Hilke S.; Ludwig, Patrick; Manful, Desmond; Pinto, Joaquim G.

doi:https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-677-2022

Articles | Volume 22, issue 2

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Articles | Volume 22, issue 2

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-677-2022

Articles | Volume 22, issue 2

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Research article

03 Mar 2022

Research article |

| 03 Mar 2022

Adaptation and application of the large LAERTES-EU regional climate model ensemble for modeling hydrological extremes: a pilot study for the Rhine basin

Florian Ehmele, Lisa-Ann Kautz, Hendrik Feldmann, Yi He, Martin Kadlec, Fanni D. Kelemen, Hilke S. Lentink, Patrick Ludwig, Desmond Manful, and Joaquim G. Pinto

Florian Ehmele

CORRESPONDING AUTHOR

florian.ehmele@kit.edu

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-4230-9295

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

Lisa-Ann Kautz

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

Hendrik Feldmann

https://orcid.org/0000-0001-6987-7351

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

Yi He

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-3014-3964

Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Norwich, United Kingdom

Martin Kadlec

Impact Forecasting, Aon, Prague, Czech Republic

Fanni D. Kelemen

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-6118-4945

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

now at: Institute for Atmospheric and Environmental Sciences, Goethe University Frankfurt, 60438 Frankfurt am Main, Germany

Hilke S. Lentink

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

Patrick Ludwig

https://orcid.org/0000-0003-3655-7890

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

Desmond Manful

Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia (UEA), Norwich, United Kingdom

Joaquim G. Pinto

https://orcid.org/0000-0002-8865-1769

Institute of Meteorology and Climate Research, Karlsruhe Institute of Technology (KIT), Hermann-von-Helmholtz-Platz 1, 76344 Eggenstein-Leopoldshafen, Germany

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Total article views: 2,048 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

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BibTeX: 57
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Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Mar 2022	224	47	8	279
Apr 2022	72	21	4	97
May 2022	32	12	3	47
Jun 2022	32	12	1	45
Jul 2022	65	11	0	76
Aug 2022	105	8	0	113
Sep 2022	50	10	1	61
Oct 2022	40	9	1	50
Nov 2022	104	11	1	116
Dec 2022	50	4	0	54
Jan 2023	31	11	0	42
Feb 2023	39	7	0	46
Mar 2023	25	11	1	37
Apr 2023	33	7	3	43
May 2023	30	13	4	47
Jun 2023	23	8	1	32
Jul 2023	24	13	0	37
Aug 2023	32	3	2	37
Sep 2023	24	12	0	36
Oct 2023	38	11	1	50
Nov 2023	25	10	0	35
Dec 2023	28	4	1	33
Jan 2024	114	9	1	124
Feb 2024	31	8	1	40
Mar 2024	32	13	4	49
Apr 2024	37	5	1	43
May 2024	28	6	1	35
Jun 2024	45	9	2	56
Jul 2024	18	7	5	30
Aug 2024	22	4	6	32
Sep 2024	21	8	2	31
Oct 2024	24	6	2	32
Nov 2024	16	4	3	23
Dec 2024	14	2	0	16
Jan 2025	29	6	3	38
Feb 2025	31	3	3	37
Mar 2025	31	15	0	46
Apr 2025	2	1	0	3

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 03 Mar 2022)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Mar 2022	224	47	8	279
Apr 2022	72	21	4	97
May 2022	32	12	3	47
Jun 2022	32	12	1	45
Jul 2022	65	11	0	76
Aug 2022	105	8	0	113
Sep 2022	50	10	1	61
Oct 2022	40	9	1	50
Nov 2022	104	11	1	116
Dec 2022	50	4	0	54
Jan 2023	31	11	0	42
Feb 2023	39	7	0	46
Mar 2023	25	11	1	37
Apr 2023	33	7	3	43
May 2023	30	13	4	47
Jun 2023	23	8	1	32
Jul 2023	24	13	0	37
Aug 2023	32	3	2	37
Sep 2023	24	12	0	36
Oct 2023	38	11	1	50
Nov 2023	25	10	0	35
Dec 2023	28	4	1	33
Jan 2024	114	9	1	124
Feb 2024	31	8	1	40
Mar 2024	32	13	4	49
Apr 2024	37	5	1	43
May 2024	28	6	1	35
Jun 2024	45	9	2	56
Jul 2024	18	7	5	30
Aug 2024	22	4	6	32
Sep 2024	21	8	2	31
Oct 2024	24	6	2	32
Nov 2024	16	4	3	23
Dec 2024	14	2	0	16
Jan 2025	29	6	3	38
Feb 2025	31	3	3	37
Mar 2025	31	15	0	46
Apr 2025	2	1	0	3

Total article views: 916 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)

