Towards thresholds of disaster management performance under demographic
change: exploring functional relationships using agent-based modeling

Dressler, Gunnar; Müller, Birgit; Frank, Karin; Kuhlicke, Christian

doi:10.5194/nhess-16-2287-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 10

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2287-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Special issue:

Resilience and vulnerability assessments in natural hazards...

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-2287-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 10

Research article

|

26 Oct 2016

Research article |

| 26 Oct 2016

Towards thresholds of disaster management performance under demographic change: exploring functional relationships using agent-based modeling

Gunnar Dressler, Birgit Müller, Karin Frank, and Christian Kuhlicke

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Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 15 Feb 2016)

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Short summary

Disaster management is a core feature to protect communities against floods. But what happens if a loss of resources or an increased flood frequency puts its performance at stake? We use a simulation model as a "virtual lab" to explore the impact of change processes on disaster management performance. Demographic change, causing a loss in manpower, has the most profound impact on the performance. Performance might be at risk in particular in rural, upstream regions with very short lead times.