Improving the contribution of the land cryosphere to sea level rise projections (TC/GMD/NHESS/OS inter-journal SI)(TC/GMD/NHESS/OS inter-journal SI)
Improving the contribution of the land cryosphere to sea level rise projections (TC/GMD/NHESS/OS inter-journal SI)(TC/GMD/NHESS/OS inter-journal SI)
Editor(s): NHESS editors (see editorial board webpage) Special issue jointly organized between The Cryosphere, Geoscientific Model Development, Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, and Ocean Science

The loss of mass from glaciers, ice caps, and polar ice sheets has accelerated over the last 3 decades as a result of climate change. This has made land ice the major contributor to sea level rise and the main cause of its acceleration. However, the evolution of the land-based cryosphere over the course of the 21st century and beyond adds considerable uncertainties to sea level rise projections, particularly if instability mechanisms are triggered, leading to rapid retreat of marine basins in Antarctica. Critical knowledge gaps pose challenges for predicting the land ice response to the evolution of climate and the resulting impact on sea level, from cryospheric process understanding, ice sheet and glacier modelling, and coupling with the atmosphere and ocean to bridging the gap with sea level and coastal-impact sciences.

Review process: This inter-journal special issue co-lists papers of different journals. Thereby, each paper was submitted to 1 particular journal and underwent the regular interactive peer-review process of that journal. Depending on the journal, the peer review was handled by regular members of the editorial board and/or by guest editors designated by the journal’s chief/executive editors.

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15 Nov 2024
Probabilistic projections of the Amery Ice Shelf catchment, Antarctica, under conditions of high ice-shelf basal melt
Sanket Jantre, Matthew J. Hoffman, Nathan M. Urban, Trevor Hillebrand, Mauro Perego, Stephen Price, and John D. Jakeman
The Cryosphere, 18, 5207–5238, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5207-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-5207-2024, 2024
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08 Nov 2024
The impact of regional-scale upper mantle heterogeneity on glacial isostatic adjustment in West Antarctica
Erica Margaret Lucas, Natalya Gomez, and Terry Wilson
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2957,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2957, 2024
Preprint under review for TC (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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30 Oct 2024
Approximating ice sheet – bedrock interaction in Antarctic ice sheet projections
Caroline Jacoba van Calcar, Pippa L. Whitehouse, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, and Wouter van der Wal
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2982,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2982, 2024
Preprint under review for TC (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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14 Aug 2024
The demise of the world's largest piedmont glacier: a probabilistic forecast
Douglas Brinkerhoff, Brandon Tober, Michael Daniel, Victor Devaux-Chupin, Michael Christoffersen, John W. Holt, Christopher F. Larsen, Mark Fahnestock, Michael G. Loso, Kristin M. F. Timm, Russell Mitchell, and Martin Truffer
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2354,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2024-2354, 2024
Revised manuscript under review for TC (discussion: final response, 4 comments)
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03 Jun 2024
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Coupled ice–ocean interactions during future retreat of West Antarctic ice streams in the Amundsen Sea sector
David T. Bett, Alexander T. Bradley, C. Rosie Williams, Paul R. Holland, Robert J. Arthern, and Daniel N. Goldberg
The Cryosphere, 18, 2653–2675, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2653-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-2653-2024, 2024
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12 Feb 2024
Disentangling the drivers of future Antarctic ice loss with a historically calibrated ice-sheet model
Violaine Coulon, Ann Kristin Klose, Christoph Kittel, Tamsin Edwards, Fiona Turner, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Frank Pattyn
The Cryosphere, 18, 653–681, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-653-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-653-2024, 2024
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12 Feb 2024
