Articles | Volume 22, issue 2
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-287-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-287-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
03 Feb 2022
Research article |
| 03 Feb 2022
| 03 Feb 2022
Spatio-temporal evolution of wet–dry event features and their transition across the Upper Jhelum Basin (UJB) in South Asia
Department of Civil, Environmental, Architectural Engineering and Mathematics, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
Giovanna Grossi
Department of Civil, Environmental, Architectural Engineering and Mathematics, University of Brescia, Brescia, Italy
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- A systematic review of methods for identifying drought-flood abrupt alternation: advances and future directions L. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1590613
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- Meteorological and hydrological dry-to-wet transition events are only weakly related over European catchments M. Brunner et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ade72c
- Impacts of climate change on the South Asian monsoon: A comprehensive review of its variability and future projections A. Fiaz et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jher.2025.100654
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- Research progresses and prospects of multi-sphere compound extremes from the Earth System perspective Z. Hao & Y. Chen https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-023-1201-y
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- Evaluation of gridded datasets for terrestrial water budget assessment in the Upper Jhelum River Basin-South Asia R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128294
- Rising risks of hydroclimatic swings: A large ensemble study of dry and wet spell transitions in North America W. Na & M. Najafi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104476
- Changes in the probability of temporally compound wet and dry events in a warmer world: case study in the Upper Jhelum Basin—South Asia R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-025-02367-z
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- A multivariate framework for assessing propagation thresholds from meteorological to hydrological drought across indus river Basins-South Asia I. Ullah et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-025-03089-8
- Successive warm-wet and warm-dry events in the Great Lakes Basin: future projections using CMIP6 models M. RahimiMovaghar et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07565-9
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- A driving force analysis method for drought-flood abrupt alternation events L. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103214
- Evaluation of bias correction methods for a multivariate drought index: case study of the Upper Jhelum Basin R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2055-2023
- Drought-flood abrupt alternation in the Huaibei plain and its impacts on crops C. Liang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2026.110233
- Accelerated lagged compound floods and droughts in northwest North America under 1.5 °C − 4 °C global warming levels R. Rezvani et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129906
- Floods and droughts: a multivariate perspective M. Brunner https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2479-2023
- Dynamics of dry-to-wet abrupt alternation events in mainland China from 1961 to 2022: A novel identification method integrating daily soil moisture and precipitation L. Liang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102520
28 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Improving flood and drought management in transboundary Upper Jhelum Basin-South Asia R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.174044
- Lagged compound dry and wet spells in Northwest North America under 1.5 °C–4 °C global warming levels R. Rezvani et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106799
- A systematic review of methods for identifying drought-flood abrupt alternation: advances and future directions L. Zhao et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/fenvs.2025.1590613
- Comprehensive analysis of characteristics of dry–wet events and their transitions in Uttar Pradesh, India S. Gond et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.wse.2024.06.003
- Probabilistic life-cycle landslide assessment subjected to nonstationary rainfall based on alternating stochastic renewal process Z. He et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.enggeo.2024.107543
- Quantitative characterization, spatiotemporal evolution, and analysis of driving factors of daily dry-wet abrupt alternation: A case study of the Ganjiang River Basin G. Liu et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.102030
- Meteorological and hydrological dry-to-wet transition events are only weakly related over European catchments M. Brunner et al. https://doi.org/10.1088/1748-9326/ade72c
- Impacts of climate change on the South Asian monsoon: A comprehensive review of its variability and future projections A. Fiaz et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jher.2025.100654
- Preface: Recent advances in drought and water scarcity monitoring, modelling, and forecasting B. Bonaccorso et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-1857-2022
- Identification, physical mechanisms and impacts of drought–flood abrupt alternation: a review X. Bai et al. https://doi.org/10.3389/feart.2023.1203603
- Research progresses and prospects of multi-sphere compound extremes from the Earth System perspective Z. Hao & Y. Chen https://doi.org/10.1007/s11430-023-1201-y
- Soil moisture governs the weakening response of transpiration fraction to leaf area index increase: A spatiotemporal analysis in China's Three-North region X. Zhang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.fecs.2025.100422
- HydroGRAF: Hybrid discharge reconstruction and basin-aware streamflow forecasting in the Himalayas A. Gul et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2026.135479
- Integrating SWAP and SIF anomaly to assess the responses of vegetation to the drought-flood abrupt alternation in the middle and lower reaches of the Yangtze River basin, China X. Shi et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2024.101726
- Evaluation of gridded datasets for terrestrial water budget assessment in the Upper Jhelum River Basin-South Asia R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2022.128294
- Rising risks of hydroclimatic swings: A large ensemble study of dry and wet spell transitions in North America W. Na & M. Najafi https://doi.org/10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104476
- Changes in the probability of temporally compound wet and dry events in a warmer world: case study in the Upper Jhelum Basin—South Asia R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10113-025-02367-z
- Terrestrial water storage in Australia under stress from compound climate extremes C. Ndehedehe et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.resenv.2025.100242
- Spatiotemporal analysis and mechanisms of drought flood abrupt alternation events in India A. Kumar & D. Arya https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102992
- A multivariate framework for assessing propagation thresholds from meteorological to hydrological drought across indus river Basins-South Asia I. Ullah et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00477-025-03089-8
- Successive warm-wet and warm-dry events in the Great Lakes Basin: future projections using CMIP6 models M. RahimiMovaghar et al. https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-024-07565-9
- Performance evaluation of raw and bias-corrected ERA5 precipitation data with respect to extreme precipitation analysis: case study in Upper Jhelum Basin, South Asia R. Ansari & G. Grossi https://doi.org/10.1007/s00704-022-04239-6
- A driving force analysis method for drought-flood abrupt alternation events L. Wang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ecoinf.2025.103214
- Evaluation of bias correction methods for a multivariate drought index: case study of the Upper Jhelum Basin R. Ansari et al. https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-2055-2023
- Drought-flood abrupt alternation in the Huaibei plain and its impacts on crops C. Liang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.agwat.2026.110233
- Accelerated lagged compound floods and droughts in northwest North America under 1.5 °C − 4 °C global warming levels R. Rezvani et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2023.129906
- Floods and droughts: a multivariate perspective M. Brunner https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-27-2479-2023
- Dynamics of dry-to-wet abrupt alternation events in mainland China from 1961 to 2022: A novel identification method integrating daily soil moisture and precipitation L. Liang et al. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.ejrh.2025.102520
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 03 Jun 2026
Short summary
The current research investigated spatio-temporal evolution of wet–dry events collectively, their characteristics, and their transition (wet to dry and dry to wet) across the Upper Jhelum Basin using the standardized precipitation evapotranspiration (SPEI) at a monthly timescale. The results provide significant knowledge to identify and locate most vulnerable geographical hotspots of extreme events, providing the basis for more effective risk reduction and climate change adaptation plans.
The current research investigated spatio-temporal evolution of wet–dry events collectively,...
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