Articles | Volume 19, issue 4
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-857-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-857-2019
© Author(s) 2019. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
17 Apr 2019
Research article |
| 17 Apr 2019
| 17 Apr 2019
Projected changes to extreme freezing precipitation and design ice loads over North America based on a large ensemble of Canadian regional climate model simulations
Dae Il Jeong
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, Ontario, M3H 5T4, Canada
Alex J. Cannon
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Victoria, British Columbia, V8W 2Y2, Canada
Xuebin Zhang
Climate Research Division, Environment and Climate Change Canada,
Toronto, Ontario, M3H 5T4, Canada
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Cited
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Projected changes to wind loads coinciding with rainfall for building design in Canada based on an ensemble of Canadian regional climate model simulations D. Jeong et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02745-y
- Changes of winter extreme precipitation in Heilongjiang province and the diagnostic analysis of its circulation features L. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105094
- Projected Changes to Mean and Extreme Surface Wind Speeds for North America Based on Regional Climate Model Simulations D. Jeong & L. Sushama 10.3390/atmos10090497
- Framing the Use of Climate Model Projections in Infrastructure Engineering: Practices, Uncertainties, and Recommendations Y. Lai et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000685
- Development of black ice prediction model using GIS-based multi-sensor model validation S. Hong et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-3435-2022
- An analysis of the basis of the Chaîné model for ice accretion in freezing rain K. Jones 10.1016/j.coldregions.2023.103820
- A metaheuristic-optimization-based neural network for icing prediction on transmission lines R. Snaiki et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2024.104249
- Preface: Natural hazard impacts on technological systems and infrastructures E. Petrova & M. Bostenaru Dan 10.5194/nhess-20-2627-2020
- Impact of climate change on wind energy across North America under climate change scenario RCP8.5 S. Li 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106722
- Near-0 °C surface temperature and precipitation type patterns across Canada E. Mekis et al. 10.5194/hess-24-1741-2020
- Potential changes in climate indices in Alberta under projected global warming of 1.5–5 °C H. Eum et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101390
- Evaluation and joint projection of temperature and precipitation extremes across Canada based on hierarchical Bayesian modelling and large ensembles of regional climate simulations H. Singh et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100443
- Heterogeneous snowpack response and snow drought occurrence across river basins of northwestern North America under 1.0°C to 4.0°C global warming R. Shrestha et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-02968-7
- Future water levels of the Great Lakes under 1.5 °C to 3 °C warmer climates F. Seglenieks & A. Temgoua 10.1016/j.jglr.2022.05.012
- A Multi‐Algorithm Analysis of Projected Changes to Freezing Rain Over North America in an Ensemble of Regional Climate Model Simulations C. McCray et al. 10.1029/2022JD036935
- Projected changes to moisture loads for design and management of building exteriors over Canada D. Jeong & A. Cannon 10.1016/j.buildenv.2019.106609
- Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites C. Sheng et al. 10.1007/s13753-023-00466-1
- The climate-energy nexus: a critical review of power grid components, extreme weather, and adaptation measures J. Garland et al. 10.1088/2634-4505/ad79dd
- Rising risks of hydroclimatic swings: A large ensemble study of dry and wet spell transitions in North America W. Na & M. Najafi 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104476
- Climatic Controls on Future Hydrologic Changes in a Subarctic River Basin in Canada R. Shrestha et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0262.1
- Snowpack response in the Assiniboine-Red River basin associated with projected global warming of 1.0 °C to 3.0 °C R. Shrestha et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2020.04.009
- Spatiotemporal patterns and variations of winter extreme precipitation over terrestrial northern hemisphere in the past century (1901–2017) T. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.pce.2019.102828
- Effects of Nonstationarity of Extreme Wind Speeds and Ground Snow Loads in a Future Canadian Changing Climate S. Li et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000572
- Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming J. Thompson et al. 10.1029/2021EF002048
- Failure prediction of overhead transmission lines incorporating time series prediction model for wind-ice loads X. Meng et al. 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110927
- Projected changes to risk of wind-driven rain on buildings in Canada under +0.5 °C to +3.5 °C global warming above the recent period D. Il Jeong & A. Cannon 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100261
- Response of gap wind-driven freezing rain and ice accretion in the Willamette Basin, Oregon, to global warming D. Rupp et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06991-5
- Representativeness of the Precipitation Observing Network for Monitoring Precipitation Change and Variability in Canada H. Wan et al. 10.1080/07055900.2022.2144111
- Intense windstorms in the northeastern United States F. Letson et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2001-2021
- Predicting black ice-related accidents with probabilistic modeling using GIS-based Monte Carlo simulation S. Hong et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0303605
- Extreme windstorms in the Northeastern USA in the contemporary and future climate X. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07012-1