Coupling MAR (Modèle Atmosphérique Régional) with PISM (Parallel Ice Sheet Model) mitigates the positive melt–elevation feedback
Alison Delhasse, Johanna Beckmann, Christoph Kittel, and Xavier Fettweis
The Cryosphere, 18, 633–651, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-633-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-18-633-2024, 2024
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21 Dec 2023
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The Framework for Assessing Changes To Sea-level (FACTS) v1.0: a platform for characterizing parametric and structural uncertainty in future global, relative, and extreme sea-level change
Robert E. Kopp, Gregory G. Garner, Tim H. J. Hermans, Shantenu Jha, Praveen Kumar, Alexander Reedy, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Matteo Turilli, Tamsin L. Edwards, Jonathan M. Gregory, George Koubbe, Anders Levermann, Andre Merzky, Sophie Nowicki, Matthew D. Palmer, and Chris Smith
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 7461–7489, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-7461-2023, 2023
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07 Dec 2023
Insights into the vulnerability of Antarctic glaciers from the ISMIP6 ice sheet model ensemble and associated uncertainty
Hélène Seroussi, Vincent Verjans, Sophie Nowicki, Antony J. Payne, Heiko Goelzer, William H. Lipscomb, Ayako Abe-Ouchi, Cécile Agosta, Torsten Albrecht, Xylar Asay-Davis, Alice Barthel, Reinhard Calov, Richard Cullather, Christophe Dumas, Benjamin K. Galton-Fenzi, Rupert Gladstone, Nicholas R. Golledge, Jonathan M. Gregory, Ralf Greve, Tore Hattermann, Matthew J. Hoffman, Angelika Humbert, Philippe Huybrechts, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Thomas Kleiner, Eric Larour, Gunter R. Leguy, Daniel P. Lowry, Chistopher M. Little, Mathieu Morlighem, Frank Pattyn, Tyler Pelle, Stephen F. Price, Aurélien Quiquet, Ronja Reese, Nicole-Jeanne Schlegel, Andrew Shepherd, Erika Simon, Robin S. Smith, Fiammetta Straneo, Sainan Sun, Luke D. Trusel, Jonas Van Breedam, Peter Van Katwyk, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Ricarda Winkelmann, Chen Zhao, Tong Zhang, and Thomas Zwinger
The Cryosphere, 17, 5197–5217, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-5197-2023, 2023
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22 Nov 2023
| Highlight paper
Southern Ocean warming and Antarctic ice shelf melting in conditions plausible by late 23rd century in a high-end scenario
Pierre Mathiot and Nicolas C. Jourdain
Ocean Sci., 19, 1595–1615, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1595-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-1595-2023, 2023
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06 Nov 2023
Spatially heterogeneous effect of climate warming on the Arctic land ice
Damien Maure, Christoph Kittel, Clara Lambin, Alison Delhasse, and Xavier Fettweis
The Cryosphere, 17, 4645–4659, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4645-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4645-2023, 2023
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02 Nov 2023
The evolution of future Antarctic surface melt using PISM-dEBM-simple
Julius Garbe, Maria Zeitz, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, and Ricarda Winkelmann
The Cryosphere, 17, 4571–4599, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-4571-2023, 2023
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27 Sep 2023
Simulation of a fully coupled 3D glacial isostatic adjustment – ice sheet model for the Antarctic ice sheet over a glacial cycle
Caroline J. van Calcar, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Bas Blank, Bas de Boer, and Wouter van der Wal
Geosci. Model Dev., 16, 5473–5492, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5473-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-16-5473-2023, 2023
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27 Jul 2023
Effects of extreme melt events on ice flow and sea level rise of the Greenland Ice Sheet
Johanna Beckmann and Ricarda Winkelmann
The Cryosphere, 17, 3083–3099, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-3083-2023, 2023
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06 Jul 2023
The acceleration of sea-level rise along the coast of the Netherlands started in the 1960s
Iris Keizer, Dewi Le Bars, Cees de Valk, André Jüling, Roderik van de Wal, and Sybren Drijfhout
Ocean Sci., 19, 991–1007, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-991-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-991-2023, 2023
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03 Jul 2023
Revisiting temperature sensitivity: how does Antarctic precipitation change with temperature?
Lena Nicola, Dirk Notz, and Ricarda Winkelmann
The Cryosphere, 17, 2563–2583, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-2563-2023, 2023
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21 Apr 2023
Improving statistical projections of ocean dynamic sea-level change using pattern recognition techniques
Víctor Malagón-Santos, Aimée B. A. Slangen, Tim H. J. Hermans, Sönke Dangendorf, Marta Marcos, and Nicola Maher
Ocean Sci., 19, 499–515, https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-499-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/os-19-499-2023, 2023
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11 Jan 2023
Antarctic contribution to future sea level from ice shelf basal melt as constrained by ice discharge observations
Eveline C. van der Linden, Dewi Le Bars, Erwin Lambert, and Sybren Drijfhout
The Cryosphere, 17, 79–103, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-79-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-17-79-2023, 2023
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22 Dec 2022
Anthropogenic and internal drivers of wind changes over the Amundsen Sea, West Antarctica, during the 20th and 21st centuries
Paul R. Holland, Gemma K. O'Connor, Thomas J. Bracegirdle, Pierre Dutrieux, Kaitlin A. Naughten, Eric J. Steig, David P. Schneider, Adrian Jenkins, and James A. Smith
The Cryosphere, 16, 5085–5105, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-5085-2022, 2022
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14 Dec 2022
An assessment of basal melt parameterisations for Antarctic ice shelves
Clara Burgard, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Ronja Reese, Adrian Jenkins, and Pierre Mathiot
The Cryosphere, 16, 4931–4975, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4931-2022, 2022
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04 Nov 2022
| Highlight paper
Improving interpretation of sea-level projections through a machine-learning-based local explanation approach
Jeremy Rohmer, Remi Thieblemont, Goneri Le Cozannet, Heiko Goelzer, and Gael Durand
The Cryosphere, 16, 4637–4657, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4637-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4637-2022, 2022
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27 Oct 2022
Subglacial hydrology modulates basal sliding response of the Antarctic ice sheet to climate forcing
Elise Kazmierczak, Sainan Sun, Violaine Coulon, and Frank Pattyn
The Cryosphere, 16, 4537–4552, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4537-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-4537-2022, 2022
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21 Jul 2022
Benchmarking the vertically integrated ice-sheet model IMAU-ICE (version 2.0)
Constantijn J. Berends, Heiko Goelzer, Thomas J. Reerink, Lennert B. Stap, and Roderik S. W. van de Wal
Geosci. Model Dev., 15, 5667–5688, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5667-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-15-5667-2022, 2022
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24 May 2022
Stabilizing effect of mélange buttressing on the marine ice-cliff instability of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
Tanja Schlemm, Johannes Feldmann, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Anders Levermann
The Cryosphere, 16, 1979–1996, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1979-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1979-2022, 2022
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20 May 2022
Shear-margin melting causes stronger transient ice discharge than ice-stream melting in idealized simulations
Johannes Feldmann, Ronja Reese, Ricarda Winkelmann, and Anders Levermann
The Cryosphere, 16, 1927–1940, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1927-2022, 2022
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06 May 2022
Modelling supraglacial debris-cover evolution from the single-glacier to the regional scale: an application to High Mountain Asia
Loris Compagno, Matthias Huss, Evan Stewart Miles, Michael James McCarthy, Harry Zekollari, Amaury Dehecq, Francesca Pellicciotti, and Daniel Farinotti
The Cryosphere, 16, 1697–1718, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1697-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1697-2022, 2022
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29 Mar 2022
Sensitivity of Antarctic surface climate to a new spectral snow albedo and radiative transfer scheme in RACMO2.3p3
Christiaan T. van Dalum, Willem Jan van de Berg, and Michiel R. van den Broeke
The Cryosphere, 16, 1071–1089, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1071-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-1071-2022, 2022
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25 Feb 2022
Brief communication: Impact of common ice mask in surface mass balance estimates over the Antarctic ice sheet
Nicolaj Hansen, Sebastian B. Simonsen, Fredrik Boberg, Christoph Kittel, Andrew Orr, Niels Souverijns, J. Melchior van Wessem, and Ruth Mottram
The Cryosphere, 16, 711–718, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-711-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-711-2022, 2022
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04 Jan 2022
Uncertainties in projected surface mass balance over the polar ice sheets from dynamically downscaled EC-Earth models
Fredrik Boberg, Ruth Mottram, Nicolaj Hansen, Shuting Yang, and Peter L. Langen
The Cryosphere, 16, 17–33, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-17-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-16-17-2022, 2022
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13 Dec 2021
