Articles | Volume 22, issue 11
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3585-2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3585-2022
Research article
 | 
02 Nov 2022
Research article |  | 02 Nov 2022

Using high-resolution global climate models from the PRIMAVERA project to create a European winter windstorm event set

Julia F. Lockwood, Galina S. Guentchev, Alexander Alabaster, Simon J. Brown, Erika J. Palin, Malcolm J. Roberts, and Hazel E. Thornton

Related authors

The 21st century decline in damaging European windstorms
Laura C. Dawkins, David B. Stephenson, Julia F. Lockwood, and Paul E. Maisey
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 16, 1999–2007, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1999-2016,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1999-2016, 2016
Short summary
The XWS open access catalogue of extreme European windstorms from 1979 to 2012
J. F. Roberts, A. J. Champion, L. C. Dawkins, K. I. Hodges, L. C. Shaffrey, D. B. Stephenson, M. A. Stringer, H. E. Thornton, and B. D. Youngman
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 14, 2487–2501, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2487-2014,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-14-2487-2014, 2014

Related subject area

Atmospheric, Meteorological and Climatological Hazards
How well are hazards associated with derechos reproduced in regional climate simulations?
Tristan Shepherd, Frederick Letson, Rebecca J. Barthelmie, and Sara C. Pryor
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 4473–4505, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4473-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-4473-2024, 2024
Short summary
Reconstructing hail days in Switzerland with statistical models (1959–2022)
Lena Wilhelm, Cornelia Schwierz, Katharina Schröer, Mateusz Taszarek, and Olivia Martius
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3869–3894, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3869-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3869-2024, 2024
Short summary
GTDI: a game-theory-based integrated drought index implying hazard-causing and hazard-bearing impact change
Xiaowei Zhao, Tianzeng Yang, Hongbo Zhang, Tian Lan, Chaowei Xue, Tongfang Li, Zhaoxia Ye, Zhifang Yang, and Yurou Zhang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3479–3495, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3479-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3479-2024, 2024
Short summary
Insurance loss model vs. meteorological loss index – how comparable are their loss estimates for European windstorms?
Julia Moemken, Inovasita Alifdini, Alexandre M. Ramos, Alexandros Georgiadis, Aidan Brocklehurst, Lukas Braun, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3445–3460, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3445-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3445-2024, 2024
Short summary
Intense rains in Israel associated with the train effect
Baruch Ziv, Uri Dayan, Lidiya Shendrik, and Elyakom Vadislavsky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 3267–3277, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3267-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-3267-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Athanasiadis, P. J., Yeager, S., Kwon, Y.-O., Bellucci, A., Smith, D., and Tibaldi, S.: Decadal predictability of North Atlantic blocking and the NAO, npj Clim. Atmos. Sci., 3, 20, https://doi.org/10.1038/s41612-020-0120-6, 2020. 
Baker, A. J., Schiemann, R., Hodges, K. I., Demory, M., Mizielinski, M. S., Roberts, M. J., Shaffrey, L. C., Strachan, J., and Vidale, P. L.: Enhanced Climate Change Response of Wintertime North Atlantic Circulation, Cyclonic Activity, and Precipitation in a 25-km-Resolution Global Atmospheric Model, J. Climate, 32, 7763–7781, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-19-0054.1, 2019. 
Befort, D. J., Wild, S., Knight, J. R., Lockwood, J. F., Thornton, H. E., Hermanson, L., Bett, P. E., Weisheimer, A., and Leckebusch, G. C.: Seasonal forecast skill for extratropical cyclones and windstorms, Q. J. Roy. Meteorol. Soc., 145, 92–104, https://doi.org/10.1002/qj.3406, 2019. 
Bojovic, D., Mishra, N., Palin, E., Guentchev, G., Lockwood, J., Brayshaw, D., Gonzalez, P., Bessembinder, J., and van der Linden, E.: PRIMAVERA Deliverable D11.6: Report on end-user requirements, https://www.primavera-h2020.eu/assets/media/uploads/d11.6_v1.0_end_user_reqts.pdf (last access: November 2022), 2017. 
Center for International Earth Science Information Network – CIESIN – Columbia University: Gridded Population of the World, Version 4 (GPWv4): Population Density, NASA Socioeconomic Data and Applications Center (SEDAC), Palisades, NY, https://doi.org/10.7927/H4NP22DQ (last access: July 2017), 2016. 
Download
Short summary
We describe how we developed a set of 1300 years' worth of European winter windstorm footprints, using a multi-model ensemble of high-resolution global climate models, for use by the insurance industry to analyse windstorm risk. The large amount of data greatly reduces uncertainty on risk estimates compared to using shorter observational data sets and also allows the relationship between windstorm risk and predictable large-scale climate indices to be quantified.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint