Articles | Volume 19, issue 7
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1347–1363, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1347-2019
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 19, 1347–1363, 2019
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-19-1347-2019

Research article 08 Jul 2019

Research article | 08 Jul 2019

Statistical theory of probabilistic hazard maps: a probability distribution for the hazard boundary location

David M. Hyman et al.

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ED: Publish as is (27 May 2019) by Giovanni Macedonio
Short summary
In this work, we present new methods for calculating the mean, standard deviation, median, and modal locations of the boundaries of volcanic hazards. These calculations are based on a new, mathematically rigorous definition of probabilistic hazard maps – a way to map the probabilities of inundation by a given hazard. We apply this analysis to several models of volcanic flows: simple models of viscous flows, complex models of a tabletop granular flow, and a complex model of a volcanic mud flow.
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