Articles | Volume 22, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2531-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2531-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
09 Aug 2022
Research article |
| 09 Aug 2022
| 09 Aug 2022
Projected impact of heat on mortality and labour productivity under climate change in Switzerland
Zélie Stalhandske
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland
Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich-Airport, Zurich, 8058, Switzerland
Valentina Nesa
Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland
Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich-Airport, Zurich, 8058, Switzerland
Marius Zumwald
Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland
Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich-Airport, Zurich, 8058, Switzerland
Martina S. Ragettli
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, 4051, Switzerland
University of Basel, Basel, 4001, Switzerland
Alina Galimshina
Institute of Construction & Infrastructure Management, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8093, Switzerland
Niels Holthausen
Amt für Abfall, Wasser, Energie und Luft, Canton of Zurich, Zurich, 8090, Switzerland
Martin Röösli
Swiss Tropical and Public Health Institute, Basel, 4051, Switzerland
University of Basel, Basel, 4001, Switzerland
David N. Bresch
Institute for Environmental Decisions, ETH Zurich, Zurich, 8092, Switzerland
Federal Office of Meteorology and Climatology MeteoSwiss, Zurich-Airport, Zurich, 8058, Switzerland
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- Economic impact of labor productivity losses induced by heat stress: an agent-based macroeconomic approach C. Kimmich et al. 10.1007/s10584-025-03879-7
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- Socio-environmental modifiers of heat-related mortality in eight Swiss cities: A case time series analysis B. Wicki et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2024.118116
- Assessing climate risk using ensembles: A novel framework for applying and extending open-source climate risk assessment platforms L. Dawkins et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100510
- Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland E. de Schrijver et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ace7e1
- A novel framework for the assessment of hydro-meteorological risks taking into account nature-based solutions L. Brogno et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad53e6
- Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate L. Severino et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024
- Heat exposure effects in Switzerland G. Simpkins 10.1038/s43017-022-00346-0
- Quantifying uncertainty and sensitivity in climate risk assessments: Varying hazard, exposure and vulnerability modelling choices L. Dawkins et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100511
- Quantifying overheating risk in English schools: A spatially coherent climate risk assessment L. Dawkins et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100602
- Spatiotemporal changes in population exposure to heat stress in South Asia A. Kyaw et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104544
- Impact of global warming on labor productivity in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, China J. Wang et al. 10.1088/2515-7620/ad5ccd
- Heat stress and the labour force S. Dasgupta et al. 10.1038/s43017-024-00606-1
- Projected impact of heat on mortality and labour productivity under climate change in Switzerland Z. Stalhandske et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2531-2022
- Impact-based forecasting of tropical cyclone-related human displacement to support anticipatory action P. Kam et al. 10.1038/s41467-024-53200-w
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Economic impact of labor productivity losses induced by heat stress: an agent-based macroeconomic approach C. Kimmich et al. 10.1007/s10584-025-03879-7
- EUBUCCO v0.1: European building stock characteristics in a common and open database for 200+ million individual buildings N. Milojevic-Dupont et al. 10.1038/s41597-023-02040-2
- Socio-environmental modifiers of heat-related mortality in eight Swiss cities: A case time series analysis B. Wicki et al. 10.1016/j.envres.2024.118116
- Assessing climate risk using ensembles: A novel framework for applying and extending open-source climate risk assessment platforms L. Dawkins et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100510
- Nationwide projections of heat- and cold-related mortality impacts under various climate change and population development scenarios in Switzerland E. de Schrijver et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ace7e1
- A novel framework for the assessment of hydro-meteorological risks taking into account nature-based solutions L. Brogno et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad53e6
- Projections and uncertainties of winter windstorm damage in Europe in a changing climate L. Severino et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1555-2024
- Heat exposure effects in Switzerland G. Simpkins 10.1038/s43017-022-00346-0
- Quantifying uncertainty and sensitivity in climate risk assessments: Varying hazard, exposure and vulnerability modelling choices L. Dawkins et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2023.100511
- Quantifying overheating risk in English schools: A spatially coherent climate risk assessment L. Dawkins et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2024.100602
- Spatiotemporal changes in population exposure to heat stress in South Asia A. Kyaw et al. 10.1016/j.scs.2023.104544
- Impact of global warming on labor productivity in the Chengdu-Chongqing economic circle, China J. Wang et al. 10.1088/2515-7620/ad5ccd
- Heat stress and the labour force S. Dasgupta et al. 10.1038/s43017-024-00606-1
- Projected impact of heat on mortality and labour productivity under climate change in Switzerland Z. Stalhandske et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-2531-2022
1 citations as recorded by crossref.
Latest update: 17 May 2025
Short summary
We model the impacts of heat on both mortality and labour productivity in Switzerland in a changing climate. We estimate 658 heat-related death currently per year in Switzerland and CHF 665 million in losses in labour productivity. Should we remain on a high-emissions pathway, these values may double or even triple by the end of the century. Under a lower-emissions scenario impacts are expected to slightly increase and peak by around mid-century.
We model the impacts of heat on both mortality and labour productivity in Switzerland in a...
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