Articles | Volume 21, issue 3
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1135-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-21-1135-2021
© Author(s) 2021. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
31 Mar 2021
Research article |
| 31 Mar 2021
| 31 Mar 2021
The heavy precipitation event of 14–15 October 2018 in the Aude catchment: a meteorological study based on operational numerical weather prediction systems and standard and personal observations
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Marc Mandement
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
François Bouttier
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Judith Eeckman
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
IMFT, Université de Toulouse, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Cindy Lebeaupin Brossier
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Alexane Lovat
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Observing Systems Division, Météo-France, Toulouse, France
Olivier Nuissier
CNRM, Université de Toulouse, Météo-France, CNRS, Toulouse, France
Olivier Laurantin
Observing Systems Division, Météo-France, Toulouse, France
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- Characterization of ensemble generation strategies: Application to three illustrative examples of Mediterranean high-impact weather A. Hermoso et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106479
- What Causes a Heavy Precipitation Period to Become Extreme? The Exceptional October of 2018 in the Western Mediterranean S. Khodayar Pardo et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4020956
- Assimilation of surface pressure observations from personal weather stations in AROME-France A. Demortier et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-907-2024
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- Estimation of Real-Time Rainfall Fields Reflecting the Mountain Effect of Rainfall Explained by the WRF Rainfall Fields J. Lee et al. 10.3390/w15091794
- Does a convection-permitting regional climate model bring new perspectives on the projection of Mediterranean floods? N. Poncet et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1163-2024
- Severe-hail detection with C-band dual-polarisation radars using convolutional neural networks V. Forcadell et al. 10.5194/amt-17-6707-2024
- Benchmark dataset for hydraulic simulations of flash floods in the French Mediterranean region J. Godet et al. 10.5194/essd-17-2963-2025
- Developing a large-scale dataset of flood fatalities for territories in the Euro-Mediterranean region, FFEM-DB K. Papagiannaki et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01273-x
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- Downward counterfactual analysis of multi-risk cascades M. Gargiulo et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1236321
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- A multi-sourced assessment of the spatiotemporal dynamics of soil moisture in the MARINE flash flood model J. Eeckman et al. 10.5194/hess-25-1425-2021
20 citations as recorded by crossref.
- A network of water vapor Raman lidars for improving heavy precipitation forecasting in southern France: introducing the WaLiNeAs initiative C. Flamant et al. 10.1007/s42865-021-00037-6
- Characterization of ensemble generation strategies: Application to three illustrative examples of Mediterranean high-impact weather A. Hermoso et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2022.106479
- What Causes a Heavy Precipitation Period to Become Extreme? The Exceptional October of 2018 in the Western Mediterranean S. Khodayar Pardo et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4020956
- Assimilation of surface pressure observations from personal weather stations in AROME-France A. Demortier et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-907-2024
- Development of a forecast-oriented kilometre-resolution ocean–atmosphere coupled system for western Europe and sensitivity study for a severe weather situation J. Pianezze et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1301-2022
- Combined surge-meteotsunami dynamics: A numerical model for hurricane Leslie on the coast of Portugal J. Kim & R. Omira 10.1016/j.ocemod.2024.102368
- Performance of automated methods for flash flood inundation mapping: a comparison of a digital terrain model (DTM) filling and two hydrodynamic methods N. Hocini et al. 10.5194/hess-25-2979-2021
- What causes a heavy precipitation period to become extreme? The exceptional October of 2018 in the Western Mediterranean S. Khodayar et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100493
- Estimation of Real-Time Rainfall Fields Reflecting the Mountain Effect of Rainfall Explained by the WRF Rainfall Fields J. Lee et al. 10.3390/w15091794
- Does a convection-permitting regional climate model bring new perspectives on the projection of Mediterranean floods? N. Poncet et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-1163-2024
- Severe-hail detection with C-band dual-polarisation radars using convolutional neural networks V. Forcadell et al. 10.5194/amt-17-6707-2024
- Benchmark dataset for hydraulic simulations of flash floods in the French Mediterranean region J. Godet et al. 10.5194/essd-17-2963-2025
- Developing a large-scale dataset of flood fatalities for territories in the Euro-Mediterranean region, FFEM-DB K. Papagiannaki et al. 10.1038/s41597-022-01273-x
- Characterization of Ensemble Generation Strategies: Application to Three Illustrative Examples of Mediterranean High-Impact Weather A. Hermoso et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4051516
- Downward counterfactual analysis of multi-risk cascades M. Gargiulo et al. 10.3389/feart.2023.1236321
- A methodological framework for the evaluation of short-range flash-flood hydrometeorological forecasts at the event scale M. Charpentier-Noyer et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-2001-2023
- Probabilistic short-range forecasts of high-precipitation events: optimal decision thresholds and predictability limits F. Bouttier & H. Marchal 10.5194/nhess-24-2793-2024
- Assessment of the October 2024 Cut-Off Low Event Floods Impact in Valencia (Spain) with Satellite and Geospatial Data I. Castro-Melgar et al. 10.3390/rs17132145
- A numerical study to investigate the roles of former Hurricane Leslie, orography and evaporative cooling in the 2018 Aude heavy-precipitation event M. Mandement & O. Caumont 10.5194/wcd-2-795-2021
- Impact of Radar Reflectivity and Lightning Data Assimilation on the Rainfall Forecast and Predictability of a Summer Convective Thunderstorm in Southern Italy S. Federico et al. 10.3390/atmos12080958
Discussed (final revised paper)
Latest update: 18 Jul 2025
Short summary
This study focuses on the heavy precipitation event of 14 and 15 October 2018, which caused deadly flash floods in the Aude basin in south-western France.
The case is studied from a meteorological point of view using various operational numerical weather prediction systems, as well as a unique combination of observations from both standard and personal weather stations. The peculiarities of this case compared to other cases of Mediterranean heavy precipitation events are presented.
This study focuses on the heavy precipitation event of 14 and 15 October 2018, which caused...
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