Articles | Volume 19, issue 4
Research article
 | Highlight paper
02 May 2019
Research article | Highlight paper |  | 02 May 2019

Summertime precipitation extremes in a EURO-CORDEX 0.11° ensemble at an hourly resolution

Peter Berg, Ole B. Christensen, Katharina Klehmet, Geert Lenderink, Jonas Olsson, Claas Teichmann, and Wei Yang

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Cited articles

Arnaud, P. and Lavabre, J.: Coupled rainfall model and discharge model for flood frequency estimation, Water Resour. Res., 38, 11-1–11-11,, 2002. a
Arnaud, P., Lavabre, J., Sol, B., and Desouches, C.: Régionalisation d'un générateur de pluies horaires sur la France métropolitaine pour la connaissance de l'aléa pluviographique/Regionalization of an hourly rainfall generating model over metropolitan France for flood hazard estimation, Hydrol. Sci. J., 53, 34–47, 2008. a
Ban, N., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Heavy precipitation in a changing climate: Does short-term summer precipitation increase faster?, Geophys. Res. Lett., 42, 1165–1172,, 2015. a
Ban, N., Rajczak, J., Schmidli, J., and Schär, C.: Analysis of Alpine precipitation extremes using generalized extreme value theory in convection-resolving climate simulations, Clim. Dynam., 1–15,, 2018. a, b, c, d, e
Bao, J., Sherwood, S. C., Alexander, L. V., and Evans, J. P.: Future increases in extreme precipitation exceed observed scaling rates, Nat. Clim. Change, 7, 128–132,, 2017. a
Short summary
A state-of-the-art regional climate model ensemble for Europe is investigated for extreme precipitation intensities. The models poorly reproduce short duration events of less than a few hours. Further, there is poor connection to some known hotspots for extreme cases. The model performance is much improved at 12 h durations. Projected future increases scale with seasonal mean temperature change, within a range from a few percent to over 10 percent per degree Celsius.
Final-revised paper