Past and future European atmospheric extreme events under climate change (NHESS/ASCMO/WCD inter-journal SI)(NHESS/ASCMO/WCD inter-journal SI)
Past and future European atmospheric extreme events under climate change (NHESS/ASCMO/WCD inter-journal SI)(NHESS/ASCMO/WCD inter-journal SI)
Editor(s): Andreas Hense, Ieda Pscheidt, Christian Ohlwein, Uwe Ulbrich, Jens Grieger, Frank Kaspar, Joaquim G. Pinto, Hendrik Feldmann, Christoph Kottmeier, and Ricardo Trigo Special issue jointly organized between Natural Hazards and Earth System Sciences, Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography, and Weather and Climate Dynamics
Initiated by the German research project ClimXtreme (https://climxtreme.net/index.php), but open to all relevant submissions, the objective of the inter-journal special issue "Past and future European atmospheric extreme events under climate change" is to compile research results and recent advances in research exploring if and how extreme weather events have changed in the past, and what is to be expected under future climate scenarios. The time span covers the past and present centuries. Foci are physical mechanisms, statistical assessments, and impact-prone processes. Research on physical mechanisms addresses understanding the relationship between the extreme events' occurrence and severity and their spatial and temporal environment, exploring how climate change influences their generation processes in the past and a prospective future. Statistical approaches related to data science make use of large heterogeneous observational and model output data, of both the past and future, or advanced statistical methods, such as attribution research. Impact-related research investigates factors modifying the relation of the extreme meteorological conditions and the outcome in terms of damage, as pre-conditioning mechanisms can change the resilience of society and ecosystems against extremes. Compound meteorological events can lead to damage with a combination of relatively weak extremes. The regional focus is on continental Europe and its marginal seas, including the Atlantic and Arctic regions as important interacting parts of the climate system. Authors are advised to choose the most appropriate journal for their papers, which in this inter-journal special issue are Hydrology and Earth System Sciences (HESS), Advances in Statistical Climatology, Meteorology and Oceanography (ASCMO), and Weather and Climate Dynamics (WCD).

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08 Feb 2024
Future changes in North Atlantic winter cyclones in CESM-LE – Part 2: A Lagrangian analysis
Edgar Dolores-Tesillos and Stephan Pfahl
Weather Clim. Dynam., 5, 163–179, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-163-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-5-163-2024, 2024
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31 Jan 2024
Heat wave characteristics: evaluation of regional climate model performances for Germany
Dragan Petrovic, Benjamin Fersch, and Harald Kunstmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 24, 265–289, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-265-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-24-265-2024, 2024
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22 Jan 2024
Spatial patterns and indices for heat waves and droughts over Europe using a decomposition of extremal dependency
Svenja Szemkus and Petra Friederichs
Adv. Stat. Clim. Meteorol. Oceanogr., 10, 29–49, https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-29-2024,https://doi.org/10.5194/ascmo-10-29-2024, 2024
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18 Sep 2023
Shallow and deep learning of extreme rainfall events from convective atmospheres
Gerd Bürger and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 3065–3077, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3065-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-3065-2023, 2023
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30 Aug 2023
Future heat extremes and impacts in a convection-permitting climate ensemble over Germany
Marie Hundhausen, Hendrik Feldmann, Natalie Laube, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2873–2893, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2873-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2873-2023, 2023
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11 Aug 2023
Compound events in Germany in 2018: drivers and case studies
Elena Xoplaki, Florian Ellsäßer, Jens Grieger, Katrin M. Nissen, Joaquim Pinto, Markus Augenstein, Ting-Chen Chen, Hendrik Feldmann, Petra Friederichs, Daniel Gliksman, Laura Goulier, Karsten Haustein, Jens Heinke, Lisa Jach, Florian Knutzen, Stefan Kollet, Jürg Luterbacher, Niklas Luther, Susanna Mohr, Christoph Mudersbach, Christoph Müller, Efi Rousi, Felix Simon, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Svenja Szemkus, Sara M. Vallejo-Bernal, Odysseas Vlachopoulos, and Frederik Wolf
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1460,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1460, 2023
Preprint under review for NHESS (discussion: open, 1 comment)
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03 Aug 2023
A decrease in rockfall probability under climate change conditions in Germany
Katrin M. Nissen, Martina Wilde, Thomas M. Kreuzer, Annika Wohlers, Bodo Damm, and Uwe Ulbrich
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2737–2748, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2737-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2737-2023, 2023
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31 Jul 2023
On the linkage between future Arctic sea ice retreat, Euro-Atlantic circulation regimes and temperature extremes over Europe
Johannes Riebold, Andy Richling, Uwe Ulbrich, Henning Rust, Tido Semmler, and Dörthe Handorf
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 663–682, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-663-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-663-2023, 2023
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26 Jul 2023
Impacts and damages of the European multi-year drought and heat event 2018–2022 on forests, a review
Florian Knutzen, Paul Averbeck, Caterina Barrasso, Laurens M. Bouwer, Barry Gardiner, José M. Grünzweig, Sabine Hänel, Karsten Haustein, Marius Rohde Johannessen, Stefan Kollet, Joni-Pekka Pietikaeinen, Karolina Pietras-Couffignal, Joaquim G. Pinto, Diana Rechid, Efi Rousi, Ana Russo, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Julian Wendler, Elena Xoplaki, and Daniel Gliksman
EGUsphere, https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1463,https://doi.org/10.5194/egusphere-2023-1463, 2023
Revised manuscript under review for NHESS (discussion: final response, 6 comments)
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23 Jun 2023
Convection-parameterized and convection-permitting modelling of heavy precipitation in decadal simulations of the greater Alpine region with COSMO-CLM
Alberto Caldas-Alvarez, Hendrik Feldmann, Etor Lucio-Eceiza, and Joaquim G. Pinto
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 543–565, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-543-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-543-2023, 2023
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16 Jun 2023
Review article: A European perspective on wind and storm damage – from the meteorological background to index-based approaches to assess impacts
Daniel Gliksman, Paul Averbeck, Nico Becker, Barry Gardiner, Valeri Goldberg, Jens Grieger, Dörthe Handorf, Karsten Haustein, Alexia Karwat, Florian Knutzen, Hilke S. Lentink, Rike Lorenz, Deborah Niermann, Joaquim G. Pinto, Ronald Queck, Astrid Ziemann, and Christian L. E. Franzke
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 2171–2201, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2171-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-2171-2023, 2023
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12 May 2023
What distinguishes 100-year precipitation extremes over central European river catchments from more moderate extreme events?
