Articles | Volume 21, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2679-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-2679-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
The prediction of floods in Venice: methods, models and uncertainty (review article)
Georg Umgiesser
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
ISMAR-CNR, Institute of Marine Sciences, National Research Council,
Venice, Italy
Marine Research Institute, Klaipeda University, Klaipeda, Lithuania
Marco Bajo
ISMAR-CNR, Institute of Marine Sciences, National Research Council,
Venice, Italy
Christian Ferrarin
ISMAR-CNR, Institute of Marine Sciences, National Research Council,
Venice, Italy
Andrea Cucco
IAS-CNR, Institute for the study of Anthropic impacts and Sustainability in the marine environment, National Research Council, Oristano, Italy
Piero Lionello
DiSTeBA – University of Salento, Lecce, Italy
Davide Zanchettin
Department of Environmental Sciences, Informatics and Statistics, University Ca' Foscari of Venice, Mestre, Italy
Alvise Papa
CPSM, Centro Previsione e Segnalazione Maree – Protezione Civile,
Venice, Italy
Alessandro Tosoni
CPSM, Centro Previsione e Segnalazione Maree – Protezione Civile,
Venice, Italy
Maurizio Ferla
Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, ISPRA, Venice, Italy
Elisa Coraci
Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, ISPRA, Venice, Italy
Sara Morucci
Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, ISPRA, Venice, Italy
Franco Crosato
Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, ISPRA, Venice, Italy
Andrea Bonometto
Italian Institute for Environmental Protection and Research, ISPRA, Venice, Italy
Andrea Valentini
Arpae-SIMC – Regional Agency for Prevention, Environment and Energy of
Emilia-Romagna, Hydro-Meteo-Climate Service, Bologna, Italy
Mirko Orlić
Department of Geophysics, Faculty of Science, University of Zagreb,
Zagreb, Croatia
Ivan D. Haigh
School of Ocean and Earth Science, National Oceanography Centre,
University of Southampton, Southampton, UK
Jacob Woge Nielsen
DMI – Danish Meteorological Institute, Copenhagen, Denmark
Xavier Bertin
UMR 7266 LIENSs, CNRS-La Rochelle University, 2 rue Olympe de
Gouges, 17000 La Rochelle, France
André Bustorff Fortunato
Laboratório Nacional de Engenharia Civil, Lisbon, Portugal
Begoña Pérez Gómez
Puertos del Estado, Madrid, Spain
Enrique Alvarez Fanjul
Puertos del Estado, Madrid, Spain
Denis Paradis
Direction des Opérations pour la Prévision, Département Marine et Océanographie, Météo-France, Toulouse, France
Didier Jourdan
Shom (Service hydrographique et océanographique de la Marine),
Toulouse, France
Audrey Pasquet
Shom (Service hydrographique et océanographique de la Marine),
Toulouse, France
Baptiste Mourre
SOCIB, Balearic Islands Coastal Observing and Forecasting System, Mallorca, Spain
Joaquín Tintoré
SOCIB, Balearic Islands Coastal Observing and Forecasting System, Mallorca, Spain
Robert J. Nicholls
Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research, University of East
Anglia, Norwich, UK
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Short summary
The city of Venice relies crucially on a good storm surge forecast to protect its population and cultural heritage. In this paper, we provide a state-of-the-art review of storm surge forecasting, starting from examples in Europe and focusing on the Adriatic Sea and the Lagoon of Venice. We discuss the physics of storm surge, as well as the particular aspects of Venice and new techniques in storm surge modeling. We also give recommendations on what a future forecasting system should look like.
The city of Venice relies crucially on a good storm surge forecast to protect its population and...
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