Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3585-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3585-2022
Research article
 | 
02 Nov 2022
Research article |  | 02 Nov 2022

Using high-resolution global climate models from the PRIMAVERA project to create a European winter windstorm event set

Julia F. Lockwood, Galina S. Guentchev, Alexander Alabaster, Simon J. Brown, Erika J. Palin, Malcolm J. Roberts, and Hazel E. Thornton

Related authors

The 21st century decline in damaging European windstorms
Laura C. Dawkins, David B. Stephenson, Julia F. Lockwood, and Paul E. Maisey
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1999–2007, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1999-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1999-2016, 2016
Short summary
The XWS open access catalogue of extreme European windstorms from 1979 to 2012
J. F. Roberts, A. J. Champion, L. C. Dawkins, K. I. Hodges, L. C. Shaffrey, D. B. Stephenson, M. A. Stringer, H. E. Thornton, and B. D. Youngman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2487–2501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2487-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2487-2014, 2014

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
Classification of North Atlantic and European extratropical cyclones using multiple measures of intensity
Joona Cornér, Clément Bouvier, Benjamin Doiteau, Florian Pantillon, and Victoria A. Sinclair
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 207–229, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-207-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-207-2025, 2025
Short summary
Subseasonal forecasts of heat waves in West African cities
Cedric G. Ngoungue Langue, Christophe Lavaysse, and Cyrille Flamant
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 147–168, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-147-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-147-2025, 2025
Short summary
Impacts on and damage to European forests from the 2018–2022 heat and drought events
Florian Knutzen, Paul Averbeck, Caterina Barrasso, Laurens M. Bouwer, Barry Gardiner, José M. Grünzweig, Sabine Hänel, Karsten Haustein, Marius Rohde Johannessen, Stefan Kollet, Mortimer M. Müller, Joni-Pekka Pietikäinen, Karolina Pietras-Couffignal, Joaquim G. Pinto, Diana Rechid, Efi Rousi, Ana Russo, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Sarah Veit, Julian Wendler, Elena Xoplaki, and Daniel Gliksman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 77–117, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-77-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-77-2025, 2025
Short summary
Brief communication: Training of AI-based nowcasting models for rainfall early warning should take into account user requirements
Georgy Ayzel and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 25, 41–47, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-41-2025,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-25-41-2025, 2025
Short summary
Examining the Eastern European extreme summer temperatures of 2023 from a long-term perspective: the role of natural variability vs. anthropogenic factors
Monica Ionita, Petru Vaideanu, Bogdan Antonescu, Catalin Roibu, Qiyun Ma, and Viorica Nagavciuc
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4683–4706, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4683-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4683-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Athanasiadis, P. J., Yeager, S., Kwon, Y.-O., Bellucci, A., Smith, D., and Tibaldi, S.: Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO, npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 3, 20, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0120-6, 2020. 
Baker, A. J., Schiemann, R., Hodges, K. I., Demory, M., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J., and Vidale, P. L.: Enhanced Climate Change Response of Wintertime North Atlantic Circulation, Cyclonic Activity, and Precipitation in a 25-km-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model, J. Climate, 32, 7763–7781, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1, 2019. 
Befort, D. J., Wild, S., Knight, J. R., Lockwood, J. F., Thornton, H. E., Hermanson, L., Bett, P. E., Weisheimer, A., and Leckebusch, G. C.: Seasonal forecast skill for extratropical cyclones and windstorms, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 145, 92–104, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3406, 2019. 
Bojovic, D., Mishra, N., Palin, E., Guentchev, G., Lockwood, J., Brayshaw, D., Gonzalez, P., Bessembinder, J., and van der Linden, E.: PRIMAVERA Deliverable D11.6: Report on end-user requirements, https://www.primavera-h2020.eu/assets/media/uploads/d11.6_v1.0_end_user_reqts.pdf (last access: November 2022), 2017. 
Center for International Earth Science Information Network – CIESIN – Columbia University: Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), Palisades, NY, https://doi.org/10.7927/H4NP22DQ (last access: July 2017), 2016. 
Download
Short summary
We describe how we developed a set of 1300 years' worth of European winter windstorm footprints, using a multi-model ensemble of high-resolution global climate models, for use by the insurance industry to analyse windstorm risk. The large amount of data greatly reduces uncertainty on risk estimates compared to using shorter observational data sets and also allows the relationship between windstorm risk and predictable large-scale climate indices to be quantified.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint