Articles | Volume 16, issue 5
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1135-2016
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-16-1135-2016
Research article
 | 
13 May 2016
Research article |  | 13 May 2016

Short-term volcano-tectonic earthquake forecasts based on a moving mean recurrence time algorithm: the El Hierro seismo-volcanic crisis experience

Alicia García, Servando De la Cruz-Reyna, José M. Marrero, and Ramón Ortiz

Viewed

Total article views: 2,173 (including HTML, PDF, and XML)
HTML PDF XML Total BibTeX EndNote
1,132 954 87 2,173 83 84
  • HTML: 1,132
  • PDF: 954
  • XML: 87
  • Total: 2,173
  • BibTeX: 83
  • EndNote: 84
Views and downloads (calculated since 18 Jan 2016)
Cumulative views and downloads (calculated since 18 Jan 2016)

Cited

Saved (preprint)

Latest update: 28 Mar 2024
Download
Short summary
Earthquakes of volcanic origin (VT) represent a significant hazard in volcanic islands prone to landslides. We present a methodology to forecast large VT earthquakes during volcanic crises based on an algorithm that translates fluctuations of the level of seismicity into 10-day time windows of increased probability of a major event. This algorithm has been successfully applied during the 2011–2013 volcanic crisis at El Hierro (Canary Islands).
Altmetrics
Final-revised paper
Preprint