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521	370	25	916	138	6	5

HTML: 521
PDF: 370
XML: 25
Total: 916
Supplement: 138
BibTeX: 6
EndNote: 5

Views and downloads (calculated since 01 Jul 2021)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Mar 2022	224	47	8	279
Apr 2022	72	21	4	97
May 2022	32	12	3	47
Jun 2022	32	12	1	45
Jul 2022	65	11	0	76
Aug 2022	105	8	0	113
Sep 2022	50	10	1	61
Oct 2022	40	9	1	50
Nov 2022	104	11	1	116
Dec 2022	50	4	0	54
Jan 2023	31	11	0	42
Feb 2023	39	7	0	46
Mar 2023	25	11	1	37
Apr 2023	33	7	3	43
May 2023	30	13	4	47
Jun 2023	23	8	1	32
Jul 2023	24	13	0	37
Aug 2023	32	3	2	37
Sep 2023	24	12	0	36
Oct 2023	38	11	1	50
Nov 2023	25	10	0	35
Dec 2023	28	4	1	33
Jan 2024	114	9	1	124
Feb 2024	31	8	1	40
Mar 2024	32	13	4	49
Apr 2024	37	5	1	43
May 2024	28	6	1	35
Jun 2024	45	9	2	56
Jul 2024	18	7	5	30
Aug 2024	22	4	6	32
Sep 2024	21	8	2	31
Oct 2024	24	6	2	32
Nov 2024	16	4	3	23
Dec 2024	14	2	0	16
Jan 2025	29	6	3	38
Feb 2025	31	3	3	37
Mar 2025	31	15	0	46
Apr 2025	2	1	0	3

Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 01 Jul 2021)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Mar 2022	224	47	8	279
Apr 2022	72	21	4	97
May 2022	32	12	3	47
Jun 2022	32	12	1	45
Jul 2022	65	11	0	76
Aug 2022	105	8	0	113
Sep 2022	50	10	1	61
Oct 2022	40	9	1	50
Nov 2022	104	11	1	116
Dec 2022	50	4	0	54
Jan 2023	31	11	0	42
Feb 2023	39	7	0	46
Mar 2023	25	11	1	37
Apr 2023	33	7	3	43
May 2023	30	13	4	47
Jun 2023	23	8	1	32
Jul 2023	24	13	0	37
Aug 2023	32	3	2	37
Sep 2023	24	12	0	36
Oct 2023	38	11	1	50
Nov 2023	25	10	0	35
Dec 2023	28	4	1	33
Jan 2024	114	9	1	124
Feb 2024	31	8	1	40
Mar 2024	32	13	4	49
Apr 2024	37	5	1	43
May 2024	28	6	1	35
Jun 2024	45	9	2	56
Jul 2024	18	7	5	30
Aug 2024	22	4	6	32
Sep 2024	21	8	2	31
Oct 2024	24	6	2	32
Nov 2024	16	4	3	23
Dec 2024	14	2	0	16
Jan 2025	29	6	3	38
Feb 2025	31	3	3	37
Mar 2025	31	15	0	46
Apr 2025	2	1	0	3

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Total article views: 2,964 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 2,829 with geography defined and 135 with unknown origin.

Total article views: 2,048 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 1,959 with geography defined and 89 with unknown origin.

Total article views: 916 (including HTML, PDF, and XML) Thereof 870 with geography defined and 46 with unknown origin.

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United States of America	1	937	31
Germany	2	488	16
China	3	274	9
France	4	132	4
United Kingdom	5	128	4

Country	#	Views	%
United States of America	1	662	32
Germany	2	286	13
China	3	225	10
United Kingdom	4	79	3
France	5	69	3

Country	#	Views	%
United States of America	1	275	30
Germany	2	202	22
France	3	63	6
China	4	49	5
United Kingdom	5	49	5


Total:	0
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937


Total:	0
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662


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275

Cited

Show all Final revised paper only Preprint only

7 citations as recorded by crossref.

Future heat extremes and impacts in a convection-permitting climate ensemble over Germany M. Hundhausen et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2873-2023
Recurrence of Drought Events Over Iberia. Part II: Future Changes Using Regional Climate Projections J. Moemken et al. 10.16993/tellusa.52
Low-Flow Similarities between the Transboundary Lauter River and Rhine River at Maxau from 1956 to 2022 (France/Germany) X. Liu & C. de Jong 10.3390/w16111584
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change P. Ludwig et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 1: Event description and analysis S. Mohr et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023
Assessing the impact of the 2021 flood event on the archaeological heritage of the Rhineland (Germany) I. Schmidt et al. 10.1186/s12302-024-00991-w
Accessing Insurance Flood Losses Using a Catastrophe Model and Climate Change Scenarios L. Palán et al. 10.3390/cli10050067

7 citations as recorded by crossref.

Future heat extremes and impacts in a convection-permitting climate ensemble over Germany M. Hundhausen et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2873-2023
Recurrence of Drought Events Over Iberia. Part II: Future Changes Using Regional Climate Projections J. Moemken et al. 10.16993/tellusa.52
Low-Flow Similarities between the Transboundary Lauter River and Rhine River at Maxau from 1956 to 2022 (France/Germany) X. Liu & C. de Jong 10.3390/w16111584
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change P. Ludwig et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 1: Event description and analysis S. Mohr et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023
Assessing the impact of the 2021 flood event on the archaeological heritage of the Rhineland (Germany) I. Schmidt et al. 10.1186/s12302-024-00991-w
Accessing Insurance Flood Losses Using a Catastrophe Model and Climate Change Scenarios L. Palán et al. 10.3390/cli10050067

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Short summary

For various applications, it is crucial to have profound knowledge of the frequency, severity, and risk of extreme flood events. Such events are characterized by very long return periods which observations can not cover. We use a large ensemble of regional climate model simulations as input for a hydrological model. Precipitation data were post-processed to reduce systematic errors. The representation of precipitation and discharge is improved, and estimates of long return periods become robust.

For various applications, it is crucial to have profound knowledge of the frequency, severity,...

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