- Towards accurate ice accretion and galloping risk maps for Quebec: A data-driven approach A. Jamali et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104460
32 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Projected changes to wind loads coinciding with rainfall for building design in Canada based on an ensemble of Canadian regional climate model simulations D. Jeong et al. 10.1007/s10584-020-02745-y
- Changes of winter extreme precipitation in Heilongjiang province and the diagnostic analysis of its circulation features L. Zhang et al. 10.1016/j.atmosres.2020.105094
- Projected Changes to Mean and Extreme Surface Wind Speeds for North America Based on Regional Climate Model Simulations D. Jeong & L. Sushama 10.3390/atmos10090497
- Framing the Use of Climate Model Projections in Infrastructure Engineering: Practices, Uncertainties, and Recommendations Y. Lai et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)IS.1943-555X.0000685
- Development of black ice prediction model using GIS-based multi-sensor model validation S. Hong et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-3435-2022
- An analysis of the basis of the Chaîné model for ice accretion in freezing rain K. Jones 10.1016/j.coldregions.2023.103820
- A metaheuristic-optimization-based neural network for icing prediction on transmission lines R. Snaiki et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2024.104249
- Preface: Natural hazard impacts on technological systems and infrastructures E. Petrova & M. Bostenaru Dan 10.5194/nhess-20-2627-2020
- Impact of climate change on wind energy across North America under climate change scenario RCP8.5 S. Li 10.1016/j.atmosres.2023.106722
- Near-0 °C surface temperature and precipitation type patterns across Canada E. Mekis et al. 10.5194/hess-24-1741-2020
- Potential changes in climate indices in Alberta under projected global warming of 1.5–5 °C H. Eum et al. 10.1016/j.ejrh.2023.101390
- Evaluation and joint projection of temperature and precipitation extremes across Canada based on hierarchical Bayesian modelling and large ensembles of regional climate simulations H. Singh et al. 10.1016/j.wace.2022.100443
- Heterogeneous snowpack response and snow drought occurrence across river basins of northwestern North America under 1.0°C to 4.0°C global warming R. Shrestha et al. 10.1007/s10584-021-02968-7
- Future water levels of the Great Lakes under 1.5 °C to 3 °C warmer climates F. Seglenieks & A. Temgoua 10.1016/j.jglr.2022.05.012
- A Multi‐Algorithm Analysis of Projected Changes to Freezing Rain Over North America in an Ensemble of Regional Climate Model Simulations C. McCray et al. 10.1029/2022JD036935
- Projected changes to moisture loads for design and management of building exteriors over Canada D. Jeong & A. Cannon 10.1016/j.buildenv.2019.106609
- Estimating and Mapping Extreme Ice Accretion Hazard and Load Due to Freezing Rain at Canadian Sites C. Sheng et al. 10.1007/s13753-023-00466-1
- The climate-energy nexus: a critical review of power grid components, extreme weather, and adaptation measures J. Garland et al. 10.1088/2634-4505/ad79dd
- Rising risks of hydroclimatic swings: A large ensemble study of dry and wet spell transitions in North America W. Na & M. Najafi 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2024.104476
- Climatic Controls on Future Hydrologic Changes in a Subarctic River Basin in Canada R. Shrestha et al. 10.1175/JHM-D-18-0262.1
- Snowpack response in the Assiniboine-Red River basin associated with projected global warming of 1.0 °C to 3.0 °C R. Shrestha et al. 10.1016/j.jglr.2020.04.009
- Spatiotemporal patterns and variations of winter extreme precipitation over terrestrial northern hemisphere in the past century (1901–2017) T. Pan et al. 10.1016/j.pce.2019.102828
- Effects of Nonstationarity of Extreme Wind Speeds and Ground Snow Loads in a Future Canadian Changing Climate S. Li et al. 10.1061/(ASCE)NH.1527-6996.0000572
- Increasing Risk of Ecological Change to Major Rivers of the World With Global Warming J. Thompson et al. 10.1029/2021EF002048
- Failure prediction of overhead transmission lines incorporating time series prediction model for wind-ice loads X. Meng et al. 10.1016/j.ress.2025.110927
- Projected changes to risk of wind-driven rain on buildings in Canada under +0.5 °C to +3.5 °C global warming above the recent period D. Il Jeong & A. Cannon 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100261
- Response of gap wind-driven freezing rain and ice accretion in the Willamette Basin, Oregon, to global warming D. Rupp et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-06991-5
- Representativeness of the Precipitation Observing Network for Monitoring Precipitation Change and Variability in Canada H. Wan et al. 10.1080/07055900.2022.2144111
- Intense windstorms in the northeastern United States F. Letson et al. 10.5194/nhess-21-2001-2021
- Predicting black ice-related accidents with probabilistic modeling using GIS-based Monte Carlo simulation S. Hong et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0303605
- Extreme windstorms in the Northeastern USA in the contemporary and future climate X. Zhou et al. 10.1007/s00382-023-07012-1
- Towards accurate ice accretion and galloping risk maps for Quebec: A data-driven approach A. Jamali et al. 10.1016/j.coldregions.2025.104460
Latest update: 09 Mar 2025
Short summary
Atmospheric ice accretion caused by freezing precipitation leads to severe damage and failure of buildings and infrastructure. This study investigates projected changes to extreme ice loads used to design infrastructure over North America for future periods of specified global mean temperature change using a Canadian regional climate model. Increases in ice accretion for latitudes higher than 40° N are substantial and would have clear implications for future building and infrastructure design.
Atmospheric ice accretion caused by freezing precipitation leads to severe damage and failure of...
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