Articles | Volume 16, issue 8
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1999-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Special issue:
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1999-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
The 21st century decline in damaging European windstorms
Laura C. Dawkins
CORRESPONDING AUTHOR
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
David B. Stephenson
College of Engineering, Mathematics and Physical Sciences, University of Exeter, Exeter, UK
Julia F. Lockwood
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
Paul E. Maisey
Met Office Hadley Centre, Exeter, UK
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Cited
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Return levels of extreme European windstorms, their dependency on the North Atlantic Oscillation, and potential future risks M. Priestley et al.
- Future increased risk from extratropical windstorms in northern Europe A. Little et al.
- Monitoring, cataloguing, and weather scenarios of thunderstorm outflows in the northern Mediterranean M. Burlando et al.
- A long record of European windstorm losses and its comparison to standard climate indices S. Cusack
- The 10-Year Return Levels of Maximum Wind Speeds under Frozen and Unfrozen Soil Forest Conditions in Finland M. Laapas et al.
- Population, land use and economic exposure estimates for Europe at 100 m resolution from 1870 to 2020 D. Paprotny & M. Mengel
- Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP) D. Smith et al.
- Quantification of extremal dependence in spatial natural hazard footprints: independence of windstorm gust speeds and its impact on aggregate losses L. Dawkins & D. Stephenson
- Finding Storm Track Activity Metrics That Are Highly Correlated with Weather Impacts. Part II: Estimating Precipitation Change Associated with Projected Storm Track Change over Europe E. Chang et al.
- Advances in numerical weather prediction, data science, and open‐source software herald a paradigm shift in catastrophe risk modeling and insurance underwriting H. Steptoe et al.
- Comparing an insurer's perspective on building damages with modelled damages from pan-European winter windstorm event sets: a case study from Zurich, Switzerland C. Welker et al.
- Using seasonal forecasts to enhance our understanding of extreme wind and precipitation impacts from extratropical cyclones J. Maddison et al.
- A Review of Historical Changes of Tropical and Extra-Tropical Cyclones: A Comparative Analysis of the United States, Europe, and Asia Y. Lau et al.
- Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View G. Zappa
14 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Return levels of extreme European windstorms, their dependency on the North Atlantic Oscillation, and potential future risks M. Priestley et al.
- Future increased risk from extratropical windstorms in northern Europe A. Little et al.
- Monitoring, cataloguing, and weather scenarios of thunderstorm outflows in the northern Mediterranean M. Burlando et al.
- A long record of European windstorm losses and its comparison to standard climate indices S. Cusack
- The 10-Year Return Levels of Maximum Wind Speeds under Frozen and Unfrozen Soil Forest Conditions in Finland M. Laapas et al.
- Population, land use and economic exposure estimates for Europe at 100 m resolution from 1870 to 2020 D. Paprotny & M. Mengel
- Attribution of multi-annual to decadal changes in the climate system: The Large Ensemble Single Forcing Model Intercomparison Project (LESFMIP) D. Smith et al.
- Quantification of extremal dependence in spatial natural hazard footprints: independence of windstorm gust speeds and its impact on aggregate losses L. Dawkins & D. Stephenson
- Finding Storm Track Activity Metrics That Are Highly Correlated with Weather Impacts. Part II: Estimating Precipitation Change Associated with Projected Storm Track Change over Europe E. Chang et al.
- Advances in numerical weather prediction, data science, and open‐source software herald a paradigm shift in catastrophe risk modeling and insurance underwriting H. Steptoe et al.
- Comparing an insurer's perspective on building damages with modelled damages from pan-European winter windstorm event sets: a case study from Zurich, Switzerland C. Welker et al.
- Using seasonal forecasts to enhance our understanding of extreme wind and precipitation impacts from extratropical cyclones J. Maddison et al.
- A Review of Historical Changes of Tropical and Extra-Tropical Cyclones: A Comparative Analysis of the United States, Europe, and Asia Y. Lau et al.
- Regional Climate Impacts of Future Changes in the Mid–Latitude Atmospheric Circulation: a Storyline View G. Zappa
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 24 May 2026
Short summary
A decline in damaging European windstorms has led to a reduction in insured losses in the 21st century. This decline is explored through understanding how and why a damaging windstorm characteristic has changed in recent years. For individual windstorm events, the area of damaging winds is shown to have reduced due to a significant decrease in extreme winds in north-western Europe. This decline is largely related to changes in a large-scale atmospheric circulation pattern in the North Atlantic.
A decline in damaging European windstorms has led to a reduction in insured losses in the 21st...
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