Improving surface melt estimation over the Antarctic Ice Sheet using deep learning: a proof of concept over the Larsen Ice Shelf
Zhongyang Hu, Peter Kuipers Munneke, Stef Lhermitte, Maaike Izeboud, and Michiel van den Broeke
The Cryosphere, 15, 5639–5658, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-5639-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-5639-2021, 2021
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08 Sep 2021
Downscaled surface mass balance in Antarctica: impacts of subsurface processes and large-scale atmospheric circulation
Nicolaj Hansen, Peter L. Langen, Fredrik Boberg, Rene Forsberg, Sebastian B. Simonsen, Peter Thejll, Baptiste Vandecrux, and Ruth Mottram
The Cryosphere, 15, 4315–4333, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4315-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-4315-2021, 2021
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17 Aug 2021
What is the surface mass balance of Antarctica? An intercomparison of regional climate model estimates
Ruth Mottram, Nicolaj Hansen, Christoph Kittel, J. Melchior van Wessem, Cécile Agosta, Charles Amory, Fredrik Boberg, Willem Jan van de Berg, Xavier Fettweis, Alexandra Gossart, Nicole P. M. van Lipzig, Erik van Meijgaard, Andrew Orr, Tony Phillips, Stuart Webster, Sebastian B. Simonsen, and Niels Souverijns
The Cryosphere, 15, 3751–3784, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3751-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3751-2021, 2021
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06 Aug 2021
Significant additional Antarctic warming in atmospheric bias-corrected ARPEGE projections with respect to control run
Julien Beaumet, Michel Déqué, Gerhard Krinner, Cécile Agosta, Antoinette Alias, and Vincent Favier
The Cryosphere, 15, 3615–3635, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3615-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-3615-2021, 2021
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09 Jun 2021
Performance of MAR (v3.11) in simulating the drifting-snow climate and surface mass balance of Adélie Land, East Antarctica
Charles Amory, Christoph Kittel, Louis Le Toumelin, Cécile Agosta, Alison Delhasse, Vincent Favier, and Xavier Fettweis
Geosci. Model Dev., 14, 3487–3510, https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3487-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/gmd-14-3487-2021, 2021
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18 May 2021
The diurnal Energy Balance Model (dEBM): a convenient surface mass balance solution for ice sheets in Earth system modeling
Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Paul Gierz, Christian B. Rodehacke, Shan Xu, Hu Yang, and Gerrit Lohmann
The Cryosphere, 15, 2295–2313, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-2295-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-2295-2021, 2021
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05 Mar 2021
Diverging future surface mass balance between the Antarctic ice shelves and grounded ice sheet
Christoph Kittel, Charles Amory, Cécile Agosta, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Stefan Hofer, Alison Delhasse, Sébastien Doutreloup, Pierre-Vincent Huot, Charlotte Lang, Thierry Fichefet, and Xavier Fettweis
The Cryosphere, 15, 1215–1236, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1215-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-1215-2021, 2021
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15 Feb 2021
An exploratory modelling study of perennial firn aquifers in the Antarctic Peninsula for the period 1979–2016
J. Melchior van Wessem, Christian R. Steger, Nander Wever, and Michiel R. van den Broeke
The Cryosphere, 15, 695–714, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-695-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-695-2021, 2021
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08 Feb 2021
Future surface mass balance and surface melt in the Amundsen sector of the West Antarctic Ice Sheet
Marion Donat-Magnin, Nicolas C. Jourdain, Christoph Kittel, Cécile Agosta, Charles Amory, Hubert Gallée, Gerhard Krinner, and Mondher Chekki
The Cryosphere, 15, 571–593, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-571-2021,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-15-571-2021, 2021
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25 Nov 2020
Long-term surface energy balance of the western Greenland Ice Sheet and the role of large-scale circulation variability
Baojuan Huai, Michiel R. van den Broeke, and Carleen H. Reijmer
The Cryosphere, 14, 4181–4199, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4181-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-4181-2020, 2020
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11 Nov 2020
GrSMBMIP: intercomparison of the modelled 1980–2012 surface mass balance over the Greenland Ice Sheet
Xavier Fettweis, Stefan Hofer, Uta Krebs-Kanzow, Charles Amory, Teruo Aoki, Constantijn J. Berends, Andreas Born, Jason E. Box, Alison Delhasse, Koji Fujita, Paul Gierz, Heiko Goelzer, Edward Hanna, Akihiro Hashimoto, Philippe Huybrechts, Marie-Luise Kapsch, Michalea D. King, Christoph Kittel, Charlotte Lang, Peter L. Langen, Jan T. M. Lenaerts, Glen E. Liston, Gerrit Lohmann, Sebastian H. Mernild, Uwe Mikolajewicz, Kameswarrao Modali, Ruth H. Mottram, Masashi Niwano, Brice Noël, Jonathan C. Ryan, Amy Smith, Jan Streffing, Marco Tedesco, Willem Jan van de Berg, Michiel van den Broeke, Roderik S. W. van de Wal, Leo van Kampenhout, David Wilton, Bert Wouters, Florian Ziemen, and Tobias Zolles
The Cryosphere, 14, 3935–3958, https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3935-2020,https://doi.org/10.5194/tc-14-3935-2020, 2020
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