Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2531–2541, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2531-2022
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2531–2541, 2022
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2531-2022
Research article
09 Aug 2022
Research article | 09 Aug 2022

Projected impact of heat on mortality and labour productivity under climate change in Switzerland

Zélie Stalhandske et al.

Related authors

Uncertainty and sensitivity analysis for probabilistic weather and climate-risk modelling: an implementation in CLIMADA v.3.1.0
Chahan M. Kropf, Alessio Ciullo, Laura Otth, Simona Meiler, Arun Rana, Emanuel Schmid, Jamie W. McCaughey, and David N. Bresch
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 7177–7201, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-7177-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-7177-2022, 2022
Short summary
Large-scale risk assessment on snow avalanche hazard in alpine regions
Gregor Ortner, Michael Bründl, Chahan M. Kropf, Thomas Röösli, Yves Bühler, and David N. Bresch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2022-112,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-2022-112, 2022
Preprint under review for NHESS
Short summary
Globally consistent assessment of economic impacts of wildfires in CLIMADA v2.2
Samuel Lüthi, Gabriela Aznar-Siguan, Christopher Fairless, and David N. Bresch
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 7175–7187, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7175-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-7175-2021, 2021
Short summary
Regional tropical cyclone impact functions for globally consistent risk assessments
Samuel Eberenz, Samuel Lüthi, and David N. Bresch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 393–415, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-393-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-393-2021, 2021
Short summary
Comparing an insurer's perspective on building damages with modelled damages from pan-European winter windstorm event sets: a case study from Zurich, Switzerland
Christoph Welker, Thomas Röösli, and David N. Bresch
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 279–299, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-279-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-279-2021, 2021
Short summary

Related subject area

Risk Assessment, Mitigation and Adaptation Strategies, Socioeconomic and Management Aspects
Building-scale flood loss estimation through vulnerability pattern characterization: application to an urban flood in Milan, Italy
Andrea Taramelli, Margherita Righini, Emiliana Valentini, Lorenzo Alfieri, Ignacio Gatti, and Simone Gabellani
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3543–3569, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3543-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3543-2022, 2022
Short summary
Process-based flood damage modelling relying on expert knowledge: a methodological contribution applied to the agricultural sector
Pauline Brémond, Anne-Laurence Agenais, Frédéric Grelot, and Claire Richert
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3385–3412, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3385-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3385-2022, 2022
Short summary
Dynamic risk assessment of compound hazards based on VFS–IEM–IDM: a case study of typhoon–rainstorm hazards in Shenzhen, China
Wenwu Gong, Jie Jiang, and Lili Yang
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3271–3283, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3271-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3271-2022, 2022
Short summary
Integrated seismic risk assessment in Nepal
Sanish Bhochhibhoya and Roisha Maharjan
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3211–3230, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3211-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3211-2022, 2022
Short summary
Machine learning models to predict myocardial infarctions from past climatic and environmental conditions
Lennart Marien, Mahyar Valizadeh, Wolfgang zu Castell, Christine Nam, Diana Rechid, Alexandra Schneider, Christine Meisinger, Jakob Linseisen, Kathrin Wolf, and Laurens M. Bouwer
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3015–3039, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3015-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3015-2022, 2022
Short summary

Cited articles

Alexander, L. V., Zhang, X., Peterson, T. C., Caesar, J., Gleason, B., Tank, A. M. K., Haylock, M., Collins, D., Trewin, B., Rahimzadeh, F., Tagipour, A., Kumar, K. R., Revadekar, J., Griffiths, G., Vincent, L., Stephenson, D. B., Burn, J., Aguilar, E., Brunet, M., Taylor, M., New, M., Zhai, P., Rusticucci, M., and Vazquez-Aguirre, J. L.: Global observed changes in daily climate extremes of temperature and precipitation, J. Geophys. Res.-Atmos., 111, D05109, https://doi.org/10.1029/2005JD006290, 2006. a
Aznar-Siguan, G. and Bresch, D. N.: CLIMADA v1: a global weather and climate risk assessment platform, Geosci. Model Dev., 12, 3085–3097, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-12-3085-2019, 2019. a, b, c
BAG: Nationale Strategie zur Prävention der saisonalen Grippe (GRIPS) 2015–2018, Tech. rep., Bundesamt für Gesundheit, https://www.bag.admin.ch/dam/bag/de/dokumente/mt/i-und-i/grips/strategie-grips.pdf.download.pdf/Strategie GRIPS.pdf (last access: July 2022), 2018. a, b
BFS: Statistik der Unternehmensstruktur (STATENT), Beschäftigte und Arbeitsstätten: Geodaten, https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/de/home/dienstleistungen/geostat/geodaten-bundesstatistik/arbeitsstaetten-beschaeftigung/statistik-unternehmensstruktur-statent-ab-2011.assetdetail.9526894.html (last access: December 2020), 2017. a
BFS: Statistik der Bevölkerung und Haushalte (STATPOP), Geodaten 2018, https://www.bfs.admin.ch/bfs/de/home/dienstleistungen/geostat/geodaten-bundesstatistik/gebaeude-wohnungen-haushalte-personen/bevoelkerung-haushalte-ab-2010.assetdetail.9947069.html (last access: December 2020), 2018. a
Download
Short summary
We model the impacts of heat on both mortality and labour productivity in Switzerland in a changing climate. We estimate 658 heat-related death currently per year in Switzerland and CHF 665 million in losses in labour productivity. Should we remain on a high-emissions pathway, these values may double or even triple by the end of the century. Under a lower-emissions scenario impacts are expected to slightly increase and peak by around mid-century.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint