Regional disaster impact analysis: comparing input–output and computable
general equilibrium models

Koks, Elco E.; Carrera, Lorenzo; Jonkeren, Olaf; Aerts, Jeroen C. J. H.; Husby, Trond G.; Thissen, Mark; Standardi, Gabriele; Mysiak, Jaroslav

doi:10.5194/nhess-16-1911-2016

Articles | Volume 16, issue 8

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1911-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1911-2016

© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.

Articles | Volume 16, issue 8

Research article

|

16 Aug 2016

Research article |

| 16 Aug 2016

Regional disaster impact analysis: comparing input–output and computable general equilibrium models

Elco E. Koks, Lorenzo Carrera, Olaf Jonkeren, Jeroen C. J. H. Aerts, Trond G. Husby, Mark Thissen, Gabriele Standardi, and Jaroslav Mysiak

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Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 24 Nov 2015)

Month	HTML	PDF	XML	Total
Nov 2015	29	25	2	56
Dec 2015	19	23	0	42
Jan 2016	45	19	1	65
Feb 2016	24	10	2	36
Mar 2016	20	11	0	31
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Jun 2016	6	6	1	13
Jul 2016	35	7	1	43
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Oct 2016	25	10	0	35
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Sep 2025	61	27	0	88
Oct 2025	40	48	3	91
Nov 2025	53	48	3	104

Latest update: 28 Nov 2025

Short summary

In this study we analyze the economic consequences for two flood scenarios in the Po River basin in Italy, using three regional disaster impact models: two hybrid IO models and a regionally CGE model. Modelling results indicate that the difference in estimated total (national) economic losses and the regional distribution of those losses may vary by up to a factor of 7 between the three models, depending on the type of recovery path. Total economic impact is negative in all models though.