Articles | Volume 22, issue 1
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-139-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-139-2022
© Author(s) 2022. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
25 Jan 2022
Research article |
| 25 Jan 2022
| 25 Jan 2022
Long-term hazard assessment of explosive eruptions at Jan Mayen (Norway) and implications for air traffic in the North Atlantic
Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO), Reykjavík, Iceland
Beatriz Martínez Montesinos
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Sara Barsotti
Icelandic Meteorological Office (IMO), Reykjavík, Iceland
Laura Sandri
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
Arnau Folch
Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain
Geociencias Barcelona, Consejo Superior Investigaciones Científicas (CSIC), Barcelona, Spain
Leonardo Mingari
Barcelona Supercomputing Center (BSC), Barcelona, Spain
Giovanni Macedonio
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Osservatorio Vesuviano, Sezione di Napoli, Naples, Italy
Antonio Costa
Istituto Nazionale di Geofisica e Vulcanologia, Sezione di Bologna, Bologna, Italy
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Cited
13 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A GIS-based multi-hazard assessment at the San Pedro volcano, Central Andes, northern Chile N. Alcozer-Vargas et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.897315
- Attempt to Model Lava Flow Faster Than Real Time: An Example of La Palma Using VolcFlow M. Marquez et al. 10.3390/geohazards3040027
- Recent applications of AI to environmental disciplines: A review A. Konya & P. Nematzadeh 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167705
- The EU Center of Excellence for Exascale in Solid Earth (ChEESE): Implementation, results, and roadmap for the second phase A. Folch et al. 10.1016/j.future.2023.04.006
- Assessing long-term tephra fallout hazard in southern Italy from Neapolitan volcanoes S. Massaro et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2289-2023
- Probabilistic tephra fallout hazard maps for Sangay volcano, Ecuador A. Tadini et al. 10.1007/s00445-025-01794-4
- Evaluating and ranking Southeast Asia's exposure to explosive volcanic hazards S. Jenkins et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1233-2022
- The European Volcano Observatories and their use of the aviation colour code system S. Barsotti et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01712-0
- On the feasibility and usefulness of high-performance computing in probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment: An application to tephra hazard from Campi Flegrei B. Montesinos et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.941789
- The effect of the eruption of mount Hunga-Tonga on density altitude, air pressure and flight operations in eastern Indonesian H. Ismanto et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/1233/1/012070
- The Volcanic Hazards of Jan Mayen Island (North-Atlantic) E. Gjerløw et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.730734
- Characterising, quantifying, and accessing eruption source parameters of explosive volcanic eruptions for operational simulation of tephra dispersion: a current view and future perspectives S. Engwell et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01706-y
- Quantifying uncertainty in probabilistic volcanic ash hazard forecasts, with an application to weather pattern based wind field sampling J. Phillips et al. 10.1007/s00445-023-01664-x
9 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A GIS-based multi-hazard assessment at the San Pedro volcano, Central Andes, northern Chile N. Alcozer-Vargas et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.897315
- Attempt to Model Lava Flow Faster Than Real Time: An Example of La Palma Using VolcFlow M. Marquez et al. 10.3390/geohazards3040027
- Recent applications of AI to environmental disciplines: A review A. Konya & P. Nematzadeh 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.167705
- The EU Center of Excellence for Exascale in Solid Earth (ChEESE): Implementation, results, and roadmap for the second phase A. Folch et al. 10.1016/j.future.2023.04.006
- Assessing long-term tephra fallout hazard in southern Italy from Neapolitan volcanoes S. Massaro et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2289-2023
- Probabilistic tephra fallout hazard maps for Sangay volcano, Ecuador A. Tadini et al. 10.1007/s00445-025-01794-4
- Evaluating and ranking Southeast Asia's exposure to explosive volcanic hazards S. Jenkins et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1233-2022
- The European Volcano Observatories and their use of the aviation colour code system S. Barsotti et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01712-0
- On the feasibility and usefulness of high-performance computing in probabilistic volcanic hazard assessment: An application to tephra hazard from Campi Flegrei B. Montesinos et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.941789
4 citations as recorded by crossref.
- The effect of the eruption of mount Hunga-Tonga on density altitude, air pressure and flight operations in eastern Indonesian H. Ismanto et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/1233/1/012070
- The Volcanic Hazards of Jan Mayen Island (North-Atlantic) E. Gjerløw et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.730734
- Characterising, quantifying, and accessing eruption source parameters of explosive volcanic eruptions for operational simulation of tephra dispersion: a current view and future perspectives S. Engwell et al. 10.1007/s00445-024-01706-y
- Quantifying uncertainty in probabilistic volcanic ash hazard forecasts, with an application to weather pattern based wind field sampling J. Phillips et al. 10.1007/s00445-023-01664-x
Latest update: 29 May 2025
Short summary
This work addresses a quantitative hazard assessment on the possible impact on air traffic of a future ash-forming eruption on the island of Jan Mayen. Through high-performance computing resources, we numerically simulate the transport of ash clouds and ash concentration at different flight levels over an area covering Iceland and the UK using the FALL3D model. This approach allows us to derive a set of probability maps explaining the extent and persisting concentration conditions of ash clouds.
This work addresses a quantitative hazard assessment on the possible impact on air traffic of a...
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