Articles | Volume 18, issue 10
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2641-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-18-2641-2018
© Author(s) 2018. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 License.
Research article
| 
02 Oct 2018
Research article |
| 02 Oct 2018
| 02 Oct 2018
Has fire policy decreased the return period of the largest wildfire events in France? A Bayesian assessment based on extreme value theory
Irstea – UR ETGR Erosion Torrentielle, Neige et Avalanches, Université Grenoble Alpes, 38402 Saint-Martin-d'Hères, France
Thomas Curt
Irstea – RECOVER Mediterranean Ecosystems and Risks, 3275 route Cézanne, 13182 Aix-en-Provence, France
Nicolas Eckert
Irstea – UR ETGR Erosion Torrentielle, Neige et Avalanches, Université Grenoble Alpes, 38402 Saint-Martin-d'Hères, France
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Cited
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Influence of climatic factor of changes in forest fire danger and fire season length in Turkey M. Ertugrul et al. 10.1007/s10661-020-08800-6
- Changes in European fire weather extremes and related atmospheric drivers T. Giannaros & G. Papavasileiou 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109749
- Cross‐country risk quantification of extreme wildfires in Mediterranean Europe S. Meier et al. 10.1111/risa.14075
- Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe: A Synthesis of National Perspectives N. Fernandez-Anez et al. 10.1177/11786221211028185
- A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps E. Le Roux et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022
- Extreme events in biological, societal, and earth sciences: A systematic review of the literature M. Stewart et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.786829
- Attributing Increases in Fire Weather to Anthropogenic Climate Change Over France R. Barbero et al. 10.3389/feart.2020.00104
- 202 years of changes in Mediterranean fire regime in Pinus nigra forest, Corsica J. Badeau et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121658
- Climate change impact on future wildfire danger and activity in southern Europe: a review J. Dupuy et al. 10.1007/s13595-020-00933-5
- Variation of Ozone in the Pantanal Environment Based on Probability Distributions A. de Souza et al. 10.1080/01919512.2022.2041392
- Contrasting large fire activity in the French Mediterranean A. Ganteaume & R. Barbero 10.5194/nhess-19-1055-2019
- Environmental factors affecting wildfire-burned areas in southeastern France, 1970–2019 C. Bountzouklis et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1181-2022
- Macrofauna and meiofauna food-web structure from Arctic fjords to deep Arctic Ocean during spring: A stable isotope approach B. Oleszczuk et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110487
- How is rockfall risk impacted by land-use and land-cover changes? Insights from the French Alps M. Farvacque et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.01.009
- Spatiotemporal wildfire modeling through point processes with moderate and extreme marks J. Koh et al. 10.1214/22-AOAS1642
- Temporal and spatial patterns of fire activity in three biomes of Brazil M. Abreu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157138
- How Does Fire Suppression Alter the Wildfire Regime? A Systematic Review J. Hai et al. 10.3390/fire6110424
- Contain and Control: Wildfire Suppression Effectiveness at Incidents and Across Landscapes M. Plucinski 10.1007/s40725-019-00085-4
- Bayesian extreme value analysis of kinematic-based surrogate measure of safety to detect crash-prone conditions in connected vehicles environment: A driving simulator experiment A. Khoda Bakhshi & M. Ahmed 10.1016/j.trc.2021.103539
- Future expansion, seasonal lengthening and intensification of fire activity under climate change in southeastern France F. Pimont et al. 10.1071/WF22103
- The Performance of ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System for European Extreme Fires: Portugal/Monchique in 2018 R. Durão et al. 10.3390/atmos13081239
- Modelling Fire Risk Exposure for France Using Machine Learning B. Gualdi et al. 10.3390/app12031635
- A global outlook on increasing wildfire risk: Current policy situation and future pathways P. Pandey et al. 10.1016/j.tfp.2023.100431
