Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1217-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1217-2016
© Author(s) 2016. This work is distributed under
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
the Creative Commons Attribution 3.0 License.
Calibration and evaluation of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) System for improved wildland fire danger rating in the United Kingdom
King's College London, Department of Geography, UK
Martin J. Wooster
King's College London, Department of Geography, UK
National Centre for Earth Observation (NCEO), UK
Karl Kitchen
Met Office, Exeter, UK
Cathy Manley
Forestry Commission England, 620 Bristol Business Park, Coldharbour Lane, Frenchay, Bristol, BS16 1EJ, UK
Rob Gazzard
Forestry Commission England, Bucks Horn Oak, Farnham, Surrey, GU10 4LS, UK
Frank F. McCall
Forestry Commission England, 620 Bristol Business Park, Coldharbour Lane, Frenchay, Bristol, BS16 1EJ, UK
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Cited
41 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Forest Fuel Drying, Pyrolysis and Ignition Processes during Forest Fire: A Review N. Baranovskiy & V. Kirienko 10.3390/pr10010089
- Human activity, daylight saving time and wildfire occurrence Y. Kountouris 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138044
- How well do multi-fire danger rating indices represent China forest fire variations across multi-time scales? Y. Pan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad2d3d
- Steps towards the development of a Peat Fire Danger Rating System in Indonesia L. Graham et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/874/1/012010
- Evaluation of Global Fire Weather Database reanalysis and short-term forecast products R. Field 10.5194/nhess-20-1123-2020
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- Study of Driving Factors Using Machine Learning to Determine the Effect of Topography, Climate, and Fuel on Wildfire in Pakistan W. Rafaqat et al. 10.3390/rs14081918
- Factors affecting severity of wildfires in Scottish heathlands and blanket bogs N. Naszarkowski et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172746
- In temperate Europe, fire is already here: The case of The Netherlands C. Stoof et al. 10.1007/s13280-023-01960-y
- Midterm Fire Danger Prediction Using Satellite Imagery and Auxiliary Thematic Layers A. Stefanidou et al. 10.3390/rs11232786
- Changing climate risk in the UK: A multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators N. Arnell et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265
- Integrating burned area as a complementary performance measure for daily fire danger assessment: A large-scale test İ. Bekar et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109746
- Fire activity and fire weather in a Lower Mekong subregion: association, regional calibration, weather–adjusted trends, and policy implications W. Phoo et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06743-6
- Vegetation phenology as a key driver for fire occurrence in the UK and comparable humid temperate regions T. Nikonovas et al. 10.1071/WF23205
- Determining fuel moisture thresholds to assess wildfire hazard: A contribution to an operational early warning system J. Argañaraz et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0204889
- Variation in the Canadian Fire Weather Index Thresholds for Increasingly Larger Fires in Portugal P. Fernandes 10.3390/f10100838
- Increasing fire danger in the Netherlands due to climate change H. Lambrechts et al. 10.1071/WF24020
- Forest fire risk estimation in a typical temperate forest in Northeastern China using the Canadian forest fire weather index: case study in autumn 2019 and 2020 M. Masinda et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-05054-4
- Data-Driven Approaches for Wildfire Mapping and Prediction Assessment Using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) R. Kanwal et al. 10.3390/rs15215099
- Regional variation in fire weather controls the reported occurrence of Scottish wildfires G. Davies & C. Legg 10.7717/peerj.2649
- Improving the fire weather index system for peatlands using peat-specific hydrological input data J. Mortelmans et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-445-2024
- The performance of wildfire danger indices: A Swedish case study C. Pagnon Eriksson et al. 10.1016/j.ssci.2022.106038
- Exploring Forest Fire Dynamics: Fire Danger Mapping in Antalya Region, Türkiye H. Atalay et al. 10.3390/ijgi13030074
- The Canadian versus the National Forest Fire Danger Rating Systems tested in Mediterranean forests fire Crete, Greece M. Elhag & S. Boteva 10.1007/s10668-020-00799-7
- Assessment of lake-level fluctuation as an indicator of fire activity in boreal Canada X. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109611
