Articles | Volume 10, issue 2
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 299–304, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-299-2010
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 10, 299–304, 2010
https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-10-299-2010

  17 Feb 2010

17 Feb 2010

About climate-seismicity coupling from correlation analysis

O. Molchanov O. Molchanov
  • Institute of the Physics of the Earth, Russian Academy of Sciences, Bolshaya Gruzinskaya 10, 123995 Moscow, Russia

Abstract. We have analyzed together the slow climate temperature variations in the near-equatorial Pacific Ocean area (SSTOI indices) and crustal seismic activity in the same region during 1973–2008 time period using correlation analysis and found similarity in seismic and ENSO periodicities (the latter with time lag about 1.5 years). Trends of the processes are also similar showing about 2 times increase in average seismic energy release during the whole period of analysis and conventional 0.1 °C/(10 years) increase in SSTOI index anomalies. Our major conclusion is on real credibility of climate-seismicity coupling. It is rather probable that at least partially climate ENSO oscillations and temperature anomaly trends are induced by similar variation in seismicity.

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