Florian Ruff and Stephan Pfahl
Weather Clim. Dynam., 4, 427–447, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-427-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-4-427-2023, 2023
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08 May 2023
The extremely hot and dry 2018 summer in central and northern Europe from a multi-faceted weather and climate perspective
Efi Rousi, Andreas H. Fink, Lauren S. Andersen, Florian N. Becker, Goratz Beobide-Arsuaga, Marcus Breil, Giacomo Cozzi, Jens Heinke, Lisa Jach, Deborah Niermann, Dragan Petrovic, Andy Richling, Johannes Riebold, Stella Steidl, Laura Suarez-Gutierrez, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Dim Coumou, André Düsterhus, Florian Ellsäßer, Georgios Fragkoulidis, Daniel Gliksman, Dörthe Handorf, Karsten Haustein, Kai Kornhuber, Harald Kunstmann, Joaquim G. Pinto, Kirsten Warrach-Sagi, and Elena Xoplaki
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1699–1718, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1699-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1699-2023, 2023
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05 Apr 2023
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 2: Historical context and relation to climate change
Patrick Ludwig, Florian Ehmele, Mário J. Franca, Susanna Mohr, Alberto Caldas-Alvarez, James E. Daniell, Uwe Ehret, Hendrik Feldmann, Marie Hundhausen, Peter Knippertz, Katharina Küpfer, Michael Kunz, Bernhard Mühr, Joaquim G. Pinto, Julian Quinting, Andreas M. Schäfer, Frank Seidel, and Christina Wisotzky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1287–1311, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1287-2023, 2023
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29 Mar 2023
Brief communication: On the extremeness of the July 2021 precipitation event in western Germany
Katharina Lengfeld, Paul Voit, Frank Kaspar, and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 1227–1232, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1227-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-1227-2023, 2023
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06 Feb 2023
A multi-disciplinary analysis of the exceptional flood event of July 2021 in central Europe – Part 1: Event description and analysis
Susanna Mohr, Uwe Ehret, Michael Kunz, Patrick Ludwig, Alberto Caldas-Alvarez, James E. Daniell, Florian Ehmele, Hendrik Feldmann, Mário J. Franca, Christian Gattke, Marie Hundhausen, Peter Knippertz, Katharina Küpfer, Bernhard Mühr, Joaquim G. Pinto, Julian Quinting, Andreas M. Schäfer, Marc Scheibel, Frank Seidel, and Christina Wisotzky
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 23, 525–551, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-23-525-2023, 2023
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22 Dec 2022
European heatwaves in present and future climate simulations: a Lagrangian analysis
Lisa Schielicke and Stephan Pfahl
Weather Clim. Dynam., 3, 1439–1459, https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1439-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/wcd-3-1439-2022, 2022
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06 Dec 2022
Droughts in Germany: performance of regional climate models in reproducing observed characteristics
Dragan Petrovic, Benjamin Fersch, and Harald Kunstmann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3875–3895, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3875-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3875-2022, 2022
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17 Nov 2022
Meteorological, impact and climate perspectives of the 29 June 2017 heavy precipitation event in the Berlin metropolitan area
Alberto Caldas-Alvarez, Markus Augenstein, Georgy Ayzel, Klemens Barfus, Ribu Cherian, Lisa Dillenardt, Felix Fauer, Hendrik Feldmann, Maik Heistermann, Alexia Karwat, Frank Kaspar, Heidi Kreibich, Etor Emanuel Lucio-Eceiza, Edmund P. Meredith, Susanna Mohr, Deborah Niermann, Stephan Pfahl, Florian Ruff, Henning W. Rust, Lukas Schoppa, Thomas Schwitalla, Stella Steidl, Annegret H. Thieken, Jordis S. Tradowsky, Volker Wulfmeyer, and Johannes Quaas
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 3701–3724, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3701-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-3701-2022, 2022
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26 Aug 2022
A new index to quantify the extremeness of precipitation across scales
Paul Voit and Maik Heistermann
Nat. Hazards Earth Syst. Sci., 22, 2791–2805, https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2791-2022,https://doi.org/10.5194/nhess-22-2791-2022, 2022
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