- The Performance of Wildfire Danger Indices: A Swedish Case Study C. Eriksson et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4128945
- Reliability of cross-regional applications of global fire danger models: a Peruvian case study H. Podschwit et al. 10.1186/s42408-022-00150-7
- The effect of climate change on indicators of fire danger in the UK N. Arnell et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd9f2
- High-resolution projections of future FWI conditions for Portugal according to CMIP6 future climate scenarios S. Cardoso Pereira et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-05142-y
- Developing a New Hourly Forest Fire Risk Index Based on Catboost in South Korea Y. Kang et al. 10.3390/app10228213
- Mathematical Simulation of Forest Fuel Pyrolysis and Crown Forest Fire Impact for Forest Fire Danger and Risk Assessment N. Baranovskiy & V. Kirienko 10.3390/pr10030483
- High-resolution fire danger forecast for Poland based on the Weather Research and Forecasting Model A. Mandal et al. 10.1071/WF21106
- Landscape fires disproportionally affect high conservation value temperate peatlands, meadows, and deciduous forests, but only under low moisture conditions M. Kirkland et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163849
- Past and future trends in fire weather for the UK M. Perry et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-559-2022
- Characterizing the rate of spread of large wildfires in emerging fire environments of northwestern Europe using Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite active fire data A. Cardíl et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-361-2023
- The fire weather in Europe: large-scale trends towards higher danger J. Hetzer et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5b09
- Comparing the performance of daily forest fire danger summary metrics for estimating fire activity in southern Australian forests M. Plucinski et al. 10.1071/WF19185
- Assessing climate change risks to the natural environment to facilitate cross-sectoral adaptation policy I. Brown 10.1098/rsta.2017.0297
- Development and participatory evaluation of fireline intensity and flame property models for managed burns on Calluna-dominated heathlands G. Davies et al. 10.1186/s42408-019-0046-8
- Living on a flammable planet: interdisciplinary, cross-scalar and varied cultural lessons, prospects and challenges C. Roos et al. 10.1098/rstb.2015.0469
- Wildfire policy and management in England: an evolving response from Fire and Rescue Services, forestry and cross-sector groups R. Gazzard et al. 10.1098/rstb.2015.0341
39 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Forest Fuel Drying, Pyrolysis and Ignition Processes during Forest Fire: A Review N. Baranovskiy & V. Kirienko 10.3390/pr10010089
- Human activity, daylight saving time and wildfire occurrence Y. Kountouris 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2020.138044
- How well do multi-fire danger rating indices represent China forest fire variations across multi-time scales? Y. Pan et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad2d3d
- Steps towards the development of a Peat Fire Danger Rating System in Indonesia L. Graham et al. 10.1088/1755-1315/874/1/012010
- Evaluation of Global Fire Weather Database reanalysis and short-term forecast products R. Field 10.5194/nhess-20-1123-2020
- Protected areas, drought, and grazing regimes influence fire occurrence in a fire-prone Mediterranean region M. Kirkland et al. 10.1186/s42408-024-00320-9
- Study of Driving Factors Using Machine Learning to Determine the Effect of Topography, Climate, and Fuel on Wildfire in Pakistan W. Rafaqat et al. 10.3390/rs14081918
- Factors affecting severity of wildfires in Scottish heathlands and blanket bogs N. Naszarkowski et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2024.172746
- In temperate Europe, fire is already here: The case of The Netherlands C. Stoof et al. 10.1007/s13280-023-01960-y
- Midterm Fire Danger Prediction Using Satellite Imagery and Auxiliary Thematic Layers A. Stefanidou et al. 10.3390/rs11232786
- Changing climate risk in the UK: A multi-sectoral analysis using policy-relevant indicators N. Arnell et al. 10.1016/j.crm.2020.100265
- Integrating burned area as a complementary performance measure for daily fire danger assessment: A large-scale test İ. Bekar et al. 10.1016/j.agrformet.2023.109746
- Fire activity and fire weather in a Lower Mekong subregion: association, regional calibration, weather–adjusted trends, and policy implications W. Phoo et al. 10.1007/s11069-024-06743-6
- Vegetation phenology as a key driver for fire occurrence in the UK and comparable humid temperate regions T. Nikonovas et al. 10.1071/WF23205