- Disentangling the factors of spatio-temporal patterns of wildfire activity in south-eastern France J. Castel-Clavera et al. 10.1071/WF22086
24 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Influence of climatic factor of changes in forest fire danger and fire season length in Turkey M. Ertugrul et al. 10.1007/s10661-020-08800-6
- Changes in European fire weather extremes and related atmospheric drivers T. Giannaros & G. Papavasileiou 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109749
- Cross‐country risk quantification of extreme wildfires in Mediterranean Europe S. Meier et al. 10.1111/risa.14075
- Current Wildland Fire Patterns and Challenges in Europe: A Synthesis of National Perspectives N. Fernandez-Anez et al. 10.1177/11786221211028185
- A non-stationary extreme-value approach for climate projection ensembles: application to snow loads in the French Alps E. Le Roux et al. 10.5194/esd-13-1059-2022
- Extreme events in biological, societal, and earth sciences: A systematic review of the literature M. Stewart et al. 10.3389/feart.2022.786829
- Attributing Increases in Fire Weather to Anthropogenic Climate Change Over France R. Barbero et al. 10.3389/feart.2020.00104
- 202 years of changes in Mediterranean fire regime in Pinus nigra forest, Corsica J. Badeau et al. 10.1016/j.foreco.2023.121658
- Climate change impact on future wildfire danger and activity in southern Europe: a review J. Dupuy et al. 10.1007/s13595-020-00933-5
- Variation of Ozone in the Pantanal Environment Based on Probability Distributions A. de Souza et al. 10.1080/01919512.2022.2041392
- Contrasting large fire activity in the French Mediterranean A. Ganteaume & R. Barbero 10.5194/nhess-19-1055-2019
- Environmental factors affecting wildfire-burned areas in southeastern France, 1970–2019 C. Bountzouklis et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-1181-2022
- Macrofauna and meiofauna food-web structure from Arctic fjords to deep Arctic Ocean during spring: A stable isotope approach B. Oleszczuk et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2023.110487
- How is rockfall risk impacted by land-use and land-cover changes? Insights from the French Alps M. Farvacque et al. 10.1016/j.gloplacha.2019.01.009
- Spatiotemporal wildfire modeling through point processes with moderate and extreme marks J. Koh et al. 10.1214/22-AOAS1642
- Temporal and spatial patterns of fire activity in three biomes of Brazil M. Abreu et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2022.157138
- How Does Fire Suppression Alter the Wildfire Regime? A Systematic Review J. Hai et al. 10.3390/fire6110424
- Contain and Control: Wildfire Suppression Effectiveness at Incidents and Across Landscapes M. Plucinski 10.1007/s40725-019-00085-4
- Bayesian extreme value analysis of kinematic-based surrogate measure of safety to detect crash-prone conditions in connected vehicles environment: A driving simulator experiment A. Khoda Bakhshi & M. Ahmed 10.1016/j.trc.2021.103539
- Future expansion, seasonal lengthening and intensification of fire activity under climate change in southeastern France F. Pimont et al. 10.1071/WF22103
- The Performance of ECMWF Ensemble Prediction System for European Extreme Fires: Portugal/Monchique in 2018 R. Durão et al. 10.3390/atmos13081239
- Modelling Fire Risk Exposure for France Using Machine Learning B. Gualdi et al. 10.3390/app12031635
- A global outlook on increasing wildfire risk: Current policy situation and future pathways P. Pandey et al. 10.1016/j.tfp.2023.100431
- Disentangling the factors of spatio-temporal patterns of wildfire activity in south-eastern France J. Castel-Clavera et al. 10.1071/WF22086
Latest update: 14 Dec 2024
Short summary
Very large wildfires have high human, economic, and ecological impacts. Preventing such events is a major objective of the new fire policy set up in France in 1994, which is oriented towards fast and massive fire suppression. This study investigates the effect of this policy on the largest fires. We estimate the burned area corresponding to fires that occur every 5, 20, and 50 years on average (so-called return periods) in southern France.
Very large wildfires have high human, economic, and ecological impacts. Preventing such events...
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