Articles | Volume 21, issue 6
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1721–1738, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1721-2021

Special issue: Understanding compound weather and climate events and related...

Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 21, 1721–1738, 2021
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1721-2021
Research article
02 Jun 2021
Research article | 02 Jun 2021

Assessing internal changes in the future structure of dry–hot compound events: the case of the Pyrenees

Marc Lemus-Canovas and Joan Albert Lopez-Bustins

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Cited articles

Camarero, J. J.: The Multiple Factors Explaining Decline in Mountain Forests: Historical Logging and Warming-Related Drought Stress is Causing Silver-Fir Dieback in the Aragón Pyrenees, in: High Mountain Conservation in a Changing World, edited by: Catalan, J., Ninot, J., and Aniz, M., Advances in Global Change Research, vol 62, Springer, Cham, https://doi.org/10.1007/978-3-319-55982-7_6, 2017. 
Cannon, A. J.: Multivariate Bias Correction of Climate Model Output: Matching Marginal Distributions and Intervariable Dependence Structure, J. Climate, 29, 7045–7064, https://doi.org/10.1175/jcli-d-15-0679.1, 2016. 
Cannon, A. J.: Multivariate quantile mapping bias correction: an N-dimensional probability density function transform for climate model simulations of multiple variables, Clim. Dynam., 50, 31–49, https://doi.org/10.1007/s00382-017-3580-6, 2018a. 
Cannon, A. J.: Multivariate Bias Correction of Climate Model Outputs, available at: https://CRAN.R-project.org/package=MBC (last access: 30 April 2021), 2018b. 
Cannon, A. J., Sobie, S. R., and Murdock, T. Q.: Bias correction of GCM precipitation by quantile mapping: How well do methods preserve changes in quantiles and extremes?, J. Climate, 28, 6938–6959, https://doi.org/10.1175/JCLI-D-14-00754.1, 2015. 
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We present research that attempts to address recent and future changes in hot and dry compound events in the Pyrenees, which can induce severe environmental hazards in this area. The results show that during the last few decades, these kinds of compound events have only increased due to temperature increase. However, for the future, it is expected that the risk associated with these compound events will be raised by both the thermal increase and the longer duration of drought periods.
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