- Determining fuel moisture thresholds to assess wildfire hazard: A contribution to an operational early warning system J. Argañaraz et al. 10.1371/journal.pone.0204889
- Variation in the Canadian Fire Weather Index Thresholds for Increasingly Larger Fires in Portugal P. Fernandes 10.3390/f10100838
- Increasing fire danger in the Netherlands due to climate change H. Lambrechts et al. 10.1071/WF24020
- Forest fire risk estimation in a typical temperate forest in Northeastern China using the Canadian forest fire weather index: case study in autumn 2019 and 2020 M. Masinda et al. 10.1007/s11069-021-05054-4
- Data-Driven Approaches for Wildfire Mapping and Prediction Assessment Using a Convolutional Neural Network (CNN) R. Kanwal et al. 10.3390/rs15215099
- Regional variation in fire weather controls the reported occurrence of Scottish wildfires G. Davies & C. Legg 10.7717/peerj.2649
- Improving the fire weather index system for peatlands using peat-specific hydrological input data J. Mortelmans et al. 10.5194/nhess-24-445-2024
- The performance of wildfire danger indices: A Swedish case study C. Pagnon Eriksson et al. 10.1016/j.ssci.2022.106038
- Exploring Forest Fire Dynamics: Fire Danger Mapping in Antalya Region, Türkiye H. Atalay et al. 10.3390/ijgi13030074
- The Canadian versus the National Forest Fire Danger Rating Systems tested in Mediterranean forests fire Crete, Greece M. Elhag & S. Boteva 10.1007/s10668-020-00799-7
- Assessment of lake-level fluctuation as an indicator of fire activity in boreal Canada X. Chan et al. 10.1016/j.ecolind.2022.109611
- The Performance of Wildfire Danger Indices: A Swedish Case Study C. Eriksson et al. 10.2139/ssrn.4128945
- Reliability of cross-regional applications of global fire danger models: a Peruvian case study H. Podschwit et al. 10.1186/s42408-022-00150-7
- The effect of climate change on indicators of fire danger in the UK N. Arnell et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/abd9f2
- High-resolution projections of future FWI conditions for Portugal according to CMIP6 future climate scenarios S. Cardoso Pereira et al. 10.1007/s00704-024-05142-y
- Developing a New Hourly Forest Fire Risk Index Based on Catboost in South Korea Y. Kang et al. 10.3390/app10228213
- Mathematical Simulation of Forest Fuel Pyrolysis and Crown Forest Fire Impact for Forest Fire Danger and Risk Assessment N. Baranovskiy & V. Kirienko 10.3390/pr10030483
- High-resolution fire danger forecast for Poland based on the Weather Research and Forecasting Model A. Mandal et al. 10.1071/WF21106
- Landscape fires disproportionally affect high conservation value temperate peatlands, meadows, and deciduous forests, but only under low moisture conditions M. Kirkland et al. 10.1016/j.scitotenv.2023.163849
- Past and future trends in fire weather for the UK M. Perry et al. 10.5194/nhess-22-559-2022
- Characterizing the rate of spread of large wildfires in emerging fire environments of northwestern Europe using Visible Infrared Imaging Radiometer Suite active fire data A. Cardíl et al. 10.5194/nhess-23-361-2023
- The fire weather in Europe: large-scale trends towards higher danger J. Hetzer et al. 10.1088/1748-9326/ad5b09
- Comparing the performance of daily forest fire danger summary metrics for estimating fire activity in southern Australian forests M. Plucinski et al. 10.1071/WF19185
- Assessing climate change risks to the natural environment to facilitate cross-sectoral adaptation policy I. Brown 10.1098/rsta.2017.0297
- Development and participatory evaluation of fireline intensity and flame property models for managed burns on Calluna-dominated heathlands G. Davies et al. 10.1186/s42408-019-0046-8
2 citations as recorded by crossref.
- Living on a flammable planet: interdisciplinary, cross-scalar and varied cultural lessons, prospects and challenges C. Roos et al. 10.1098/rstb.2015.0469
- Wildfire policy and management in England: an evolving response from Fire and Rescue Services, forestry and cross-sector groups R. Gazzard et al. 10.1098/rstb.2015.0341
Saved (final revised paper)
Latest update: 13 Dec 2024
Short summary
We present a percentile-based calibration of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) System for the United Kingdom (UK), developed from numerical weather prediction data, and evaluate it using historic wildfire records. The Fine Fuel Moisture Code, Initial Spread Index and final FWI component of the FWI system show the greatest predictive skill for UK wildfires. Our findings provide useful insights for any future redevelopment of the current operational UK fire danger rating system.
We present a percentile-based calibration of the Canadian Forest Fire Weather Index (FWI) System...
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