Articles | Volume 20, issue 12
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3521-2020
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-20-3521-2020
Research article
 | Highlight paper
 | 
17 Dec 2020
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 17 Dec 2020

Downsizing parameter ensembles for simulations of rare floods

Anna E. Sikorska-Senoner, Bettina Schaefli, and Jan Seibert

Related authors

Comprehensive space–time hydrometeorological simulations for estimating very rare floods at multiple sites in a large river basin
Daniel Viviroli, Anna E. Sikorska-Senoner, Guillaume Evin, Maria Staudinger, Martina Kauzlaric, Jérémy Chardon, Anne-Catherine Favre, Benoit Hingray, Gilles Nicolet, Damien Raynaud, Jan Seibert, Rolf Weingartner, and Calvin Whealton
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2891–2920, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2891-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2891-2022, 2022
Short summary
Improving the Pareto Frontier in multi-dataset calibration of hydrological models using metaheuristics
Silja Stefnisdóttir, Anna E. Sikorska-Senoner, Eyjólfur I. Ásgeirsson, and David C. Finger
Hydrol. Earth Syst. Sci. Discuss., https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-325,https://doi.org/10.5194/hess-2021-325, 2021
Manuscript not accepted for further review
Short summary

Related subject area

Hydrological Hazards
Assessing LISFLOOD-FP with the next-generation digital elevation model FABDEM using household survey and remote sensing data in the Central Highlands of Vietnam
Laurence Hawker, Jeffrey Neal, James Savage, Thomas Kirkpatrick, Rachel Lord, Yanos Zylberberg, Andre Groeger, Truong Dang Thuy, Sean Fox, Felix Agyemang, and Pham Khanh Nam
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 539–566, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-539-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-539-2024, 2024
Short summary
CRHyME (Climatic Rainfall Hydrogeological Modelling Experiment): a new model for geo-hydrological hazard assessment at the basin scale
Andrea Abbate, Leonardo Mancusi, Francesco Apadula, Antonella Frigerio, Monica Papini, and Laura Longoni
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 501–537, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-501-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-501-2024, 2024
Short summary
Current and future rainfall-driven flood risk from hurricanes in Puerto Rico under 1.5 and 2 °C climate change
Leanne Archer, Jeffrey Neal, Paul Bates, Emily Vosper, Dereka Carroll, Jeison Sosa, and Daniel Mitchell
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 375–396, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-375-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-375-2024, 2024
Short summary
Using integrated hydrological–hydraulic modelling and global data sources to analyse the February 2023 floods in the Umbeluzi Catchment (Mozambique)
Luis Cea, Manuel Álvarez, and Jerónimo Puertas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 225–243, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-225-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-225-2024, 2024
Short summary
Impact-based flood forecasting in the Greater Horn of Africa
Lorenzo Alfieri, Andrea Libertino, Lorenzo Campo, Francesco Dottori, Simone Gabellani, Tatiana Ghizzoni, Alessandro Masoero, Lauro Rossi, Roberto Rudari, Nicola Testa, Eva Trasforini, Ahmed Amdihun, Jully Ouma, Luca Rossi, Yves Tramblay, Huan Wu, and Marco Massabò
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 199–224, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-199-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-199-2024, 2024
Short summary

Cited articles

Addor, N., Rössler, O., Köplin, N., Huss, M., Weingartner, R., and Seibert, J.: Robust changes and sources of uncertainty in the projected hydrological regimes of Swiss catchments, Water Resour. Res., 50, 7541–7562, https://doi.org/10.1002/2014WR015549, 2014. a
American Society of Civil Engineers: Hydrology Handbook, 2nd Edn., American Society of Civil Engineers, New York, https://doi.org/10.1061/9780784401385, 1996.  a
Arnaud, P. and Lavabre, J.: Coupled rainfall model and discharge model for flood frequency estimation, Water Resour. Res., 38, 1075, https://doi.org/10.1029/2001WR000474, 2002. a, b
Arnaud, P., Cantet, P., and Odry, J.: Uncertainties of flood frequency estimation approaches based on continuous simulation using data resampling, J. Hydrol., 554, 360–369, https://doi.org/10.1016/j.jhydrol.2017.09.011, 2017. a, b
BAFU: Hochwasserstatistik Stationsbericht Dünnern – Olten, Hammermüuhle, BAFU Bericht, available at: https://www.hydrodaten.admin.ch/lhg/sdi/hq_studien/hq_statistics/2434_hq_Bericht.pdf (last access: 16 December 2020), 2017. a
Download
Short summary
This work proposes methods for reducing the computational requirements of hydrological simulations for the estimation of very rare floods that occur on average less than once in 1000 years. These methods enable the analysis of long streamflow time series (here for example 10 000 years) at low computational costs and with modelling uncertainty. They are to be used within continuous simulation frameworks with long input time series and are readily transferable to similar simulation tasks.
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint